Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 31, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at May 23, 2015, 9:45 PM CDT for Tulsa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at May 24, 2015, 5:23 AM CDT. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 23, 2015, 9:45 PM CDT (02:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 24, 2015, 5:23 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 25, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Tulsa County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Bird Creek near Owasso (OWSO2). The gauge peaked at 20.81 ft at May 24, 2015, 7:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 17 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 20 ft
- Major stage
- 24 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07178000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
970 WGUS44 KTSA 240245 FLWTSA BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 945 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. OKC143-241045- /O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0031.150525T0534Z-150526T0200Z/ /OWSO2.1.ER.150525T0534Z.150525T1200Z.150525T2000Z.NO/ 945 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015 The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a * Flood Warning for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo * from late Sunday night to Monday evening, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 PM Saturday, the stage was 5.71 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo is expected to rise above flood stage late Sunday night and continue to rise to near 18.4 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday afternoon. * Impact...At 18.0 feet, minor flooding occurs at Mohawk Park and along 56th Street North near Mingo Road. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
7 follow-up statements
052 WGUS44 KTSA 240949 FLWTSA BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 448 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. ...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. OKC113-143-241748- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.150524T1149Z-150526T1140Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1149Z.150525T1200Z.150526T0540Z.NO/ 448 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry * until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 4:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 19.41 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry is expected to rise above flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 26.5 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday before dawn . * Impact...At 27.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs. Lower urban areas in east Skiatook begin to flood. Highway 20 east of Skiatook is closed. Some roads between Turley and north Tulsa may be blocked. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$ OKC143-241748- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0031.150524T1023Z-150526T1800Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T1023Z.150525T0600Z.150526T1200Z.NO/ 448 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo * until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 7.40 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo is expected to rise above flood stage early this morning and continue to rise to near 22.6 feet by Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 23.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs in Mohawk Park with access roads covered by high water. Mingo Road between 56th Street North and 76th Street North are closed due to high water. Flood waters may threaten the Oxley Nature Center. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
627 WGUS84 KTSA 241015 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 515 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. OKC113-143-241815- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.150524T1102Z-150526T1140Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1102Z.150525T1200Z.150526T0540Z.NO/ 515 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry. * until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 5:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 20.89 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry is expected to rise above flood stage this morning and continue to rise to near 26.5 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday before dawn . * Impact...At 27.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs. Lower urban areas in east Skiatook begin to flood. Highway 20 east of Skiatook is closed. Some roads between Turley and north Tulsa may be blocked. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$ OKC143-241815- /O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0031.150524T1023Z-150526T1800Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T1023Z.150525T0600Z.150526T1200Z.NO/ 515 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo. * until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:30 PM Saturday, the stage was 7.40 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo is expected to rise above flood stage early this morning and continue to rise to near 22.6 feet by Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 23.0 feet, extensive flooding occurs in Mohawk Park with access roads covered by high water. Mingo Road between 56th Street North and 76th Street North are closed due to high water. Flood waters may threaten the Oxley Nature Center. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
119 WGUS84 KTSA 241408 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 908 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. OKC113-143-242208- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150525T2121Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1006Z.150525T0000Z.150525T1521Z.NO/ 908 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry. * until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Sunday, the stage was 23.25 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry will continue rising to near 25.2 feet Sunday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Monday morning. * Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate flooding of rural lands occurs from Skiatook to Turley. Highway 20 east of Skiatook is impassable. Some minor flooding of streets in east Skiatook may occur. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$
