Gale Warning 422, NWS Anchorage, AK

203 
FZAK52 PAFC 302301
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-311230-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 MB LOW NEAR 52N 170W MOVES TO 53N 171W AT 987 MB TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 52N 169W AT 995 MB WED AFTERNOON. A 1006
MB LOW NEAR 61N 165W RACES WESTWARD TO NEAR THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-311230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-311230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-311230-
BRISTOL BAY-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-311230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-311230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-311230-
UNALASKA BAY-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-311230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-311230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-311230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-311230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-311230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-311230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-311230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-311230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-311230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-311230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-311230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
301 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

402 
FZAK52 PAFC 311139
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010015-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH TUE NIGHT WHILE WEAKENING TO 991 MB...THEN
MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC 280 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR THROUGH
WED NIGHT WHILE WEAKENING TO 997 MB.

$$

PKZ150-010015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-010015-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-010015-
BRISTOL BAY-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-010015-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-010015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-010015-
UNALASKA BAY-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-010015-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-010015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-010015-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-010015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ176-010015-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-010015-
ADAK TO KISKA-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ178-010015-
KISKA TO ATTU-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-010015-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ180-010015-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ181-010015-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-010015-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
339 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

523 
FZAK52 PAFC 312312
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-011215-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 MB LOW 75 NM WEST OF NIKOLSKI MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF
NIKOLSKI AT 995 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH THU
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-011215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT NE 30 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-011215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-011215-
BRISTOL BAY-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-011215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-011215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-011215-
UNALASKA BAY-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-011215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-011215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-011215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-011215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ176-011215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ177-011215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-011215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-011215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-011215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-011215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ185-011215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
312 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 PM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The high pressure system that has been entrenched over the
mainland for the past few days is beginning to retrograde to the
west, allowing a shift in the pattern for mainland Alaska. Broad
northerly flow on the eastern side of this high has brought dry
air and warm temperatures to the mainland over the past several
days. Today, this is being enhanced by an upper level jet streak
that will move southward over the southcentral region. As the day
continues, winds have already started mixing down with gusty
winds ramping up in the Susitna Valley. This should bring down
dry air from aloft as well. Although the RH values are already low
at the surface there is a significant dry layer just above 700 mb,
as seen on this morning's sounding from Anchorage. Mixing this dry
air down should continue dry conditions around the region.

A second feature of interest this morning is a trough moving in
from the east behind the high as it continues to retrograde. This
trough is expected to pick up what little mid level moisture is
available, and combined with the upper level instability generated
by the jet streak, lead to development of thunderstorms as the
trough moves westward. Satellite shows convective activity
already this morning and a few early lightning strikes near the
Al-Can border indicate that the instability is definitely there.

Further west the pattern continues to be dominated by the upper
level high. An upper level low just south of the Aleutians will
bring precipitation to the central Aleutians today, but most of
the Bering and the west coast is currently being affected by
marine stratus, as is evident on visible satellite this morning.
As the high shifts westward, flow should be transitioning to
offshore, pushing the remaining fog in the Kuskokwim Delta out
to the Bering Sea. Once this happens, conditions will dry out
significantly.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Model agreement was fairly high this morning and so confidence
in the short term forecast is high, except for the lingering fog
along the Kuskokwim coast, which was not handled well by any
model. The NAM was chosen for detail resolution in the short term.
By the Tuesday time frame, models begin to diverge on the
solution of the Aleutian low and confidence in the forecast
decreases.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Winds and dry air mixing down from aloft and thunderstorms are the
two main fire weather concerns for today. As mentioned, winds are
already kicking up in the Susitna Valley, and the Kuskokwim Valley
is also seeing near Red Flag conditions this morning. The struggle
will be along the Kuskokwim coast where fog has taken more of a
stronghold than expected this morning. Winds are expected to
become more offshore with the upper level support in the
afternoon, but the question still remains as to whether that will
happen in time to reach Red Flag criteria this afternoon and
evening. Best chances for that occurring are in the eastern side
of the zone, where skies remained clear this morning.

As for the thunderstorms, conditions look good for the approaching
shortwave to kick off storms in the Talkeetnas and possibly down
along the Kenai as well. This wave will move westward into the
Kuskokwim Valley tomorrow, bringing widely scattered thunderstorms
to that region. For today, the layer of dry air close to the
surface brings a risk that a few thunderstorms in the Southcentral
region may be dry, although they will be isolated. As this trough
pushes westward, the upper level flow will change to be more
southerly, bringing more moisture in and lowering the risk for dry
thunderstorms in any location tomorrow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Thunderstorms are popping up around the area this evening, while
slightly cooler conditions are expected through midweek. Scattered
to numerous showers are blossoming mainly along the Chugach and
Copper River Basin this evening while isolated lightning strikes
are showing up as well. These conditions will hold through the
evening before tapering off overnight. On Monday most of the
shower activity will be confined to the Kenai Peninsula in the
morning. As the system that produced these showers exits, a
slightly cooler air mass will come in behind it and will bring
cooler but still above normal temperatures to the mainland with
no precipitation forecast.

A weakening jet aloft combined with a shortwave trough and modest
instability is forcing showers and thunderstorms across the area.
Most of this activity is scattered in nature except for the
leading edge of the wave, over the Kenai Mountains, which is
producing quite a few lighting strikes. This trough will sit over
the southern Kenai Monday before exiting. The air mass behind the
exiting disturbance is much more stable though small pockets of
instability will exist over the terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Ridging will continue to bring sunny and warm conditions to the
southwest mainland this evening, while a developing surface trough
will bring increasing offshore flow to the Kuskokwim River and
Delta. Over Bristol Bay, this trough will bring onshore flow to
most of the area, while weak instability will produce showers or
even a few cracks of thunder along the Alaska Range this evening.
As this onshore flow diminishes with clearing skies tonight,
patchy fog may develop for a few hours overnight for the low
lying areas of Bristol Bay.

An easterly wave will then push overhead on Monday, bringing
showers and a chance of thunderstorms to the Alaska Range for the
afternoon, which will then move westward into the Kuskokwim Valley
and Delta for the late afternoon and evening hours. Afterwards,
broad cyclonic flow aloft on Tuesday will maintain a chance of
showers for the Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay, while sunny and
warm weather begins to return to the Kuskokwim Valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The gale force low moving through the Aleutians will bring gusty
winds and rain to the region through Monday when it will begin to
dissipate over the Southern Bering. To the west of this low,
northerly flow and cold air advection will allow for persistent
fog/stratus that has developed over the western Bering/Aleutians
to begin to diminish.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Tuesday through Saturday)...
The pattern heading into the middle of the week shifts toward
dominating low pressure across the gulf and ridging to the west.
The Bering will trend toward a drier and more stable environment
from mid week into next weekend. Meanwhile, low pressure across
the gulf advects moisture across the southern mainland through the
end of the week bringing increased cloud cover and rain chances.
After a relatively dry Wednesday, a deformation zone sets up near
the Alaska range as another low pressure system digs toward the
eastern Beaufort sea coast on Thursday. This combined with several
upper level shortwaves moving around systems will initiate convective
diurnal showers through the weekend. Models are in good agreement
on this synoptic change, however, there are differences in handling
multiple upper level disturbances from the two dominant lows. The
NAM was used to handle the transition into Wednesday and then
switched influence in the extended forecast to ECMWF along with
some of the 06Z GEFS MEAN which provided the best consistency.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 155 165 170 172 173 174 175 176 177.
FIRE WEATHER...Red Flag Warning 145 153 155.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
FIRE WEATHER...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...KH