Gale Warning 276, NWS Anchorage, AK

493 
FZAK52 PAFC 170335 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

CORRECTED ZONES TYPO 177 178

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171545-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 976 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 145 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 984 MB WED NIGHT THEN EXIT TO THE
NORTHWEST ON THU. AN ASSOCIATED STRONG WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA WILL REMAIN STATIONARY
AS IT DISSIPATES THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI. A 1009 MB LOW WILL FORM
225 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA THU EVENING WILL TRACK TO 130 NM EAST OF
SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON AT 1001 MB.


$$

PKZ150-171545-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-171545-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-171545-
BRISTOL BAY-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-171545-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-171545-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-171545-
UNALASKA BAY-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-171545-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-171545-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-171545-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-171545-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT W WIND 10 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-171545-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-171545-
ADAK TO KISKA-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...25 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-171545-
KISKA TO ATTU-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...28 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-171545-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-171545-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-171545-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-171545-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
735 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 30 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

088 
FZAK52 PAFC 171156
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180115-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 MB LOW 220 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA THIS MORNING MOVES TO 470
NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 998 MB THU NIGHT BEFORE MOVING FARTHER
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMS
150 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA FRI MORNING. THIS SYSTEM MOVES 120 NM SOUTH
OF ADAK AT 1004 MB SAT MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY SAT MIDDAY.

$$

PKZ150-180115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN THE MORNING BUILDING
TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-180115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 18
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-180115-
BRISTOL BAY-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-180115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN
THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-180115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN THE EVENING BUILDING TO 12
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-180115-
UNALASKA BAY-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DEVELOPING LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-180115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT EARLY BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN
WITH SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-180115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-180115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-180115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-180115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-180115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...24 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-180115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 25
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-180115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-180115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-180115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-180115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
356 AM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.

$$

465 
FZAK52 PAFC 172253
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181215-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS OVER THE BERING SEA. A 1011 MB LOW 390 NM
SOUTH OF SHEMYA MOVES OVER AMCHITKA ISLAND AS A 1004 MB LOW THEN
SHIFTS TO 150 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WITH NO CHANGE IN PRESSURE FRI
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-181215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-181215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ160-181215-
BRISTOL BAY-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-181215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-181215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-181215-
UNALASKA BAY-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-181215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-181215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-181215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-181215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-181215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-181215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON PACIFIC
SIDE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-181215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...BECOMING NW WIND 25 KT E OF SHEMYA IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-181215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-181215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-181215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-181215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
253 PM AKDT THU MAR 17 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
546 AM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOWS A LONGWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE
MAINLAND FOLLOWED BY A RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING/ALEUTIANS. FURTHER WEST...A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SPINS
OFF THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA COAST AND HEADS EASTWARD TOWARD THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS...WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT CURRENTLY BRINGING
WET AND WINDY WEATHER TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. WITH NORTHERLY
FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PARKED OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA...COLDER AIR HAS FILTERED DOWN OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND AND PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THIS MORNING. THE BAND OF SNOW WHICH PRODUCED A QUICK SHOT
OF MODERATE SNOWFALL OVER THE ANCHORAGE AREA LAST NIGHT HAS
PROGRESSED NORTHWARD OVER BOTH THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND SUSITNA
VALLEY THIS MORNING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER...FOR THE FINE
SCALE DETAILS OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE REGION...THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE PLACEMENT/TIMING AND TYPE OF
PRECIPITATION OVER PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL. THE GFS AND EC ARE
SHOWING SIGNS OF PRECIPITATION BRIEFLY RE-FORMING ALONG THE
CHUGACH/KENAI/TALKEETNA RANGES DURING THE DAY TODAY AND PERSISTING
INTO THE EVENING. WHEREAS THE NAM AND GEM RE-DEVELOP THIS
PRECIPITATION DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. THE MODELS ARE
ALSO STRUGGLING WITH THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE NEXT WAVE
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE GFS AND EC ARE KEEPING THE PRECIPITATION FURTHER
WEST...STRETCHING AS FAR WEST AS THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND MATANUSKA
VALLEY. THE NAM HOWEVER KEEPS MUCH OF THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY DRY...WITH THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION MAINLY
SETTING UP FROM VALDEZ AND EAST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS SLIGHTLY
LOWER WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...GIVEN THE SMALL SCALE
DISCREPANCIES EARLY ON...AND THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES REGARDING
THE NEXT WAVE LATER IN THE WEEK.

