Gale Warning 530, NWS Anchorage, AK

083 
FZAK51 PAFC 191521
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200315-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A
1001 MB LOW FORMS 155 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT TUE MORNING AND MOVES
ONSHORE 90 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY AT 987 MB TUE EVENING. THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA TUE AFTERNOON
AND MOVES JUST NORTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THE CENTRAL GULF BY WED
MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-200315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200315-
PORT VALDEZ-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200315-
VALDEZ ARM-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200315-
CHINIAK BAY-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200315-
MARMOT BAY-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
721 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

084 
FZAK51 PAFC 192338
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201215-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF THIS EVENING AND
MOVE TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND MOVE TO THE COOK INLET REGION BY 
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-201215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201215-
PORT VALDEZ-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE 
WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201215-
VALDEZ ARM-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201215-
CHINIAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201215-
MARMOT BAY-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
338 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

126 
FZAK51 PAFC 200244 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 121 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201515-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF THIS EVENING AND
MOVE TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED. A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT AND MOVE TO THE COOK INLET REGION BY 
WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-201515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201515-
PORT VALDEZ-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE WIND LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT  IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT EARLY THEN BECOMING VARIABLE WIND  
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201515-
VALDEZ ARM-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201515-
CHINIAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201515-
MARMOT BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
644 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

727 
FZAK51 PAFC 201132
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210030-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT THROUGH WED. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY
WED AFTERNOON. A 989 MB LOW DEVELOPS 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 40 NM NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 985 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-210030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT THIS
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 60 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 60 KT. GUSTS TO 75 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210030-
PORT VALDEZ-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210030-
VALDEZ ARM-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210030-
CHINIAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210030-
MARMOT BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
332 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
443 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level low is currently centered just east of Kamchatka
Peninsula while an impressive upper level ridge encompasses much
of mainland Alaska and is maintaining relatively dry conditions
across Southcentral. At the surface a gale force front is draped
across the Aleutians and curves towards the Kamchatka low while a
broad ridge is across the Western mainland. A low in the eastern
Gulf continues to dissipate and push eastward. The pressure
gradient between the ridge across western mainland Alaska and
the Gulf has supported light northwest downslope flow across
Southcentral, which has helped to erode much of the stratus that
was sitting beneath the ridge this morning. The Kamchatka low and
Mainland ridge are expected to support much more inclement weather
towards the end of the short term, as the ridge stalls and amplifies,
supporting a stronger jet and surging moisture northwards into the
mainland.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
While models are generally showing similar synoptic conditions,
with the Kamchatka low moving into the Central Bering and the
ridge stalling, there is still uncertainty in the timing and
intensity of the front as it pushes across the Gulf of Alaska
toward Anchorage Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Models
currently disagree on the location and intensity of a triple point
low that forms along the front. The spread in low track
differences covers about 300 miles, from Shelikof Strait to Cook
Inlet. This will strongly influence the extent of downsloping
across Southcentral as well as whether strong winds are felt at
sea level. As a result, certainty is below average for this
forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A surface ridge transverses west to east across Southcentral
clearing skies through the evening. This will allow for cool
temperatures as radiational cooling maximizes overnight. A
relatively quiet start to the work week is in store for Monday
as the ridge axis shifts toward the eastern Gulf of Alaska.

