Gale Warning 350, NWS Anchorage, AK

404 
FZAK51 PAFC 112321
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121200-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA MOVES TO THE
CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES TUE MORNING. A WEAK LOW
COMPLEX OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC MOVES TO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA TUE NIGHT AND BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY.

$$

PKZ119-121200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121200-
PORT VALDEZ-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121200-
VALDEZ ARM-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121200-
CHINIAK BAY-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121200-
MARMOT BAY-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-121200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
321 PM AKDT MON APR 11 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

892 
FZAK51 PAFC 121157
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130045-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA DISSIPATES LATE
TONIGHT. A BROAD LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF MOVES TO 290 NM SOUTHEAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 992 MB TONIGHT AND DRIFTS TO 240 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1003 MB WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-130045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 10 KT THEN BECOMING S IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130045-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130045-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130045-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130045-
MARMOT BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-130045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 AM AKDT TUE APR 12 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS TOWARDS
THE OUTER BAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
302 PM AKDT SUN APR 10 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A SURFACE LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS ROTATING A FRONT
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. ANOTHER LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS IS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS IS PRODUCING THE
PRESSURE RISES ACROSS THE REGION THAT ARE FUELING THE GUSTY GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA...TURNAGAIN ARM AND OUT OF THE
KNIK RIVER VALLEY. THE STRONGER WINDS ARE STARTING TO SHOW UP
ALONG THE COPPER RIVER AS GULKANA HAS PICKED UP SOUTH WINDS. IN
THE BERING SEA TWO WEAK LOWS AT THE SURFACE ARE ROTATING CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DO A GOOD JOB AND ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN
THE SHORT TO MEDIUM RANGE. THE MODELS INITIALIZED WELL WITH
RESPECT TO THE SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES. THE QPF IS IN
GREAT AGREEMENT BETWEEN ALL THE MODELS AND AS USUAL THE HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS DO BETTER DEFINING THE DOWNSLOPE PRECIPITATION
SHADOWS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE DECAYING WEATHER FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND WITH THE
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WEAKENING RESULTING IN THE GAP WINDS
DIMINISHING BY LATE EVENING. THE UPPER LEVELS HAVE A TROUGH
EXITING THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL
GIVE A SMALL WINDOW OF CLEARING SKIES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL...EXCEPT
FOR THE NORTHERN COASTAL COMMUNITIES SEEING THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. LOOK FOR THE CROSS-BARRIER
FLOW TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DRIER CONDITIONS IN THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL...MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA REGIONS
HEADING INTO MONDAY. THE NEXT SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO AFFECT THE AREA
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A GALE FORCE LOW APPROACHING SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING A SWATH OF RAIN
AND GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE KODIAK ISLAND BY MONDAY NIGHT
BEFORE SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO THE THE SOUTHERN EASTERN KENAI
REGION HEADING INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE MOVING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE RAIN
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...ENDING QUICKLY FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH. IT IS STILL VERY EARLY IN THE CONVECTIVE SEASON
HOWEVER...AND WITH LITTLE CLEARING AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE LIMITING
SOLAR HEATING...NO THUNDER IS EXPECTED. SKIES WILL THEN PARTIALLY
CLEAR BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR BRISTOL BAY...AS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND WARMING 925 MB TEMPERATURES MOVE OVERHEAD.
WEAK RIDGING ON MONDAY WILL THEN KEEP SKIES PARTLY SUNNY WITH JUST
PASSING SHOWERS AND TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL. A FRONT
WILL THEN APPROACH THE AKPEN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...BRINGING
RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE ESPECIALLY TO THE PACIFIC SIDE OF
THE AKPEN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING INTO TUESDAY...THOUGH IT WILL WEAKEN AND NARROW IN PLACE AS
RIDGING UPSTREAM IMPINGES UPON IT BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
THIS WILL KEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND RAIN SHOWERS OVER THIS REGION.
OTHERWISE THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET UNTIL A WEATHER
FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE SOUTH
TUESDAY WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS AND A CHANCE OF WET SNOW AND SOME
RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING...THE REMNANTS OF A GULF OF ALASKA LOW
WILL BE SLOWLY MOVING EAST AND WEAKENING...LEAVING WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA. SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS IN
THE AFTERNOON AS THE MID APRIL SUN RAMPS UP. OTHERWISE...RATHER
DRY AND QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW SKIRTING THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN MOVES INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA. WITH THE LOW TRACKS REMAINING SOUTH OF THE
MAINLAND...THIS WILL KEEP A MOSTLY CROSS-BARRIER COMPONENT TO THE
LOW LEVEL WINDS...WHICH MEANS PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOSTLY ALONG
THE GULF COAST WITH DRIER INLAND CONDITIONS. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP
TEMPERATURES ABOVE AVERAGE AS SPRING CONTINUES TO SURGE FORWARD AT
A RAPID PACE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 132 138 150.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...JA