283 WGUS84 KTSA 242024 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 324 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. OKC113-143-250424- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150525T1424Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1006Z.150525T0000Z.150525T0824Z.NO/ 324 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry. * until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 3:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 24.35 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry will continue rising to near 25.2 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday morning. * Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate flooding of rural lands occurs from Skiatook to Turley. Highway 20 east of Skiatook is impassable. Some minor flooding of streets in east Skiatook may occur. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$ OKC143-250424- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150525T1841Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T0734Z.150524T1030Z.150525T1241Z.NO/ 324 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo. * until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 20.22 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is slowly falling. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo will continue falling to below flood stage by Monday morning. * Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs near 56th Street North near Mingo Road. Mingo Road near 66th Street North may become impassable. Access roads near the Oxley Nature Center at Mohawk Park may be flooded. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
929 WGUS84 KTSA 250446 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. Caney River near Ramona affecting Washington County. Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. OKC101-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-150525T1818Z/ /MKGO2.1.ER.150524T2205Z.150525T0600Z.150525T1218Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Arkansas River near Muskogee. * until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 28.62 feet. * Flood stage is 28.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue rising to near 28.7 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday morning. * Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating marina north of OG&E power plant may be flooded. && LAT...LON 3583 9537 3559 9532 3547 9515 3552 9507 3583 9520 $$ OKC037-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150527T1200Z/ /SPCO2.2.ER.150524T1431Z.150525T0600Z.150527T0600Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa. * until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:02 PM Sunday, the stage was 28.00 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue rising to near 28.1 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday before dawn . * Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have water in yards. && LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599 $$ OKC147-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150525T1837Z/ /RAMO2.1.ER.150525T0215Z.150525T0600Z.150525T1237Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for The Caney River near Ramona. * until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 26.09 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Caney River near Ramona will continue rising to near 26.3 feet Monday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday morning. * Impact...At 26.0 feet, minor flooding occurs. Farmlands and rural roads are affected. && LAT...LON 3664 9593 3647 9593 3637 9584 3637 9576 3664 9580 $$ OKC131-143-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150526T1600Z/ /CVLO2.2.ER.150524T0815Z.150525T1800Z.150526T1000Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Caney River near Collinsville. * until Tuesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 PM Sunday, the stage was 28.51 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue rising to near 29.6 feet early Monday afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 29.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. Rural roads near the main channel may become impassable. && LAT...LON 3635 9588 3630 9570 3636 9564 3643 9580 $$ OKC113-143-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150525T1421Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1006Z.150524T2300Z.150525T0821Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry. * until Monday morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 23.58 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry will continue falling to below flood stage by early Monday morning. * Impact...At 24.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs in rural areas from Skiatook to Turley. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$ OKC143-251246- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150525T1708Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T0734Z.150524T1030Z.150525T1108Z.NO/ 1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo. * until Monday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 PM Sunday, the stage was 19.98 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo will continue falling to below flood stage by Monday morning. * Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs near 56th Street North near Mingo Road. Mingo Road near 66th Street North may become impassable. Access roads near the Oxley Nature Center at Mohawk Park may be flooded. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
764 WGUS84 KTSA 250813 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. Bird Creek near Sperry affecting Osage and Tulsa Counties. Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. Caney River near Ramona affecting Washington County. Caney River near Collinsville affecting Rogers and Tulsa Counties. Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. OKC101-251613- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-150525T1832Z/ /MKGO2.1.ER.150524T2205Z.150525T0415Z.150525T1232Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for The Arkansas River near Muskogee. * until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 3:00 AM Monday, the stage was 28.37 feet. * Flood stage is 28.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is cresting. * Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue falling to below flood stage by this morning. * Impact...At 28.