Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 5, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 7, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 7, 2016, 3:30 AM AKST. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2016, 3:30 AM AKST (12:30 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2016, 3:39 AM AKST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

557 
FZAK62 PAFC 071230
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-080245-
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 952 MB LOW NEAR 57N 179W WILL MOVE INLAND OVER EASTERN RUSSIA
THU NIGHT. A 984 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 54N 155W AT
974 MB THU NIGHT...THEN MOVE TO 58N 166W AT 970 MB FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-080245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-080245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 TO 38 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ413-080245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-080245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
330 AM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
9 follow-up statements
368 
FZAK62 PAFC 072357
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-081445-
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 956 MB LOW NEAR 59N 176E WILL MOVE INLAND OVER EASTERN RUSSIA
THU NIGHT. A 973 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 54N 155W AT
972 MB FRI AFTERNOON THEN TO 58N 169W AT 972 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-081445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. STRONGEST WIND AND HIGHEST SEAS
SOUTH OF 56N. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-081445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-081445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO UP TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-081445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
257 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF 167W.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
758 
FZAK62 PAFC 081243
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-090300-
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 53N 151W AT 970 MB THIS
AFTERNOON AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO 55N 155W SAT
MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 59N 175W AT 974 MB SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-090300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...STRONGEST N OF 56N. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-090300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON E OF 176W. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF 176W.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NW TO NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-090300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT EXCEPT BECOMING NW 10 TO 20 KT E OF 176W IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF 176W.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT...STRONGEST E OF 176W. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-090300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
343 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO NW TO NE 20 TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW TO E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT S OF 57N. EAST 20 KT OTHERWISE. SEAS 10
TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$
608 
FZAK62 PAFC 090000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-091500-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 971 MB LOW AT 55N 157W PUSHES TO 61N 174E AS A 978 MB LOW BY MON
MORNING. A 985 MB LOW NEAR 52N 179E WEAKENS AS IT MOVES TO 54N
179W AND DISSIPATES SAT AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW AT 58N 165E DIPS
TO 53N 171E AS A 994 MB LOW SAT MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING SAT
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND UP TO 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-091500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT E 20 TO 35 KT N OF 57N AND
E OF 168W. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT E 2O TO 35 KT N OF 57N. SEAS
8 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.

$$
472 
FZAK62 PAFC 091234
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-100245-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW AT 54N 155W MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO 58N
174W SUN MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 60N 176E AT 977 MB MON MORNING. A
NORTH PACIFIC FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL
BAY SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES EARLY MON.

$$

PKZ411-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT E 2O TO 35 KT N OF 57N. SEAS
8 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
349 
FZAK62 PAFC 091234 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

CORRECTED AREA 414

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-100245-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 970 MB LOW AT 54N 155W MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO 58N
174W SUN MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 60N 176E AT 977 MB MON MORNING. A
NORTH PACIFIC FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL
BAY SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES EARLY MON.

$$

PKZ411-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-100245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
334 AM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT E 20 TO 35 KT N OF 57N.
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
549 
FZAK62 PAFC 100003
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101530-
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 974 MB LOW AT 57N 166W MOVES TO 61N 175E AS A 986 MB LOW BY MON
MORNING BEFORE MOVING INLAND AND DISSIPATING MON AFTERNOON. A 980
MB LOW NEAR 54N 152W MOVES TO 58N 159W AT 988 MB MON AFTERNOON. A
973 MB LOW AT 46N 151E MON MORNING MOVES TO 49N 159E AT THE SAME
STRENGTH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-101530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY
S OF 57N.
.MON...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-101530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF 57N. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-101530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
W OF 177W.
.MON...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-101530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
303 PM AKST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT IN THE EVENING N
OF 57N. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S TO W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$
488 
FZAK62 PAFC 101225
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-110215-
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW AT 58N 176W MOVES TO 61N 175E AS A 983 MB LOW BY MON
MORNING BEFORE MOVING INLAND AND DISSIPATING. A 980 MB LOW NEAR
54N 151W MOVES TO 58N 158W AT 985 MB MON MORNING...THEN MOVES TO
62N 166W AT 988 MB TUE MORNING. A 967 MB LOW AT 48N 168E MON
MORNING MOVES TO 49N 176E AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-110215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-110215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT...EXCEPT NE 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT
LATE MORNING N OF 57N. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-110215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-110215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
325 AM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$
976 
FZAK62 PAFC 110000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-111445-
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW AT 58N 176W MOVES TO 61N 175E AS A 983 MB LOW BY MON
MORNING BEFORE MOVING INLAND AND DISSIPATING. A 980 MB LOW NEAR
54N 151W MOVES TO 58N 158W AT 985 MB MON MORNING...THEN MOVES TO
62N 166W AT 988 MB TUE MORNING. A 967 MB LOW AT 48N 168E MON
MORNING MOVES TO 49N 176E AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY W OF 168E.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE UP TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING W UP TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW TO NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ414-111445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST SUN JAN 10 2016

.TONIGHT...W OF 167W...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
SW 10 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM 167W EAST...NW WIND 15 TO 30
KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
174 
FZAK62 PAFC 111239
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-120230-
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 976 MB LOW NEAR 59N 176E MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN SIBERIA THIS
AFTERNOON. A 980 MB LOW AT 57N 157W WILL MOVE TO 62N 170W AT 988
MB WED MORNING. A 970 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 48N 170E THIS
AFTERNOON AT 967 MB...THEN MOVES TO 48N 178W AT 974 MB WED
MORNING. A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATE TUE.

