Gale Warning 526, NWS Anchorage, AK

815 
FZAK52 PAFC 172323
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181245-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA MOVES OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY SUNDAY. A 983 MB LOW 320 NM NORTHWEST OF
SHEMYA TONIGHT MOVES TO 320 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA DEEPENS TO 977 MB
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-181245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES BY
THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-181245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-181245-
BRISTOL BAY-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-181245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. W OF PORT MOLLER...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER W...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-181245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-181245-
UNALASKA BAY-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-181245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-181245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-181245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-181245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-181245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-181245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-181245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FROM SHEMYA W...S WIND 40 KT
BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
SHEMYA W...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-181245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-181245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. N OF CAPE NEWENHAM...NW WIND 25 KT
BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. N OF CAPE NEWENHAM...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...SW
WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING
TO 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-181245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-181245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
323 PM AKDT SAT SEP 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 8 FT FROM SAINT
MATTHEW E. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

903 
FZAK52 PAFC 181201
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-190100-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 981 MB LOW 380 NM
NORTHWEST OF ATTU MOVES TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND
AT 978 MB BY TUE MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTS PUSHES THROUGH
THE BERING SEA AND ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-190100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-190100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S
35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-190100-
BRISTOL BAY-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-190100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING
TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-190100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
UNALASKA E...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-190100-
UNALASKA BAY-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-190100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-190100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-190100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-190100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT.
AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-190100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-190100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-190100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-190100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-190100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-190100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-190100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
401 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

228 
FZAK52 PAFC 182357
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191315-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 MB LOW 300 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES 225 NM NORTHWEST OF
SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 979 MB BY TUE AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL PUSH TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. E OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT
BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO
10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW
15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191315-
BRISTOL BAY-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING
TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING
TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191315-
UNALASKA BAY-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
CAPE NEWENHAM N....S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT BY LATE EVENING.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-191315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
357 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT
BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

165 
FZAK52 PAFC 191206
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200100-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 280 NM NORTH OF ATTU MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST
MATTHEW ISLAND AT 978 MB BY WED MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA INTO MAINLAND ALASKA AND GULF
OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT W OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 40 KT
BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200100-
BRISTOL BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT S 45 KT IN THE EVENING FROM PORT
MOLLER E. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200100-
UNALASKA BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN BECOMING SW 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING W 20 IN THE AFTERNOON W OF
UNALASKA. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
413 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A longwave trough encompasses most of Alaska this afternoon,
allowing for a continuation of the showery weather pattern over
the southern Mainland amid broad cyclonic onshore flow. Within
the trough are two embedded low centers. The first is a weakening
vertically stacked low over Kodiak Island; the second is an upper-
level polar low dropping southward through the northeastern Bering
Sea and approaching the Yukon - Kuskokwim Delta coast. This low
is bringing showers to Southwest Alaska and amplifying outflow
winds on the back side of the trough. Observations show a swath of
gusty northwesterly winds extending from the upper-low center near
Nunivak Island southward across the eastern Bering, Bristol Bay,
and across the Alaska Peninsula into the northern Pacific. An
upper-level trough pushing northward through the northern Gulf
Coast and Cook Inlet region triggered light to moderate rainfall
this morning over Southcentral, which is becoming more showery in
nature as instability increases throughout the day.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in very good agreement in the short term. The main
impactful difference noted is some discrepancies in the strength
of the northwesterly outflow gap winds over the Alaska Peninsula
through this evening. The stronger GFS solution has initialized
the best this morning and was used for the winds through the
weekend. The general model consensus for the short term is that
the weakening low near Kodiak will dissipate in the Gulf of Alaska
tonight, allowing the upper-level low currently off of the
Southwest coast to become the dominant weather feature. Recent
model runs have come into better agreement on the timing and
track of this system through the weekend as it crosses the Alaska
Peninsula.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The shortwave that brought widespread rain to much of the Gulf
Coast and Southcentral today is beginning to move off to the
north, with spotty showers remaining behind it in broad cyclonic
flow. These showers will persist into Saturday, with light winds
for most of the area. The exception to this will be from the
Barren Islands southward which will begin to see gusty
northwesterly gap winds develop on Saturday, which will then
increase in intensity on Sunday as a low in the gulf develops.
Also on Sunday, skies and showers will begin to diminish as the
upper level trough over the Bering moves into the Gulf on and
offshore flow develops.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper levels are depicting a closed low over the Kuskokwim Bay
region with a weak shortwave rotating around the base of this
feature. Look for a showery regime as this shortwave moves through
the Southwest Alaska region through Saturday as it begins to track
across the Alaska Peninsula. The Kuskokwim Delta continues in
onshore flow resulting in marine layer stratus accompanied by fog.
These synoptic features will aid in this aforementioned region
going down in dense fog during the overnight time-frame beginning
after midnight tonight through early Saturday morning. Colder air
will be filtering in from the north resulting in gusty gale force
northwesterlies developing along the Kuskokwim Delta coastline
tonight. These gale force winds will transition into and along the
Bristol Bay coastline region by Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...
The majority of the central to eastern Bering along with the
Eastern Aleutians is influence by northwesterly flow. The biggest
concern with this pattern will be the development of gusty
northwesterly gap winds occurring tonight through Saturday
morning along the Eastern Aleutians. During this time-frame this
will produce a showery weather regime for the Bering
Sea/Aleutians. Meanwhile, upstream a storm force low develops off
the Kamchatka Peninsula by Saturday morning. This brings gale
force southwesterly flow to the Western Aleutians before streaming
into the western/central Bering heading into the weekend.
Therefore, look for abundant moisture with widespread rain/stratus
streaming into the aforementioned region accompanied by warmer
temperatures through the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Beginning the long term period on Sunday evening, there will be a
rather vigorous low and associated warm front crossing from the
western Bering Sea eastward with a shortwave ridge ahead of it
moving into southern Alaska. With a digging shortwave across the
southeast Gulf of Alaska moving toward the Panhandle, this will
incite a weak offshore flow pattern with drying conditions across
the mainland.

The story quickly turns to the dramatic amplification of the
pattern as a northeast Pacific ridge amplifies ahead of the Bering
trough. This will allow for a deep southerly subtropical fetch to
form, and this will be aided by remnant tropical energy from
former Typhoon Meranti. There is high certainty in this general
pattern amplification, but there remains less certainty in the
details; and in these highly energetic patterns, the devil is in
the details.

What is pretty certain is that a moderate to strong gale force
front will move into southwest Alaska Monday and Monday Night
bringing moderate rainfall along with it. This will shift east
into Southcentral Tuesday and Tuesday night as the front straddles
the western Alaska Range. Orientation of the trough/front is still
unknown, but it is likely heavy rain will begin enveloping most of
southwest Alaska as well as Kodiak Island and the Kenai coastline
as subtropical energy reinvigorates the front. There should be
enough subtropical moisture to also spill rain over into interior
locations west of the Copper Basin, but there will be a downslope
shadow which will limit rainfall to much lighter amounts. Rainfall
total potential is impossible to nail down at this juncture, but
the possibility of 5-10" is possible for locations along the gulf
coast by Thursday.

In terms of stronger lows forming along the front, much uncertainty
exists here with the ECMWF showing a more weak and progressive
frontal system whereas the GFS and Canadian both spin up powerful
lows which drive inland. At this juncture, it will be noted that
the *potential* exists for strong lows to impact the mainland,
but for now, an ensemble approach was favored which will highlight
gales moving into the northern Gulf of Alaska and eastern Bering
Sea. Should a stronger low become certain, powerful winds are
possible for inland locations sometime Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 150 155 160 165 177 178 180 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...JA