The main challenge for this week is a stacked low pressure system
tracking east across the Bering which is expected to bring gusty
winds and rain back into the region Monday night into Tuesday. The
storm system will be fast moving toward the Southwest coast. With
a slower moving ridge across the gulf, the pressure gradient
tightens between the two systems increasing winds late Monday
night across the western Gulf, Cook Inlet and Turnagain arm. The
surface front pushes into Kodiak Island early Tuesday morning with
west flow changing direction to the east. Winds will noticeably
increase through the day as they shift to the southeast across the
rest of Southcentral. However, rain will not make much advancement
until Tuesday evening when the storm system sends a strong wave of
energy around the base of the low. This strong wave further tightens
the pressure gradient as ridging holds along the northeast Gulf. A
High Wind Watch has been issued with the afternoon package for
Portage Valley, Turnagain arm and Higher Elevations. Despite
model differences, all solutions point toward high winds in these
areas. Confidence is low for many of rainfall amounts and wind
for other areas because of the high dependence on the track of the
surface front and triple point low.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
An upper level ridge is positioned over the Southwest Alaska
region resulting in drier conditions Tonight, before the onset of
a strong fall storm tracking into the region by Monday. Meanwhile,
upstream a 120 knot southwesterly jet steak enters the eastern
Bering by Monday afternoon. This synoptic feature will drive a
Gale force weather front from the Bering into the Southwest
Alaska coastline during the early Monday afternoon time-frame.
Have continued the High Surf Advisory from Kuskokwim Bay through
the Hooper Bay region starting Monday afternoon as these Gale
Force winds move in around the time of high tide. Look for these
conditions to diminish as the fast moving weather front moves
onshore by late Monday evening.

This quick moving front will bring widespread rain with moderate
to heavy rainfall at times before this system exits the Southwest
Alaska region. By Tuesday afternoon a triple-point low forms near
the southern end of Kodiak Island. This system looks to move into
the Bristol Bay interior while the frontal system pushes north and
east right into a ridge sitting over portions of Southcentral.
This will strengthen the pressure gradients and produce strong
gusty southeasterly to easterly gap winds along the Aleutian
Range and into portions of the Bristol Bay zone.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The sprawling occluded low east of Kamchatka Peninsula continues
its slow eastward track across the Bering Sea through Wednesday.
This system continues to push a Gale force front through the
Bering/Aleutians through Monday afternoon, before the front pushes
inland over the Southwest Alaska and the Alaska Peninsula region.
Southerly gap winds along this front will be strongest from the
Central Aleutians to the western Alaska Peninsula Tonight through
Monday. In addition to winds along the front, southerly moisture
advection will support rain and marine stratus/fog as the front
moves through the Bering and Aleutian Islands. As a stout
downstream ridge builds over mainland Alaska midweek and the low
becomes removed from the subtropical jet support to the south, the
system will stall and weaken over the eastern Bering Sea through
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The models continue to struggle with the rapidly developing triple
point low near Kodiak Island late Tue-Wed, and as a result forecast
confidence hasn't change significantly over the Cook Inlet region.
In particular for the waters of south Cook Inlet, guidance is
indicating anything from northerly to southwesterly Gale force
winds depending on the low position, so forecast confidence in
this area is very low on Wednesday. Further to the east, there is
much better agreement however with the associated front moving
into Prince William Sound, so expect widespread storm force winds
across that area through Wednesday. For Turnagain Arm and higher
elevations of the Anchorage Bowl, confidence has improved enough
for a High Wind Watch to be issued with the afternoon forecast
package as all guidance now indicates a significant pressure
gradient setting up on Tuesday evening.

Another concern from this system surrounds the potential for
persistent heavy rain and flooding along the Gulf Coast. In
particular for the Seward area, there remains some uncertainty as
to how long the heavy rain will last, however even the quickest
solutions are bringing at least 4-5" of rain in 12 hours, so
appears likely that this will be a significant rain event,
possibly heavier than the system from last Sunday. Its still a
little too far out at this point to determine exactly what
response this heavy rain will have on area rivers and streams,
but this should become more clear in the coming days.

Looking into later this week, the models have all trended
significantly weaker with next low that will rapidly develop and
intensify in the Gulf on Thursday. As a result it now appears
that this system will not become as significant as initially
thought a few days ago, but it will still bring active weather
to the Gulf and southern Mainland into Friday. This low will
likely bring a prolonged period of gusty winds and rain to the
Gulf Coast, and in particular Prince William Sound, that looks
to last into late this week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch 101 125. High Surf Advisory 155.
MARINE...Gale Warning 150 155 160 165 170 171 172 173 174 175 176
178 179 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD/RD
LONG TERM...DEK