Gale Warning 531, NWS Anchorage, AK

126 
FZAK51 PAFC 200244 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 121 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201515-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF THIS EVENING AND
MOVE TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND MOVE TO THE COOK INLET REGION BY 
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-201515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201515-
PORT VALDEZ-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE WIND  
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201515-
VALDEZ ARM-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201515-
CHINIAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201515-
MARMOT BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

727 
FZAK51 PAFC 201132
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210030-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT THROUGH WED. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY
WED AFTERNOON. A 989 MB LOW DEVELOPS 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 40 NM NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 985 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-210030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT THIS
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210030-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210030-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210030-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210030-
MARMOT BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

841 
FZAK51 PAFC 202343
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211230-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT THROUGH THU. A 986 MB LOW DEVELOPS
160 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 20 NM
NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 978 MB LATE WED NIGHT AND MOVES
INLAND NEAR WHITTIER.

$$

PKZ119-211230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 65 KT NEAR THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING
TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT NEAR THE COAST IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211230-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211230-
RESURRECTION BAY-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211230-
PORT VALDEZ-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT 
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211230-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211230-
VALDEZ ARM-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211230-
PASSAGE CANAL-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211230-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211230-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211230-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211230-
CHINIAK BAY-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211230-
MARMOT BAY-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211230-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211230-
KACHEMAK BAY-
343 PM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

901 
FZAK51 PAFC 211151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220100-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING AND REMAINS THROUGH THU. A 989 MB
LOW DEVELOPS 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVES INLAND 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF WHITTIER LATE TONIGHT AT 979 MB.

$$

PKZ119-220100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 18 FT
BUILDING TO 28 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 55 KT
DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26
FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220100-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220100-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220100-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220100-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT WED SEP 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
540 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main low sits over the western Bering with its front draped
across the central Bering. Both are tracking to the east with the
front bringing up a long fetch of warm moist air from the North
Pacific. This is translating into rain for the Aleutians as it
passes. Strong winds are also associated with the front which is
showing as a wide swath of gale force winds moving with it. To the
east ridging is over southwest Alaska and it is also moving off to
the east.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the placement and intensity
of the main low as it tracks across the Bering this week, but they
are still struggling with the formation of a triple point low that
looks to form on the front associated with this system. The 00Z
runs are in better agreement than the 12Z runs were but there are
still several issues with impacts as a result of these
differences, one of which is timing and intensity of rain for
areas of Southcentral Alaska. The other impact is for winds for
areas in and around the north Gulf coast, including areas of
channeled terrain. These differences are making it difficult to
nail down exact timing. However, confidence is still high in high
amounts of rain for the Eastern Kenai Peninsula and Western Prince
William Sound, as well as for high winds for much of Southcentral
Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Today should be a rather quiet weather day around Southcentral
Alaska. The storm in the Western Bering Sea in still on track to
send a very strong front through Southern Alaska Tuesday night
into Wednesday. This system will be stronger than the one from
early last week and there is a possibility of winds reaching to
100 mph threshold along the higher elevations of the Anchorage
areas as well as Western Turnagain Arm. The atmosphere is also
setting up to allow some of the strong winds to reach lower
elevations in the Anchorage and Eagle River areas Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning which could bring wind gusts up to 65 mph
to the Lower Hillside and portions of East Anchorage as well.
Other portions of the Anchorage bowl will likely not see winds
quite as strong but the presence of leaves on the trees increases
the chances of broken limbs causing power outages. This front will
likely bring high winds to the Cordova area on Wednesday prompting
the High Wind Watch for there.

The other big concern is the possibility of flooding along the
North Gulf Coast. The Seward area looks to be the most vulnerable
where models are showing very heavy rainfall Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning. Models are showing around 5 to 7 inches (NAM
model is indicating 8 inches) of rainfall occurring in a 12 to 18
hour period which could cause flooding in the Seward area.
Therefore a Flood Watch has been issued for that area. While rain
will taper off Wednesday morning, river levels would likely remain
in flood stage well after the rain ends prompting the Flood Watch
to be in effect until Thursday morning. This is a very preliminary
view of this event, but it bears close watching and updates will
be available as details become more clear.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A strong front will begin to push inland from the eastern Bering
Sea later today, bringing an extended period of strong winds and
moderate to heavy rain to much of the southwest mainland to start
the work week. The initial forecast concern associated with the
front will be the potential for high surf and erosion along the
coast of the Kuskokwim Delta as the front moves ashore accompanied
by high-end gale-force winds out of the south, with the worst
conditions expected from early afternoon through late evening
before before conditions rapidly improve as the front departs to
the east. The High Surf Advisory has thus been extended through 10
pm this evening with the issuance of the morning package.

