Gale Warning 198, NWS Anchorage, AK

995 
FZAK51 PAFC 252355
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261300-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH EARLY FRI BEFORE EXITING. A 982 MB LOW 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 70 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 979 MB FRI AFTERNOON
AND MOVES INLAND FRI NIGHT. A 963 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW SAT MORNING MOVES
TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON AND MAINTAINS
STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ119-261300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ120-261300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-261300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-261300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-261300-
PORT VALDEZ-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-261300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-261300-
VALDEZ ARM-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-261300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-261300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-261300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ132-261300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-261300-
CHINIAK BAY-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-261300-
MARMOT BAY-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-261300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-261300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-261300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-261300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
255 PM AKST THU FEB 25 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

623 
FZAK51 PAFC 261247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270215-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL TRACK TO 70 NM
NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 978 MB THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE PUSHING
INLAND WEST OF KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AS A BROAD 971
MB LOW SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-270215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO E WIND 40 KT BEFORE NOON.
SEAS 12 FT INCREASING TO 16 FT BEFORE NOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270215-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT WITH GUSTS TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270215-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 30 KT
BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270215-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270215-
MARMOT BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-270215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 AM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
434 PM AKST WED FEB 24 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A LARGE LOW CENTERED
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH THE JET STREAM RUNNING TO
THE SOUTH OF IT. THIS PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
MORE LOWS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC THAT MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
AND...AS THAT HAS BEEN THE CASE LATELY...IT WILL REMAIN THAT WAY.
THE AIR MASS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA IS
WARM AND IT IT STAY WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL
ALSO KEEP THE DOWNSLOPE GOING FOR THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS
THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN ALASKA THE NEXT FEW DAYS. OUT IN THE BERING
SEA THE FLOW HAS TURNED NORTHWEST WHICH IS BRINING IN SOME COLDER
AIR SO PRECIP TYPES OUT THAT WAY WILL BE MOSTLY SNOW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT HAVE
SOME TIMING INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE LOW ENTERING THE GULF ON
FRIDAY AND THE BERING SEA LOW THIS WEEKEND. THE GFS AND EC ARE A
BIT FASTER ON THE TIMING OF THE GULF LOW ON FRIDAY AS COMPARED
WITH THE NAM. THE EC WEAKENS THIS LOW FASTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS
AS WELL. AT THIS TIME THE GFS LOOKS LIKE THE BEST OVERALL
SOLUTION. IN THE BERING SEA THE LOW IS ELONGATING WHICH OFTEN
GIVE THE MODELS PROBLEMS AS TO WHERE THE MAIN LOW CENTER OR
CENTERS WILL BE WHICH WILL IMPACT THE AREAS OF STRONGEST PRESSURE
GRADIENT. THE GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THE UPPER HAND IN THIS AREA AS
WELL AS IT CAPTURES THE DUAL LOW CENTERS WITH THE TIGHTEST
GRADIENT REMAINING WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE BERING SEA.
THERE IS ANOTHER LOW MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF BY LATE SUNDAY
WHICH IS ALSO HAVING DIFFICULTY BEING RESOLVED BY THE MODELS. THE
GFS IS A HAPPY MEDIUM BETWEEN SOLUTIONS AND AT THIS POINT SHOULD
PUSH THE FORECAST IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION FOR THIS FAR OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

ANOTHER DAY...ANOTHER FAST MOVING GULF LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST THEN INLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD
MORE RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE COAST...HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH RAIN
SHOWER DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND INTO THE
WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY. RAIN AND SNOW WILL ALSO INCREASE ACROSS
THE VALDEZ AREA...WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR THE PASS. AREAS
CLOSE TO THE MOUNTAINS LIKE ANCHORAGE INTO THE MAT VALLEY WILL
EXPERIENCE A STRONG DOWNSLOPE SHADOW. GIVEN THE FAST MOVING AND
COMPACT NATURE OF THE LOW...THERE WILL STRONG PRESSURE RISES AS
THE LOW MOVES NORTHWEST...AND THIS WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE WINDS FROM
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO ANCHORAGE FROM THE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION.
THIS WILL SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY EXIT THURSDAY MORNING LEAVING
SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY BEFORE DRYING
OUT BRIEFLY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF ON
FRIDAY...SPREADING MORE COASTAL PRECIPITATION AND BRINGING GALE
FORCE EASTERLY WINDS INTO THE WEEKEND. IN OTHER WORDS...LITTLE TO
NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PATTERN AS THE STORM TRACK STAYS ON
REPEAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...THU AND
FRI)...SEVERAL FRONTS WILL SWING FROM THE GULF OF AK THROUGH
SOUTHWEST AK OVER THE SHORT TERM. EACH ONE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
GUSTY NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS. THEY WILL ALSO BRING A CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION...WITH THE BEST LIKELIHOOD ON THE WINDWARD SIDE
OF THE TERRAIN (KILBUCKS AND THE ALEUTIAN RANGE). EACH FRONT WILL
ALSO BRING A SURGE OF WARM AIR. SO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
BE RAIN...WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLY MIXING IN LOW-LYING VALLEYS AND
THE FURTHEST NORTH SECTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...THU AND
FRI)...A DEFORMATION AXIS JUST SOUTH OF THE SHEMYA AND A
DISSIPATING FRONT CREEPING TOWARDS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS ARE THE
HIGHLIGHTS TONIGHT. THE DEFORMATION BAND IS KEEPING SOME DECENT
SNOW FALLING ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A COUPLE OF
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH LOWER VISIBILITIES DUE TO FOG AND
SOME DRIFTING SNOW. FOR THE PRIBS...GUSTY NORTH WINDS CONTINUE TO
BLAST THROUGH THE ISLANDS. SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AND FREQUENT OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN AREAS OF SOME
BLOWING SNOW. THE WINDS WILL TREND DOWN BY THU MORNING AND BECOME
MORE EASTERLY BY THU AFTERNOON HELPING TO PUSH THE SNOW OUT OF THE
AREA.

ELSEWHERE...THE PATTERN WILL BE SIMILAR TO TWO WEEKS AGO. WEAK
BROAD LOWS OVER THE AKPEN AND EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP WARM
SOUTHEAST FLOW ON THEIR EASTERN FLANKS WITH COLD...SHOWERY
NORTHWEST FLOW TO THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
FORECAST THINKING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS LARGELY
UNCHANGED AS THE NORTH PACIFIC LONGWAVE TROUGH AND STOUT RIDGING
OVER WESTERN CANADA HELP TO STEER A SERIES OF LOWS TOWARDS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA OR FAR WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL KEEP BROAD
ONSHORE FLOW AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE GULF
COAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WEEK AS SEVERAL FRONTS TRACK
ACROSS THE GULF...WHILE INLAND AREAS IN THE LEE OF THE COASTAL
RANGES STAY RELATIVELY DRY AS A RESULT OF PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE
FLOW. MEANWHILE...THE BERING WILL REMAIN IN A FAIRLY BENIGN
SHOWERY REGIME ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AS
THE UPPER LEVEL JET ENERGY REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN. THE LOWS APPROACHING THE AKPEN WILL BRING THE OCCASIONAL
POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 125 129 130 131 132 139 150 155 179
185.
 HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...CB