Gale Warning 283, NWS Anchorage, AK

202 
FZAK51 PAFC 191854
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200315-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT PERSISTS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH SUN
AFTERNOON. A SECOND WEAK FRONT TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE
SAT AFTERNOON BEFORE MERGING WITH THE FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST BY EARLY SUN MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING ONSHORE. A 997 MB
LOW DEVELOPS 50 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SUN EVENING MOVES 100 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AT 1000 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-200315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-200315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-200315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-200315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-200315-
PORT VALDEZ-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-200315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-200315-
VALDEZ ARM-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT THIS EVENING. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-200315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-200315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-200315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-200315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-200315-
CHINIAK BAY-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ137-200315-
MARMOT BAY-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-200315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-200315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-200315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-200315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1054 AM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

934 
FZAK51 PAFC 192253
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201215-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT WILL PERSIST FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST TO SOUTH OF KODIAK 
THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A 985 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL
BE A 1002 MB LOW 420 NM SOUTH OF KETCHIKAN MON AFTERNOON. A 993 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK SUN EVENING AND PERSIST
200 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-201215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
S AND W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND 
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201215-
PORT VALDEZ-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201215-
VALDEZ ARM-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201215-
CHINIAK BAY-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201215-
MARMOT BAY-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
253 PM AKDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

464 
FZAK51 PAFC 201149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210100-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT WILL PERSIST FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST TO THE EAST SIDE OF
KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KODIAK DISSIPATES BY SUN AFTERNOON. A 991 MB LOW FORMS 190 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO A WEAK TROUGH
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-210100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-210100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-210100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-210100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-210100-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-210100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-210100-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-210100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-210100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-210100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-210100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-210100-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-210100-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-210100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-210100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-210100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-210100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

303 
FZAK51 PAFC 202257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211130-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST MOVES INTO KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
WEST GULF COAST BY MON MORNING. A 990 MB LOW 275 NM EAST OF SITKINAK
ISLAND MON MORNING MOVES TO NEAR AKHIOK MON NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A STRONG FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF MIDDAY
TUE.

$$

PKZ119-211130-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING NE 30 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS BECOMING SE
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211130-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS E
WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211130-
RESURRECTION BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS OUT OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211130-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE WIND 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. E
WIND GUSTING TO 25 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211130-
PORT VALDEZ-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW..
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211130-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211130-
VALDEZ ARM-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211130-
PASSAGE CANAL-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211130-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211130-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211130-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211130-
CHINIAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211130-
MARMOT BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211130-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211130-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211130-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211130-
KACHEMAK BAY-
257 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DEVELOPING THIS EVENING. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
417 PM AKDT FRI MAR 18 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
BENIGN WEATHER IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN MAINLAND ALASKA
THIS AFTERNOON WITH POLAR HIGH PRESSURE WELL NORTH OF THE AREA
KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY. ONE OF THIS WINTERS FEW COLDER AIR
MASSES...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEAST
ALASKA...STANDS POISED TO HEAD TOWARDS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. ITS
INTERACTION WITH WARMER AIR CONTAINING PLENTIFUL GULF MOISTURE
MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE FORM OF AN UPPER LEVEL WARM FRONT WILL BE
THE INGREDIENTS IN PLACE FOR SNOW IN SOUTHCENTRAL. THE WARM FRONT
IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STALLED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF.

A BARRIER JET FEATURE IS STARTING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PUSHES UP AGAINST THE
MOUNTAINS. MIDDLETON ISLAND RADAR SHOWS SOME WEAK BANDING FEATURES
IN THE STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION IN THE SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. PERSISTENT LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL CONTINUES IN VALDEZ
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE...WITH TEMPERATURES IN TOWN
HOVERING A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING. MEANWHILE IN CORDOVA
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMER THOUGH A MUCH DEEPER LAYER OF
ATMOSPHERE...RESULTING IN THE STEADY PRECIPITATION REMAINING ALL
LIQUID. THE USUAL DOWNSLOPING THAT KEEPS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
DRY IN MOST OF THESE EVENTS IS NONEXISTENT TODAY AS THE WINDS FROM
MOUNTAINTOP TO VALLEY BOTTOM ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE MOISTURE
REACHING THAT AREA IS FLOWING OVER THE MOUNTAINS AS IF THEY WERE
NOT THERE THANKS TO EFFICIENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE. AS A
RESULT...STEADY SNOWFALL IS ONGOING OVER MUCH OF THE BASIN.

OUT WEST...SKIES ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA ARE COMPLETELY
CLEAR...ALLOWING A REMARKABLY GOOD LOOK AT THE SNOW COVER OVER
THE AREA WITH THE SEA ICE OUT IN THE BERING ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE AFOREMENTIONED POLAR HIGH IS KEEPING A COLD OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. TEMPERATURES LAST NIGHT FELL
WELL INTO THE TEENS ALONG BRISTOL BAY...WITH SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRENGTHENING MID-MARCH SUN
BRINGING OVER 12 HOURS OF DAYLIGHT TO ALL OF ALASKA...THE FULL
SUNSHINE HAS ALLOWED A GOOD RECOVERY IN TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON.