The front should clear the Kuskokwim Delta region by late
tonight, with rain spreading eastward into the Kuskokwim Valley
and Bristol Bay regions. Attention then turns to a triple-point
low developing south of the Alaska Peninsula late tonight and
riding northward along the front into Bristol Bay on Tuesday
night. In addition to steady rain, this feature has the potential
to produce strong southeast winds through Kamishak Gap and along
the western slopes of the Aleutian Range from Tuesday afternoon
into Tuesday night. Current forecast thinking is that gusts will
top out in the 60-65 mph range in these areas, with winds in the
40 to 50 mph range extending well inland to interior Bristol Bay
and the Kuskokwim Valley. The track and evolution of this
developing wave will bear close monitoring, as small changes in
the details could have large implications on the wind forecast in
the next 24-48 hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The front extending eastward from the large, mature low over the
western Bering will keep the most significant weather impacts
over the southeast Bering through tonight as rain and southerly
gale force winds with storm force gusts spread eastward from the
Eastern Aleutians to the Akpen. The front will move off to the
east by early Tuesday, leaving widespread showers and gusty
southwest winds over a large swath of the Bering as the low move
eastward towards Saint Matthew Island. A core of cold air aloft
associated with the low center could generate enough instability
to touch off a few thunderstorms over the waters of the northwest
Bering through Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Updated forecast grids overnight to account for a little quicker
progression of the front through the Gulf of Alaska Wednesday,
which matches with latest model trends, with the EC quickest and
the GFS and NAM comprising a solid middle ground for the
Wednesday/Wednesday night time frame. We also trended higher with
winds from Prince William Sound to Passage Canal to Turnagain Arm
to Anchorage for the Wednesday morning time frame at the peak of
what is shaping up to be a significant fall storm. Otherwise, no
significant changes beyond Thursday morning. For Cook Inlet the
main change was to go with the southerly winds for the day on
Wednesday with pressure rises behind a secondary low that moves
north into the Susitna Valley through the day.

Previous long-term discussion...

The models continue to struggle with the rapidly developing
triple point low near Kodiak Island late Tue-Wed, and as a result
forecast confidence hasn't change significantly over the Cook
Inlet region. In particular for the waters of south Cook Inlet,
guidance is indicating anything from northerly to southwesterly
gale force winds depending on the low position, so forecast
confidence in this area is very low on Wednesday. Further to the
east, there is much better agreement however with the associated
front moving into Prince William Sound, allowing us to bring
widespread storm force winds to that area through Wednesday. For
Turnagain Arm and higher elevations of the Anchorage Bowl,
confidence has improved enough for a High Wind Watch to be issued
with the afternoon forecast package as all guidance now indicates
a significant pressure gradient setting up on Tuesday evening.
Another concern from this system surrounds the potential for
persistent heavy rain and flooding along the Gulf Coast. In
particular for the Seward area, there remains some uncertainty as
to how long the heavy rain will last, however even the quickest
solutions are bringing at least 4-5" of rain in 12 hours, so
appears likely that this will be a significant rain event,
possibly heavier than the system from last Sunday. Its still a
little too far out at this point to determine exactly what
response this heavy rain will have on area rivers and streams, but
this should become more clear in the coming days.

Looking into later this week, the models have all trended
significantly weaker with next low that will rapidly develop and
intensify in the gulf on Thursday. As a result it now appears that
this system will not become as significant as initially thought a
few days ago, but it will still bring active weather to the Gulf
and south Mainland into Friday. This low will likely bring a
prolonged period of gusty winds and rain to the Gulf Coast, and in
particular Prince William Sound that looks to last into late this
week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch 101 125 135
         Flood Watch 125
         High Surf Advisory...155.
MARINE...Gales...130-132 138 139 141 150 155 160 165 170-172 173
                 178-181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...CC/DEK