Gale Warning 542, NWS Anchorage, AK

948 
FZAK52 PAFC 271124
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280000-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA PUSHES OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA BY WED MORNING THEN DISSIPATES. ANOTHER FRONT ENTERS
THE WESTERN BERING WED AFTERNOON AND REMAINS STATIONARY. A 994 MB
LOW 660 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU MOVES TO 445 NM SOUTH OF ATTU AT 985
MB BY THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-280000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 10 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280000-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280000-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 AM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT.
SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS
14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

210 
FZAK52 PAFC 272300
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281215-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ALASKA
LATE TONIGHT. A 1009 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WED AFTERNOON
WILL MOVE TO 130 NM WEST OF ADAK THU MORNING THEN DISSIPATE THU
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-281215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281215-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281215-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

001 
FZAK52 PAFC 281121
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-290015-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE EASES OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH THU MORNING. A
FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN BERING WED EVENING AND MOVES TO THE
CENTRAL BERING BY FRI MORNING. A NORTH PACIFIC 995 MB LOW 475 NM
SOUTH OF ATTU WED NIGHT MOVES TO 165 NM SOUTH OF ADAK AT 987 MB
BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-290015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-290015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 4 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-290015-
BRISTOL BAY-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-290015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-290015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-290015-
UNALASKA BAY-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-290015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-290015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-290015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-290015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-290015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-290015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-290015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT...EXCEPT BECOMING NW 15 KT W OF SHEMYA AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-290015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-290015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING SW 15 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-290015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-290015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
321 AM AKDT WED SEP 28 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
442 AM AKDT MON SEP 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS....
The upper level trough that has been nearly stationary over the
southern mainland for 2 days now has weakened substantially since
yesterday. Ahead of the trough axis over northern Cook
Inlet/Southcentral, clouds and showers continue to form, keeping
temperatures warm and preventing widespread fog/stratus from
developing. This is a slightly different story further down Cook
Inlet behind the trough axis where skies have mostly cleared,
allowing for patchy fog/stratus to quickly develop overnight along
the coast with light winds. This trough will continue weakening
today as it moves eastward ahead of the next low over the Bering.
Overnight ship reports from this Bering low have confirmed that
gale-force winds have developed along the front on the southern
edge just north of Dutch Harbor. This front will continue moving
southward today, spreading gales and rain throughout the region.
Behind this low, a 100-kt jet streak can be seen diving to the
southeast through the Bering, which will help gusty northwesterly
winds to continue after the front passes today. To the west of
this system a ridge of high pressure is beginning to spread
through the western Bering, allowing for widespread fog and
stratus to develop over the western Bering/Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models remain in very good agreement with track and intensity
of two systems that will move through the Bering over the next 2
days. The GFS in particular initialized the best with winds over
the Bering, and was generally preferred overnight to increase
winds from this system. Over Southcentral, the main challenge
will come from how quickly clouds around Cook Inlet will clear out
overnight, and the potential for fog/stratus development. None of
the models are handling this clearing very well based on overnight
satellite trends, so forecast confidence in the details on
exactly when and where fog may develop, and its longevity (such as
in the the Cook Inlet area TAF's) is low.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Preferred the 06z raw model (NAM) low-level moisture
profiles for the 12z TAF (especially over statistical guidance)
package in trending more pessimistic with MVFR stratus deck
remaining around through the morning (and possibly longer). Lower
cigs may become scattered with VFR conditions especially from the
airport west this afternoon, with continued MVFR conditions likely
to the east toward the mountains. Big question remains to what
extent mid-level clouds may prevent widespread IFR or MVFR
conditions from developing around the airport tonight. For now,
thinking the mid-level clouds provide enough insolation to
prevent that from happening, but this is low confidence at this
point.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The upper level trough currently stretches directly over the
Kenai Peninsula. The trough has been providing sufficient upper
level support for overnight showers across the Kenai Peninsula
and along Cook Inlet. In particular, showers have been forming
along the eastern Inlet, where the contrast between the relatively
warm Cook Inlet waters and cooler nighttime land temperatures is
providing low level support for shower development. Generally
these showers have helped to keep the boundary layer relatively
mixed overnight and have prevented the development of fog.
However, fog has been forming further inland within the Matanuska
valley, where showers have not yet developed. Skies are expected
to continue to clear today as the trough pushes eastward and a
fast moving shortwave ridge pushes in.

There is a chance for fog to develop again Monday night into
Tuesday morning ahead of the next approaching upper level trough.
With lower pressure in the Gulf and a surface ridge in place,
light offshore flow may be sufficient to mix out developing fog in
the Anchorage Bowl and Kenai Peninsula. However, fog could be
more established in eastern portions of the zone such as Prince
William Sound and the Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level closed low continues to track through the eastern
Bering before crossing the Eastern Aleutians into the North
Pacific Ocean by Monday afternoon. This feature will bring
rain along the Southwest Alaska coastline today before tapering-
off as an upstream amplified ridge builds into the AOR heading
into Tuesday. Therefore, look for drier conditions except for
patchy fog developing under the upper level ridge for Tuesday, and
Wednesday morning. Meanwhile, the Kuskokwim Delta region will have
a trough pushing into the northern Bering resulting in a swath of
moisture accompanied by rain/stratus entering the Kuskokwim Delta
region by early Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
As the surface 1004 mb low tracks through the eastern Bering this
morning, this feature produces a showery weather regime through
the central/eastern Bering before spilling over into the Central
to Eastern Aleutians today. The gale-force westerly winds
associated with this surface low will diminish to small craft
advisory winds by Monday afternoon. While, a weak ridge builds
into the central Bering/Aleutians by Monday afternoon. A storm-force
low drops down off the Kamchatka Peninsula by early Tuesday
morning. The associated weather front with this system enters the
Western Aleutians/Bering during the same time frame. This brings
a swath of rain/stratus with gale-force southwesterly winds to
the aforementioned region. By Tuesday afternoon this low pressure
system deepens, and strengthens resulting in storm-force
southwesterly winds entering the western Bering. As the low
pressure moves farther north the storm-force winds weaken to
gale-force as they enter the northern Bering by late Tuesday
evening. As we head into Wednesday, the majority of the
Bering/Aleutians will be under the influence of a high pressure
ridge accompanied by marine layer stratus/fog.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The extended term forecast will begin on Tuesday night with
transitory upper level ridging in place over mainland Alaska,
promoting mainly dry conditions across the Southcentral region
beneath clearing skies and offshore flow. A shortwave trough
moving across the northern half of the mainland on Wednesday will
flatten out the ridge and drag a front through the southwest part
of the state, bringing a chance of rain before quickly moving off
to the east. The pattern then becomes much more amplified during
the latter half of the week as an upper level trough deepens over
eastern Russia and a high amplitude ridge builds over the mainland
from the central Pacific. This will support a continuation of the
mostly dry and clear conditions across the southern mainland
through the end of the work week, allowing overnight low
temperatures to dip near or below freezing in many locations as
conditions become optimal for radiational cooling. Meanwhile,
another shortwave rounding the base of the eastern Russia trough
will help to spin up a deep surface low moving into the Bering in
the Thursday/Friday timeframe, bringing rainy and windy conditions
to much of the Bering region. This system also looks to swing a
front over the southwest mainland Friday night and into the Gulf
of Alaska by Saturday, bringing a return of precipitation to the
forecast for Southcentral by next weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms...411.
         Gales...155 172 178 185 412 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...CB