Gale Warning 66, NWS Anchorage, AK

948 
FZAK52 PAFC 141249
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150130-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB COMPLEX LOW CENTERED 80 NM S OF ADAK WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN BEFORE DISSIPATING FRI MORNING. A
995 MB LOW 240 NM W OF ATTU WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE AND THEN
DISSIPATE FRI AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW WILL FORM 110 NM N OF KISKA FRI
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO 40 NM NW OF ATTU AT THE SAME INTENSITY
BY EARLY SAT MORNING. A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 260
NM S OF SAND POINT AT 954 MB EARLY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-150130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23
FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-150130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-150130-
BRISTOL BAY-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST IN
THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-150130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-150130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-150130-
UNALASKA BAY-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-150130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-150130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-150130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-150130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-150130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-150130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-150130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-150130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-150130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-150130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-150130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
349 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

536 
FZAK52 PAFC 150003
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151245-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 979 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF ADAK DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES AWAY
FROM THE ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. A FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREADS OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON...GRADUALLY WEAKENING STARTING
EARLY SAT MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRI
AFTERNOON STALLS THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-151245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151245-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151245-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-151245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
507 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MAINLAND ALASKA REMAINS SITUATED BETWEEN A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL
LOWS THIS MORNING...WITH ONE LOCATED NEAR NORTON SOUND AND THE
OTHER OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. A SHARP TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM
THE BERING LOW ACROSS THE AKPEN AND KODIAK ISLAND INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF. LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE COOK INLET REGION
AS A DEFORMATION BAND TAKES SHAPE FROM THE NORTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND INTO THE SOUTHERN SUSITNA
VALLEY...WITH SNOWFALL BEING FURTHER ENHANCED BY LIFT FROM A WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING UP THE INLET. PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED
OFF ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AS THE BERING LOW PULLS OFF TO
THE NORTH...BUT THE COMBINATION OF ONSHORE FLOW AND WEAK MID LEVEL
RIDGING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO WIDESPREAD FOG FORMATION OVER THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION. FARTHER WEST...A BROAD COMPLEX LOW CONTINUES
TO SPIN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS...BRINGING SHOWERY CONDITIONS TO
MUCH OF THE CHAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE SYNOPTIC
PATTERN. GUIDANCE HAS ALSO BEGUN TO CONVERGE ON SOME SMALLER
SCALE DETAILS SUCH AS HOW QUICKLY THE TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS IT LIFTS NORTHWARD TODAY...THUS IMPACTING HOW
LONG SNOWFALL WILL LINGER ACROSS THE COOK INLET REGION TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. MAINLY UTILIZED HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM
GUIDANCE FOR THE MORNING PACKAGE GIVEN THE STRONG OVERALL
AGREEMENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PRECIPITATION BAND THAT IS OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND THE
COOK INLET AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD THIS MORNING. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS ALREADY WEST OF ANCHORAGE...AND SNOW COULD
BRIEFLY END THIS MORNING. THE BAND WILL BEGIN TO BE PUSHED
EASTWARD LATE TODAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER KODIAK MOVES
NORTHWEST. THIS WILL PUT THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND MATANUSKA VALLEY
BACK INTO MORE STEADY SNOWFALL LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SPLIT APART AS IT CROSSES SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST BEHIND THIS TROUGH THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT...DRYING THINGS OUT OVER THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTON SOUND
WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY TO THE NORTHERN DELTA COAST THIS
MORNING...THEN DIMINISH AS THE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NORTH. OVER
BRISTOL BAY...WEAK ONSHORE FLOW THAT DEVELOPED BEHIND RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY BROUGHT WIDESPREAD
STRATUS/FOG OVERNIGHT...BUT THIS IS QUICKLY DIMINISHING AS THE
SHORTWAVE MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BRING LOCALIZED AREAS OF DENSE
FOG EARLY THIS MORNING THAT WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY LATE
MORNING. RIDGING OVER THE BERING SEA WILL THEN BRING CLEARING
SKIES THROUGHOUT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS TURNING
OFFSHORE...WHICH SHOULD KEEP WIDESPREAD FOG FROM REDEVELOPING
TONIGHT. THE LOW COMPLEX SOUTH OF THE AKPEN WILL THEN CLIP
SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY AND THE AKPEN LATE THURSDAY-FRIDAY...BRINGING
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS TO THOSE AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY
AND DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA (DAYS
1 AND 2)...
THE COMPLEX LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL DOMINATE WEATHER
THROUGHOUT THE REGION FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. WIDESPREAD
RAIN/SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
GALE FORCE WINDS BY THIS EVENING...AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD TO
THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. WINDS OVER THE WESTERN-CENTRAL
BERING WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON THURSDAY EVENING AS THE LOW
COMPLEX BEGINS TO DISSIPATE. TO THE EAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT LOW CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE
GULF.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A STRONG JET CROSSING THE PACIFIC WILL SPIN UP SMALL...DIFFICULT
TO FORECAST LOWS JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THU. IN ORDER
TO MAKE THIS MORE MANAGEABLE...THE FORECAST UTILIZES AN ENSEMBLE
APPROACH TO SMOOTH OUT SOME OF THESE FEATURES. THIS SOLUTION
YIELDS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF THE AKPEN ON THU THAT SPINS IN
PLACE UNTIL IT DRIFTS OVER KODIAK ON TUE. AT THE SURFACE THIS WILL
APPEAR AS A LARGE LOW SOUTH OF THE AKPEN...WITH A TROUGH
STRETCHING ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. ANOTHER ASSOCIATED TROUGH
WILL MANIFEST ITSELF AS A DECAYING OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING ALONG
THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF THE GULF OF AK. THE PARENT SURFACE LOW WILL
REMAIN ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS IN PLACE BEFORE
MOVING OVER KODIAK ISLAND ON TUE.

AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY ROTATES IT WILL BRING COASTAL RAIN AND
PERIODS OF INTERIOR SNOW SHOWERS TO THE CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS FRI NIGHT THROUGH TUE...AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER SW AK
UNTIL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS CROSS THE ALEUTIAN RANGE INTO THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE BY THE WEEKEND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
MIGRATE WEST ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
CONFIDENCE WITH THIS FORECAST IS BELOW AVERAGE UNTIL THE MAIN LOW
SOUTH OF THE AKPEN BECOMES CONTROLLING BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...150 155 165 170 172 173 175
				 177 179 411 412 413 414.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...160 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
139 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     SNOW             5 E SOLDOTNA            60.49N 150.92W
01/13/2016  M4.0 INCH                           AK   COCORAHS

0800 AM     SNOW             3 SE WILLOW             61.71N 149.99W
01/13/2016  M1.4 INCH                           AK   COCORAHS

&&

JPW