Gale Warning 344, NWS Anchorage, AK

Issued

Apr 8, 2016, 2:58 PM AKDT (22:58 UTC)

Expired

Apr 9, 2016, 3:30 AM AKDT

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS Anchorage, AK

183 
FZAK51 PAFC 082258
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091130-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND THIS
EVENING MOVES INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY SAT MORNING. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF UNTIL SUN
MORNING...THEN DISSIPATE.

$$

PKZ119-091130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT EARLY BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091130-
PORT VALDEZ-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT EARLY THIS EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.


$$

PKZ127-091130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091130-
VALDEZ ARM-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091130-
CHINIAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091130-
MARMOT BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
258 PM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 8, 5:27 AM AKDT, 9 hours 31 minutes earlier.

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
527 AM AKDT FRI APR 8 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

LOOKING AT THE EARLY MORNING WEATHER MAP...PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS HAVE ENTERED QUITE AN ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN. WE WILL FIRST LOOK AT A CONCENTRIC AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF CORDOVA. THIS HAS BROUGHT
PRETTY DECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO MUCH OF THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. WITH THIS LOW BEING SO COMPACT...THERE
IS A WELL DEFINED CUT OFF POINT IN THE RAINFALL...WHICH IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM PALMER TO
ANCHORAGE TO SEWARD. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
ONSHORE THIS MORNING AND BRING AN ABRUPT END TO THE RAINFALL.
LOOKING OUT WEST...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC SOUTH OF ADAK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO PUSH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WITH GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS BEING OBSERVED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION
REMAINS SOUTH THE OF THE ALEUTIANS BUT WILL QUICKLY IMPACT MUCH OF
THE CHAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. A TRIPLE POINT LOW HAS BEGUN TO
DEVELOP SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF UNALASKA THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE
WILL HELP BRING HEAVIER PRECIPITATION AS WELL AS STRONGER WINDS TO
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

LOOKING AT THE UPPER LEVELS...THE MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE IS A NICE
BOWLING BALL LOW CENTERED NEAR 47N 170W. THIS UPPER LOW WAS ONE
OF THE KEY INGREDIENTS THAT HELPED SPIN UP THE SFC LOW SOUTH OF
ADAK. A VERY IMPRESSIVE JET STREAK (115 KT AT 500 MB) HAS BEGUN TO
EXIT THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH SHOULD ONLY ACT TO AMPLIFY
THIS TROUGH EVEN FURTHER. AS THE TROUGH AMPLIFIES...THE DOWNSTREAM
RIDGING OVER SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA WILL AMPLIFY IN RESPONSE.
BASICALLY...IT LOOKS LIKE THE WEATHER PATTERN SEEN OVER THE PAST
MONTH OR TWO LOOKS TO CONTINUE WITH BROAD TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MUCH
OF ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH THE LOW
SOUTH OF CORDOVA BUT ARE HAVING A TOUCH OF DIFFICULTY WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TRIPLE POINT LOW SOUTH OF UNALASKA. CURRENT
RADAR OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW EXCELLENT MODEL
INITIALIZATION FOR THE LOW SOUTH OF CORDOVA WHICH LEADS TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF QUITE QUICKLY FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. OUT WEST...SOME MODELS ARE
STRUGGLING TO DETERMINE AT WHAT POINT TODAY THAT THE TRIPLE POINT
LOW BECOMES THE DOMINANT LOW CENTER AND AT WHAT TIME THE PARENT
LOW DISSIPATES. THIS SHOULD NOT HAVE TOO MUCH IMPACT ON THE
SENSIBLE WEATHER...BUT A QUICKER CONSOLIDATION OF THE TRIPLE POINT
LOW COULD LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT
LIFT NORTH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY. SNOW ACROSS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND RAIN ALONG THE NORTH GULF WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND BE FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL CLEARING. A WEAK
OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF THIS AFTERNOON
BRINGING RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO KODIAK ISLAND AND
SURROUNDING MARINE AREAS. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD NORTH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SAT.
PRECIPITATION...PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF RAIN...WILL BE HEAVIEST
ALONG THE COAST AND SOUTHEAST EXPOSURES AND GENERALLY SPOTTY
INLAND (LEE OF CHUGACH MOUNTAINS) DUE TO DOWNSLOPE DRYING. BRISK
AND GUSTY GAP FLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN
FAVORED LOCALS (TURNAGAIN ARM/KNIK RIVER VALLEY/COPPER RIVER) IN
RESPONSE TO A BUILDING COASTAL RIDGE AND PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE
INTERIOR. GAP FLOWS WILL CONTINUE IN MOST AREAS THROUGH SAT WITH
TURNAGAIN AND PORTAGE VALLEY WINDS REACHING STRONG WIND CRITERIA
BY EVENING AND HOLDING INTO LATE SAT. GALES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN GULF INTO SAT WITH THE REMNANTS OF
A COASTAL JET OVER THE EASTERN GULF HOLDING INTO LATE SAT NIGHT.

.FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS WEAK RIDGING SLOWLY
MOVES FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND INTO THE INTERIOR. THIS MAY
BRING SOME AREAS OF FOG/LOW STRATUS...ESPECIALLY AROUND BRISTOL
BAY. WITH OFFSHORE WINDS BEGINNING TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONT THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD OR DENSE.
STARTING THIS EVENING THIS FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND/OR WET SNOW
TO THE AREA...AS WELL AS STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TO THE ALEUTIAN RANGE
INTO SATURDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AND MAINLY OVER INTERIOR AREAS AS THE COAST
SHOULD QUICKLY WARM AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. A
SECOND WEAKER LOW WILL THEN QUICKLY FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT...KEEPING
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AND RAIN IN THE AREA INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE GALE FORCE FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL PROGRESS INTO THE PRIBILOFS FOR THIS EVENING AS IT SLOWLY
WEAKENS. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT
TO CAUSE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN TODAY...THOUGH
PERIODS OF WET SNOW MAY MIX IN THIS MORNING WITH MINIMAL
ACCUMULATION. THIS SHOULD HOLD TRUE FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS AS
WELL WHERE ANY SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
MID 30S...SO BLOWING SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A PROBLEM FROM THE
GALE FORCE WINDS. ON SATURDAY THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SLOWLY
WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL BERING...LEADING RAIN SHOWERS THROUGHOUT
THE REGION WITH WINDS DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
BROAD TROUGHING WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING CONTINUED
PRECIPITATION TO AREAS AROUND THE BERING AND THE NORTH GULF COAST.
THE NEXT BIG CHALLENGE IS A LOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE
ALEUTIANS TUESDAY. THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES AMONGST THE
MODELS ON THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THIS LOW BUT THEY HAVE BEEN
PROGRESSIVELY GETTING MORE IN LINE WITH EACH OTHER. THE OVERALL
AGREEMENT IS FOR THE LOW TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 960S LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AS IT MAKES ITS WAY SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. IT WILL
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EAST. THERE REMAINS DISAGREEMENT
WHETHER IT WILL TRACK INTO THE BERING OR STAY TO THE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS. THE EC HAS BEEN BY FAR THE MOST CONSISTENT WITH THIS
SYSTEM AND IS KEEPING IT SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. IF THINGS STAY ON
TRACK THE LOW COULD BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS BUT
CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW IN THE EXACT TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 130 131 150 155 160 165 170 172 173 174 176
              179 180.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MMC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...DK

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.