OUT WEST...THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST. THE MODELS SEEM TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...AS WELL AS THE FRONT PUSHING INTO THE AKPEN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS THEN BEGIN TO STRUGGLE WITH THE
TIMING/PLACEMENT OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW THAT FORMS SOUTHWEST OF
ADAK FRIDAY MORNING. THE GFS AND NAM REMAIN THE FASTER AND MORE
NORTHERN SOLUTION...WHEREAS THE EC IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND WEAKER
WITH BEING THE SOUTHERN-MOST SOLUTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.
SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF OVER MUCH OF COOK INLET AND THE SOUTHERN AND
THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY
PERSISTENT OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY...WESTERN TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS...AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS THROUGH
TODAY. SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF OVER THESE AREAS WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE UPPER TROUGH TONIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE NORTH GULF
COAST WHICH WILL SEE SNOW OR A MIX WITH BROAD UNDER PERSISTENT
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. ON THU...THE FOCUS SHIFTS TO A GALE FRONT
MOVING NORTH IN THE GULF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM KING SALMON SOUTH AND
EAST THIS MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL VORT MAX SWINGS THROUGH THE
REGION. THESE SHOWERS LOOK TO TAPER OFF BEFORE MIDDAY AS THE VORT
MAX QUICKLY SHIFTS INTO THE INTERIOR OF ALASKA. THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO FEEL THE
IMPACTS OF THIS VORT MAX AS IT HAS ALLOWED VERY COLD AIR (-15 TO
-20 DEGREES CELSIUS AT 850 MB) TO BECOME ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER DOWN INTO THE
BRISTOL BAY AREA DURING THE DAY ONCE THE VORT MAX COMES THROUGH.
THIS WILL LEAD TO BELOW NORMAL HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. IN ADDITION...THIS AIR IS VERY DRY AND
WILL LEAD TO CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO STALL SOUTH OF THE
MAINLAND. THIS WILL ACT TO INCREASE THE OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE AS THE GRADIENT INCREASED. THE INCREASING OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL KEEP THE MAINLAND ON THE DRY SIDE BUT MAY INTRODUCE SOME
CLOUD COVER SOUTH OF KING SALMON. ALL IN ALL...THIS LOOKS TO BE A
MORE TYPICAL WINTER SET-UP THROUGH THE WEEK WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES
AND CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

THE FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL BE REACHING PEAK INTENSITY
EARLY THIS MORNING. SHEMYA HAS BEEN REPORTING GUSTS UP TO 61 KT
(70 MPH) THIS MORNING AND SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTS 50 TO 60 KT
WINDS ARE PRESENT OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA COASTAL AND OFFSHORE
ZONES. THIS FRONT WILL ELONGATE THIS AFTERNOON AS IT CLASHES WITH
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. THIS WILL KEEP
THE FRONT FROM PUSHING EAST OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND CAUSE THE
FRONT TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER TIME AS THE PARENT LOW MOVES FROM
NEAR SHEMYA INTO SIBERIA. A DECENT SLUG OF WARM AIR IS
ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT WHICH HAS ALREADY WARMED TEMPERATURES ABOVE
FREEZING. WITH THIS WARMER AIR...BLOWING SNOW DOES NOT SEEM TO BE
AN ISSUE AS SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY TURN TO RAIN AND TEMPERATURES WARM
ABOVE FREEZING.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL ENTER THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CENTERED OVER SHEMYA AND BE EJECTED NEAR ADAK LATE THURSDAY/EARLY
FRIDAY. THIS WILL HELP SPIN UP A WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS ON FRIDAY AND BRING A QUICK SHOT OF INCREASED RAINFALL
AND GALE FORCE WINDS BACK TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FOLLOWING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON THURSDAY. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AS IT CONTINUES TO CLASH WITH THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MAINLAND TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTH AND
EASTWARD THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIPITATION CONFINED TO EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN BY FRIDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
THE DOMINANT FEATURE DURING THE WEEKEND AS IT IS REINFORCED BY
SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND MOVES OVER THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR AS A DEEP CLOSED LOW. THIS WILL BRING A
CONTINUATION OF COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES GRADUALLY RETURNING TO
SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE GULF FROM
THE SOUTHEAST.

PRECIPITATION OVER THE BERING WILL INITIALLY BE CONFINED TO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGING IN PLACE OVER THE
EASTERN BERING AND WESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND.
HOWEVER THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD EASTWARD OVER
THE WEEKEND...AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS AND AN UPPER LOW SLIDES
EASTWARD ALONG THE CHAIN...AND ANOTHER UPPER LOW PUSHES SOUTHWARD
OVER MAINLAND ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...111 145.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...132 150 155 175 176 177.
         STORM WARNING...178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MMC
LONG TERM...TP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
129 PM AKDT WED MAR 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0656 AM     SNOW             10 NW MOOSE CREEK STATE 61.77N 149.30W
03/16/2016  E5.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

            NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT

0656 AM     SNOW             27 NNE CHASE            62.82N 149.91W
03/16/2016  M5.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOW COMPRESSED FROM YESTERDAY. STORM TOTAL 5 INCHES.

0656 AM     SNOW             11 ESE TRAPPER CREEK    62.17N 150.12W
03/16/2016  M5.0 INCH                           AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            NEAR TALKEETNA SPUR 5 INCHES WET SNOW

0707 AM     SNOW             9 SW THOMPSON PASS      61.06N 145.95W
03/16/2016  M4.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EARLY MORNING SNOWFALL

1200 PM     SNOW             ANCHORAGE               61.22N 149.87W
03/16/2016  M2.6 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1200 PM     SNOW             8 NW PALMER             61.69N 149.24W
03/16/2016  M4.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALPINE HISTORIC PARK

1200 PM     SNOW             3 S MEADOW LAKES        61.58N 149.61W
03/16/2016  E4.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

            5 MI NORTH OF WASILLA

1200 PM     SNOW             8 NW PALMER             61.69N 149.24W
03/16/2016  E4.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FISHHOOK RD

1200 PM     SNOW             19 SW CANTWELL          63.19N 149.36W
03/16/2016  E10.0 INCH                          AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            6-7 INCHES OVERNIGHT. STORM TOTAL 10 INCHES.

1200 PM     SNOW             13 NNW CHASE            62.63N 150.23W
03/16/2016  M4.0 INCH                           AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

KUTZ