Gale Warning 408, NWS Anchorage, AK

182 
FZAK51 PAFC 201153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210045-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATER
THIS MORNING. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI
AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRI NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE GULF LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-210045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210045-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210045-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210045-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210045-
MARMOT BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

171 
FZAK51 PAFC 201924 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

UPDATED ZONES 121 130 131

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210315-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATER
THIS MORNING. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF FRI
AFTERNOON AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE FRI NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE GULF LATE SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-210315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210315-
PORT VALDEZ-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210315-
VALDEZ ARM-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210315-
CHINIAK BAY-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210315-
MARMOT BAY-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1124 AM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
457 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The main low over the area sits over the Northern Bering and is
slowly moving to the west. Ridging is also building in over the
Gulf and these two features are allowing for southerly flow over
much of the Southcentral and Southwest Alaska. Another low is
approaching the AK Pen from the North Pacific and cloud cover from
this new system is already moving in over the AK Pen. This low is
also bringing up another push of warm air from the south.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The EC, GFS, and GEM are all in good agreement through the mid
term allowing for above average confidence with the approach of
the North Pacific low into Friday. The 00Z NAM was significantly
slower than the other models and kept a more southerly track and
was not preferred. However, the 06Z NAM is in much better
agreement with the other guidance.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A front entering the southwestern Gulf will slowly move north and
east through tonight. Rain is expected to only reach the southern
tip of the Kenai by late afternoon, however a chance for
showers just north of this system will be possible during the
afternoon as a weak short wave moves up from the western Gulf.
Light afternoon seabreezes develop this afternoon as the front
stays to the south. The front picks up a northerly pace early
evening with a trough axis swinging across the central Gulf. This
will bring a favorable set up for increased winds across channeled
terrain of Turnagain Arm and Knik River valley and also along the
Copper River. This flow regime downslopes west facing slopes late
evening, however rain chances increase overnight as a second
stronger wave moves up from the western Gulf.

The upper level jet stream continues to bring abundant moisture
into Southcentral through Friday night. The upper level low lifts
north late Friday which keeps higher rain chances across
Southcentral and the Gulf into early Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The large, vertically stacked low sitting over the Northern
Bering will keep cool and cloudy conditions over the southwest
mainland today in deep onshore flow, with periods of rain over
the Kuskokwim Delta as an embedded disturbance clips the coast.
Rain will then begin to push into the Bristol Bay region late this
afternoon as an elongated warm front begins to approach the
region from the North Pacific. This will signal the start of a
prolonged period of stratiform rain, with the wet pattern lasting
into the weekend as a surface low rides northward along the front
and a SW-NE oriented jet streak provides strong upper level
support.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The most active weather will remain confined to the Alaska
Peninsula for the next several days as the front and associated
surface low track northward into Bristol Bay through early
Saturday. Otherwise, fairly quiet weather will persist over the
rest of the Bering beneath the large upper low centered near
Saint Matthew Island, with a few showers across central portions
of the Bering and low stratus and fog over the western offshore
waters.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Starting in the Friday evening time frame, a vertically stacked
North Pacific low just south of Sand Point will track
northeastward up the western flank of the ridge and over Kodiak
Island by Saturday. This feature will start to push the ridging
over the gulf further eastward over the Eastern Gulf by Saturday
afternoon. The second in a series of fronts associated with this
weakening North Pacific low will track over Kodiak Island and the
western Gulf Friday night, then push northeastward into the
northern Gulf coast and Southern Mainland by Saturday morning.
This will bring another round of steady rain to much of the Gulf
Coast and Southern Mainland through Saturday night. Models
continue to struggle with the overall track and timing of these
systems, as it tracks northward through the Gulf and into the
Southern Mainland. The NAM was the outlier today being the
slowest solution, where the EC and Canadian models started to
trend toward the preferred GFS's faster and more northerly
solution.

Meanwhile, the Bering Sea and Aleutians will stay clear of
significant large-scale weather systems through the middle of next
week. The only exception will be the Eastern Bering/Aleutians and
Alaska Peninsula that will receive some winds and rainfall from
the above mentioned systems tracking in from the North Pacific
Friday night through Saturday morning. In general, this means the
area will experience typical warm-season conditions such as calm
winds, widespread low-clouds, and some foggy conditions over the
bering and Southwest coast. The models are slowly coming into
better agreement with high pressure building over the eastern
Bering/Aleutians and Southwestern Mainland over the weekend, then
shifting and strengthening over the Central and Eastern
Bering/Aleutians and into the beginning by Wednesday. Models are
also struggling with the next low/front tracking in from the west
over the western aleutians by mid week. Given the continued model
differences regarding these systems and overall pattern, forecast
confidence remains low through out the long term.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...dk
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...kh
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...cb
LONG TERM...tp