$$

PKZ411-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...W TO S WIND 15 TO 30 KT...BECOMING E 25 KT S OF 56N LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...S TO W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W TO N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...W WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS
6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-120230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
339 AM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TODAY...N TO W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 6, 4:50 PM AKST, 10 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 4:50 PM AKST, 10 hours 40 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
450 PM AKST WED JAN 6 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN FEATURE DOMINATING THE ALASKA WEATHER MAP TODAY IS AN
IMPRESSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS SPINNING OVER ATKA. CURRENT
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN IMPRESSIVE FRONT THAT STRETCHES
WELL INTO THE PACIFIC...AND IS STREAMING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARDS. THIS FRONT HAS ALREADY SUPPORTED
SEVERAL GUSTS ABOVE HURRICANE STRENGTH ACROSS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS MORNING...ALONG WITH STEADY RAIN. ALONG THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THIS LOW...A LOW LEVEL JET IS DEVELOPING...AND WILL
SUPPORT STRONG GUSTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL OMEGA BLOCK OVER NORTHWEST
CANADA IS SUPPORTING GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ONLY IN THE NEAR SHORT
TERM. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MODELS GENERALLY INDICATE THAT
THE SURFACE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE
BERING. HOWEVER...THERE IS MUCH MORE DISCREPANCY ON HOW AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE EVOLVES TOWARD THE END OF THE SHORT TERM. THE
GFS AND NAM FAVOR A MORE ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL WAVE...WHILE THE
ECMWF FAVORS A MORE CONSOLIDATED UPPER LOW. THE MORE CONSISTENT
ECMWF SOLUTION WAS FAVORED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE REGION THIS EVENING...BUT WILL EVENTUALLY LOSE INFLUENCE AS
A MEANDERING NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA UPPER LOW MOVES INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS RATHER WEAK AND
LACKING IN MOISTURE...SO RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
REMAIN RELEGATED TO COASTAL MOUNTAINS...WITH A FEW FLURRIES ACROSS
THE EASTERN COPPER BASIN. THEREAFTER...A SERIES OF LOWS FORMING
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A DEEP BERING SEA LOW WILL CROSS OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA...TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE
GULF OF ALASKA...AND SPREADING MORE ABUNDANT MOISTURE INTO COASTAL
LOCATIONS. THE MOST PERSISTENT RAIN AND STRONGEST WINDS WILL FROM
KODIAK TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA. THIS PATTERN WILL YIELD A
VERY STRONG INLAND DOWNSLOPE SHADOW...SO CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT
INLAND LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A RELATIVELY QUIET NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
AS WEAK TRANSITORY RIDGING SUPPORTS MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
THE AREA. A CHANCE OF SNOW WILL RETURN TO THE BRISTOL BAY AND
KUSKOKWIM DELTA REGIONS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAKENING
BERING FRONT ARRIVES ALONG THE COAST...WITH THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION THEN CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT/INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH BEGINS TO NOSE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING NORTH PACIFIC LOW. WARMER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM...SUPPORTING AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER
TO RAIN ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION FOR ANY PRECIPITATION THAT
DOES FALL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE STORM FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY IMPACTING A WIDE SWATH OF THE
BERING WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE DEEP LOW NORTH OF
ATKA BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND TRACKS NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA. THIS WILL LEAVE MUCH OF THE BERING IN A SHOWERY REGIME
THROUGH FRIDAY BENEATH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW...WITH THE BULK OF THE
ACTIVITY FOCUSED OVER THE SOUTHEAST BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS SYSTEM
IS NOT WELL HANDLED BY THE MODELS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA ON FRIDAY...WITH SOME GUIDANCE TRACKING THE LOW RAPIDLY
INTO THE EASTERN BERING AND OTHER MODELS KEEPING IT SOUTH OF THE
AKPEN INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS LENDS BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE TO
THE FORECAST BY FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY WITH RESPECT TO WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...A GALE FORCE LOW MOVES NORTH ACROSS
THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE BERING SEA. RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE
MOST STEADY ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT OUT AHEAD OF THE LOW
EXTENDING NORTHWEST THROUGH THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN BERING SEA.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW
TRACK WILL BRING RAIN TO MAINLY UPSLOPE LOCATIONS FROM SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TO THE GULF COAST REGION.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...LITTLE CHANGE
IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED...WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN THAT HAS BROUGHT WARM AIR AND PLENTIFUL
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO MAINLAND ALASKA FOR THE LAST WEEK. THE
BERING/ALEUTIAN BASIN WILL BEAR THE BRUNT OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER
FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY
PRECIPITATION. MEANWHILE...THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL SEE
MULTIPLE BUT RELATIVELY MINOR ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION (MOSTLY
RAIN) DURING THE PERIOD WITH WINDS STAYING MAINLY ALONG THE COAST.
WITH RELATIVELY HIGHER PRESSURE INLAND AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
OVER THE BERING SEA...NORTH PACIFIC...AND GULF OF ALASKA...NORTHERLY
WINDS AT THE LOWEST LEVELS OF COOK INLET WILL KEEP THE MAIN
POPULATION CENTERS MOSTLY DRY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 187 195.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 138 173 174 175 176 177 179 185.
         GALE WARNING 120 130 131 132 136 137 150 155 165
                      170 172 178 180 181.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...CC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 6, 3:06 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC37 hr
Jan 6, 3:06 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC37 hr
Jan 7, 3:36 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Jan 7, 3:36 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC8 days
Jan 7, 3:36 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC11 hr
Jan 7, 3:41 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Jan 7, 3:41 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 7, 3:41 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Jan 7, 2:57 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Jan 7, 2:57 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Jan 7, 2:57 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC61 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.