OVER THE BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA...A STALLED OUT FRONT SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA DEMARCATING THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
STRONG LOW OUT OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC IS KEEPING CLOUDY CONDITIONS
FOR THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA...ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS.
PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN LIGHT AND WIDELY SCATTERED OVER THAT AREA.
A COMPACT LOW NEAR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS IS MAKING FOR
ACTIVE WEATHER OVER MUCH OF THE REST OF THE CHAIN.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWED DOWN ON THE TIMING OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVING SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THEY HAD BEEN
FAIRLY CONSISTENT PREVIOUSLY SO THIS CHANGE DOES IMPACT THE
AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE AND THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE. CONFIDENCE
IS STILL HIGH THAT THERE WILL BE PRECIPITATION RETURNING TO
SOUTHCENTRAL BUT THE EXACT START TIME IS A LITTLE MORE AMBIGUOUS.
ANOTHER QUESTION SURROUNDS HOW MUCH WARM AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THE GFS REMAINING THE OUTLIER. NAM WAS THE MODEL
OF CHOICE FOR TODAY'S FORECAST AS THE MOST RELIABLE OF THE
BUNCH...AND THE BEST FOR SMALLER SCALE FEATURES INCLUDING POSSIBLE
PRECIPITATION BANDING AND DOWNSLOPING LATER IN THE WEEKEND. MODELS
IN THE WEST WERE MUCH MORE CONSISTENT IN FORECAST SOLUTION AND A
NAM/GEM BLEND WAS CHOSEN FOR TODAY'S FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MODELS HAVE SHIFTED FURTHER TO THE EAST SINCE LAST NIGHT OF
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND IS NOW EXPECTED TO ESSENTIALLY HEAD
SOUTHWARD DOWN THE SPINE OF THE ALASKA RANGE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. AS A RESULT...SNOWFALL DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT
SOUTHCENTRAL IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST 6 HRS SLOWER TO DEVELOP
THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS FURTHER EASTWARD TRACK ALSO BROUGHT
WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN EARLIER THAN EXPECTED
THIS MORNING...AND AS A RESULT A SNOW ADVISORY HAVE BEEN ISSUED
THERE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE BIGGEST AREAS OF CONCERN THERE
EXISTS ALONG HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH AND WEST OF GLENNALLEN
(INCLUDING AREAS OF THE GLENN AND RICHARDSON HIGHWAYS) THAT HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO RECEIVE NEARLY A FOOT OF NEW SNOWFALL FROM THIS
SYSTEM BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OVER THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MATANUSKA
VALLEY...MODEL AGREEMENT IS VERY GOOD THAT SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO
DEVELOP NEAR PALMER BY LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SAT MORNING...THEN
SLOWLY SPREAD WESTWARD TOWARDS ANCHORAGE BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS
SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...UNTIL LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING WHEN IT WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH. BY
SUNDAY...ANOTHER MUCH WARMER SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY APPROACH THE
NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING ENOUGH WARM AIR WITH IT TO SWITCH
MOST AREAS OF IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND OVER THE RAIN...AND
BRING DOWNSLOPE DRYING INTO INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ANOTHER CLEAR EVENING IS ON TAP FOR THE MAINLAND AS DRY AIR STAYS
OVERHEAD. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN FOR THE EARLY
WEEKEND STAYING ABOUT THE SAME LEVELS AS CURRENTLY OBSERVED...IN
THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE BIG CHANGE WILL BE A
MUCH COLDER AIR MASS DROPPING IN FROM THE INTERIOR BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS AIR MASS WILL STOP TEMPERATURES FROM
GETTING TOO WARM DURING THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW...HOWEVER THE CLEAR
SKY AND MARCH SUN WILL STILL HAVE AN EFFECT ON THE DIURNAL RANGE.
ONGOING WIND WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PUT WIND CHILL VALUES
WELL BELOW ZERO IN MOST AREAS. EARLY SUNDAY MORNING A FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE MAINLAND FROM THE EAST BRINGING LIGHT SNOW TO PARTS
OF THE GREATER BRISTOL BAY AREA AS WELL AS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LEFTOVER FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING SNOW TO ADAK AND ATKA
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE MAINLY DRY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE
CHAIN AND ALASKA PENINSULA...BUT NOTHING MAJOR. A COLD AIR MASS
WILL COME OFF THE MAINLAND LATE SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A WET PATTERN WILL ENSUE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND AS LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF SENDS WEAK
PULSES TO THE NORTH. THE LONG RANGE FORECAST WAS KEPT INTACT FOR
THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE DUE TO HIGHER UNCERTAINTY OF THE NEW MODEL
SOLUTIONS. THE LAST TWO MODEL RUNS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE
INTERACTION OF THE TWO MAIN UPPER LOWS FROM THE EASTERN BERING AND
NORTH PACIFIC. THE ECMWF IS THE OUTLIER AS IT COMPLETELY CHANGES
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE PATTERN THROUGH THE END OF THE NEXT WEEK.
EXTENDED FORECASTS WILL LIKELY STAY COMPLICATED THIS WEEK AS
ENERGY FROM UPPER LEVEL LOWS FROM THE ARCTIC AND PACIFIC BEGIN AN
ACTIVE PATTERN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...SNOW ADVISORY 141.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 180.
 HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 160 180 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW/LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ML
LONG TERM...KH