Gale Warning 527, NWS Anchorage, AK

903 
FZAK52 PAFC 181201
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-190100-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 981 MB LOW 380 NM
NORTHWEST OF ATTU MOVES TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND
AT 978 MB BY TUE MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTS PUSHES THROUGH
THE BERING SEA AND ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-190100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-190100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-190100-
BRISTOL BAY-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-190100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING
TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-190100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
UNALASKA E...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-190100-
UNALASKA BAY-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-190100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-190100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-190100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-190100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-190100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-190100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-190100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-190100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-190100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-190100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-190100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

228 
FZAK52 PAFC 182357
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191315-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES 225 NM NORTHWEST OF
SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 979 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL PUSH TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. E OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT
BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO
10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW
15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191315-
BRISTOL BAY-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING
TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING
TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191315-
UNALASKA BAY-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
CAPE NEWENHAM N....S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY LATE EVENING.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-191315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT
BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

165 
FZAK52 PAFC 191206
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200100-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 280 NM NORTH OF ATTU MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST
MATTHEW ISLAND AT 978 MB BY WED MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA INTO MAINLAND ALASKA AND GULF
OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT W OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 40 KT
BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200100-
BRISTOL BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT S 45 KT IN THE EVENING FROM PORT
MOLLER E. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200100-
UNALASKA BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN BECOMING SW 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING W 20 IN THE AFTERNOON W OF
UNALASKA. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

472 
FZAK52 PAFC 192320
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201215-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 130 NM WEST OF
HOOPER BAY AT 979 MB BY WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL ENTER BRISTOL BAY EARLY TUE MORNING AND
MOVE TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE NIGHT. A 994 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT 120 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK TUE MORNING AND
MOVE TO NEAR KING SALMON AT 988 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INLAND TUE EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-201215-
BRISTOL BAY-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-201215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-201215-
UNALASKA BAY-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-201215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-201215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-201215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-201215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-201215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-201215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
507 AM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main low over the area is over the southwest coastline and is
tracking to the east. Shortwaves rotating around this low are
bringing showers to areas around southern Alaska. Out west ridging
is building in over the western Bering and is also tracking east
behind the low. The gradient between these two features combined
with some weak cold air advection is helping to bring strong
northwesterly winds to the eastern Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the main synoptic features
through the mid term. This leads to a high confidence forecast for
the timing and positioning of these features.

&&

.AVIATION...
Isolated VCSH continues through early afternoon with prevailing VFR
conditions. Confidence in ceilings diminishes by late afternoon as
weak up-inlet cold advection along with decent instability and
moisture may combine to produce showers capable of reducing
ceilings to MVFR at times, mainly 01z to 09z. Northerly offshore
flow will allow for slow clearing trend to begin after 12z Sunday
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The last of a series of upper level disturbances is moving up
Cook Inlet and bringing showers to the region again today. This
disturbance will stall in the Inlet as the upper level low begins
to drop southeastward and into the Gulf of Alaska tonight.
The ridge building in behind it will bring offshore flow to
Southcentral Sunday and Monday before the next system moves in
quickly on Monday night or Tuesday. Clearing skies over
Southcentral Alaska Sunday night in particular will bring the chance
for below freezing temperatures in the areas that tend to run
colder.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sat and Sun)...
An interesting set-up this morning as the upper-level low is
effectively pivoting around itself. This is evident on the Bethel
radar and on satellite. While instantaneous rainfall rates are not
all that impressive, the system is moving rather slowly. This is
allowing storm total estimates to climb up over 2.5" so far.
Thankfully, most of the rain is falling out over the Yukon Delta
and away from population centers. As another shot of energy
accelerates down the west side of this low and into the base of
the trough, it will serve to keep the low tracking towards Kodiak
Island by tonight. So the area of moderate rain will track right
along the west coast through the day before crashing into the
north side of the Alaska Peninsula overnight. It will bring some
gusty northwest winds with it as a ridge over the Bering starts to
push over the Alaska Peninsula and serves to tighten the surface
pressure gradient. The period of strongest winds looks to be from
late this evening through late morning Sun. Winds will accelerate
through some of the gaps of the Alaska Peninsula resulting in the
strongest gusts over marine zone 150 (west of Kodiak).

For Sun, a transient shortwave ridge will move through the area.
This should lead to a break from the precipitation, especially
with some dry northwest winds. But it will also bring enough
stability to set the stage for dense fog Sun morning. As the fog
burns off Sun afternoon, the remnant of a warm occlusion will just
arrive over the coast of the Y-K Delta. This will shift the flow
back to southwest and start to usher some milder air back in for
Mon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Sat and
Sun)...
The Bering will be the first place to show signs of the pattern
shift that will start next week. But first, from the Central to
the Eastern Bering today, cool northwest flow will hang on for one
more day. This will once again result in some showers and gusty
winds. But the first in a series of fronts is already pushing
through the Western Bering. It is bringing some light rain and fog
to Shemya. But more importantly is bringing a shift to southerly
winds and much warmer subtropical air all the way to 60N. This
will set the stage for another developing low to phase west of the
Western Aleutians and bring a stronger front (with storm-force
gusts) into the area by this evening. The low will then begin a
slow eastward track across the Bering and push the front steadily
towards the west coast by early next week. This system will have
enough upper level support and low level thermal gradient to bring
a swath of gale-force winds with it. It will eventually be the
front that brings a change to much more active weather to Southern
Alaska next week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

From previous discussion...

Beginning the long term period on Sunday evening, there will be a
rather vigorous low and associated warm front crossing from the
western Bering Sea eastward with a shortwave ridge ahead of it
moving into southern Alaska. With a digging shortwave across the
southeast Gulf of Alaska moving toward the Panhandle, this will
incite a weak offshore flow pattern with drying conditions across
the mainland.

The story quickly turns to the dramatic amplification of the
pattern as a northeast Pacific ridge amplifies ahead of the Bering
trough. This will allow for a deep southerly subtropical fetch to
form, and this will be aided by remnant tropical energy from
former Typhoon Meranti. There is high certainty in this general
pattern amplification, but there remains less certainty in the
details, and in these highly energetic patterns, the devil is in
the details. What is pretty certain is that a moderate to strong
gale force front will move into southwest Alaska Monday and Monday
night bringing moderate rainfall along with it. This will shift
east into Southcentral Tuesday and Tuesday night as the front
straddles the western Alaska Range. Orientation of the
trough/front is still unknown, but it is likely heavy rain will
begin enveloping most of southwest Alaska as well as Kodiak Island
and the Kenai coastline as subtropical energy reinvigorates the
front. There should be enough subtropical moisture to also spill
rain over into interior locations west of the Copper Basin, but
there will be a downslope shadow which will limit rainfall to much
lighter amounts. Rainfall total potential is impossible to nail
down at this juncture, but the possibility of 5-10" is possible
for locations along the gulf coast by Thursday. In terms of
stronger lows forming along the front, much uncertainty exists
here with the ECMWF showing a more weak and progressive frontal
system whereas the GFS and Canadian both spin-up powerful lows
which drive inland. At this juncture, it will be noted that the
potential exists for strong lows to impact the mainland, but for
now, an ensemble approach was favored which will highlight gales
moving into the northern Gulf of Alaska and eastern Bering Sea.
Should a stronger low become certain, powerful winds are possible
for inland locations sometime Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...150 155 165 175-178 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...JA