Gale Warning 462, NWS Anchorage, AK

176 
FZAK51 PAFC 061646
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070345-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN GULF DISSIPATES THIS EVENING. A SECOND
TROUGH ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT AND MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF SUN MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH EARLY SUN.

$$

PKZ119-070345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-070345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-070345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-070345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT INCREASING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-070345-
PORT VALDEZ-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-070345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-070345-
VALDEZ ARM-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-070345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-070345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-070345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-070345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-070345-
CHINIAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-070345-
MARMOT BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-070345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-070345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PERIODS OF RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-070345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-070345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
846 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

333 
FZAK51 PAFC 062314
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071145-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE TONIGHT AND MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF SUN MORNING. THE FRONT REACHES THE EASTERN GULF
BY LATE SUN.

$$

PKZ119-071145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-071145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-071145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-071145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-071145-
PORT VALDEZ-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-071145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-071145-
VALDEZ ARM-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-071145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-071145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-071145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-071145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-071145-
CHINIAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-071145-
MARMOT BAY-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 2
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-071145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-071145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-071145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-071145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
314 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
412 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The main feature continues to be the vertically stacked low that
sits north of the Pribilof Islands this morning. An associated
front is currently supporting widespread showers across much of
southcentral. A potent shortwave rotating through the flow is
bringing a round of showers to the Alaska Peninsula and Bristol
Bay Regions. Meanwhile broad moist southwesterly flow is aiding in
low clouds and scattered showers further northwest across the
Kuskokwim Valley. A second disorganized low sits in the far
western Bering Sea with an associated front moving across the
western and central Aleutians with additional showers in this
region. Back to the east, the ridge remains centered over the
eastern gulf of Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in great agreement synoptically in the short term as
the low centered over the Pribilofs drifts to the northeast
towards Nunivak Island and lingers through the short term. As a
result broad moist southwesterly flow will be established through
the short term. Downslope winds in the Anchorage area may bring
down some of the rain totals but overall it appears that the
downslope component is not hindering the precipitation from
reaching the surface as much as previously thought.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The upper level low will remain near the Nunivak Island/Kuskokwim
Delta region through Sunday night. This will keep moist southerly
flow aloft over south central Alaska. The low will send a couple
of systems through the area this weekend. The first is over south
central Alaska this morning and will move inland and dissipate
this afternoon. The next system will reach Kodiak Island this
afternoon and then the mainland tonight bringing another batch of
rain to the area. This system will then move east later Sunday,
with trailing showers Sunday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Low pressure continues to spin between the Pribilofs and Nunivak
Island and will continue to pivot disturbances around it and
across Southwest Alaska for the next couple of days. The low will
remain in place and drift north and east off the Y-K Delta
through Sunday, keeping clouds and rain/showers over the entire
region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The low over the northern and eastern Bering will reach near gale
force today, with rain continuing across the Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula in association with a quasi-stationary front with
multiple waves moving east bringing periods of rain and showers.
Northerly flow will help push the front south of the Western
Aleutians by Sunday night bringing relief from the wet conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Models remain in agreement that the upper low over the eastern
Bering will remain through midweek. It will continue to send rain
and shower producing impulses over mainland Ak through that
period. Another upper low moving east from Kamchatka will then
absorb the original Bering low and send more rain and showers to
the mainland through the rest of next week. Although there will be
brief periods of small scale ridging between major portions of
these features, exact timing of breaks in the precipitation is
poorly represented.

At about the same time that the Kamchatka upper low crosses the
Bering late Wed, the weakening remnants of a tropical system will
approach the western Aleutians. Models are in relative disarray in
the handling of this system. What is clear is that it will move
across the Bering, reaching at least the central Bering by the
weekend. At this time it will bring some gale force winds to the
western islands after Wed, with seas enhanced by a long fetch
across the north Pacific. Although confidence is increasing, exact
timing of wind speeds and sea heights remains uncertain.

The forecast utilized gfs and nam for day 3 (Sun night and Mon).
After that time WPC guidance, which utilized ensemble components
as well as the operational EC and GFS, was used. This emphasized
the slower GFS solution with respect to the tropical remnant low.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LIW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...DS