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. && LAT...LON 3583 9537 3559 9532 3547 9515 3552 9507 3583 9520 $$ OKC037-251613- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-150527T1017Z/ /SPCO2.2.ER.150524T1431Z.150525T0202Z.150527T0417Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa. * until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:02 PM Sunday, the stage was 28.00 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to below flood stage by late Tuesday evening. * Impact...At 28.0 feet, severe flooding affects pasturelands, oil fields, and county roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Barns and oilfield storage tanks may be flooded. Suburban homes will have water in yards. && LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599 $$ OKC147-251525- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150525T1525Z/ /RAMO2.1.ER.150525T0215Z.150525T0630Z.150525T0925Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 The Flood Warning continues for The Caney River near Ramona. * until this morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 3:00 AM Monday, the stage was 26.11 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast...The Caney River near Ramona will continue falling to below flood stage by early this morning. * Impact...At 26.0 feet, minor flooding occurs. Farmlands and rural roads are affected. && LAT...LON 3664 9593 3647 9593 3637 9584 3637 9576 3664 9580 $$ OKC131-143-251613- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150526T2244Z/ /CVLO2.2.ER.150524T0815Z.150525T1800Z.150526T1644Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for The Caney River near Collinsville. * until Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:30 AM Monday, the stage was 28.34 feet. * Flood stage is 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The Caney River near Collinsville will continue rising to near 29.3 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 29.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. Rural roads near the main channel may become impassable. && LAT...LON 3635 9588 3630 9570 3636 9564 3643 9580 $$ OKC113-143-251423- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150525T1423Z/ /SPEO2.2.ER.150524T1006Z.150524T2300Z.150525T0823Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until this morning...The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Sperry. * until this morning, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 3:00 AM Monday, the stage was 21.30 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Sperry will continue falling to below flood stage by early this morning. * Impact...At 23.0 feet, minor rural flooding occurs from Skiatook to Turley. && LAT...LON 3640 9605 3620 9598 3620 9590 3640 9593 $$ OKC143-251612- /O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150525T1901Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T0734Z.150524T1030Z.150525T1301Z.NO/ 313 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo. * until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled. * At 2:00 AM Monday, the stage was 19.68 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo will continue falling to below flood stage by this morning. * Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs near 56th Street North near Mingo Road. Mingo Road near 66th Street North may become impassable. Access roads near the Oxley Nature Center at Mohawk Park may be flooded. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
886 WGUS84 KTSA 251444 FLSTSA FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 944 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Oklahoma... Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo affecting Tulsa County. OKC143-251514- /O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-150525T1901Z/ /OWSO2.2.ER.150524T0734Z.150524T1030Z.150525T1320Z.NO/ 944 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo. * At 9:00 AM Monday, the stage was 17.68 feet. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river fell below flood stage this morning. * Forecast...The Bird Creek near Owasso-Mingo will continue falling and remain below flood stage. * Impact...At 18.0 feet, minor flooding occurs at Mohawk Park and along 56th Street North near Mingo Road. && LAT...LON 3627 9594 3618 9594 3618 9570 3627 9570 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 23, 6:16 PM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 23, 6:16 PM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
616 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
.DISCUSSION...
THE 00Z TAF DISCUSSION IS INCLUDED BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VERY MESSY AVIATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DEEP PLUME OF GULF
MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
CONDITIONS WILL FLUCTUATE BETWEEN THE FLIGHT CATEGORIES...BOUNCING
FROM VFR TO IFR AT TIMES WITH STORMS. CIGS SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE
MVFR RANGE. WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY FROM THE SE AND MAY GUST
TO AROUND 20 KTS AT TIMES.
LACY
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015/
DISCUSSION...
..LIFE THREATENING FLOOD POTENTIAL TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITHIN AN EXPANDING PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE. OBSERVED
RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS BENEATH
ANY CONVECTIVE SEGMENT THAT BECOMES ORIENTATED PERPENDICULAR TO
THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW. FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BACK AS
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES WHILE DIFFLUENT REGION GRADUALLY SPREADS
EASTWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW THE ONGOING CONVECTION TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE FROM WEST TX NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN OK THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL FORECASTS MAY BE CONSERVATIVE
BASED ON OBSERVED CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...AND LATER UPDATES
MAY NEED TO INCREASE TOTALS A BIT FURTHER ESPECIALLY FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
IMPACT: WET SOILS ALONG WITH MANY LARGER RIVERS NEAR OR CURRENTLY
IN FLOOD STAGE WILL ALLOW FOR RAPID ONSET OF FLASH FLOODING. EVEN
THE CONSERVATIVE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL PRODUCE LIFE AND PROPERTY
THREATENING FLOODING.
THE RAINFALL AXIS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON / OVERNIGHT
AND IMPACT WESTERN ARKANSAS. WHILE THE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY TAPER A
BIT AS THE UPPER FORCING REMAINS LESS...THE SATURATED CONDITIONS
WILL MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUS FLOODING. OF ADDITIONAL
CONCERN WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A LARGE COMPLEX OF
STORMS ORIGINATES ACROSS WESTERN TX AND SPREADS NORTHEASTWARD.
WHILE THE BULK OF THIS RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY FORECAST NEAR THE
ARKLATEX REGION...HEALTHY RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD
INTO SE OK AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WHICH WILL QUICKLY WORSEN ANY
ONGOING FLOOD CONDITIONS.
A LULL IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED FOR THE MID WEEK PERIOD
BEFORE A COLD FRONT AND UPPER WAVE IMPACT THE REGION BY LATE NEXT
WEEK WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 66 75 64 81 / 100 100 40 20
FSM 68 78 66 80 / 90 100 80 40
MLC 67 73 67 79 / 100 100 40 40
BVO 65 74 61 81 / 100 100 40 20
FYV 65 74 63 77 / 80 100 80 40
BYV 64 76 64 78 / 70 100 80 30
MKO 65 74 64 80 / 100 100 50 40
MIO 65 76 63 80 / 100 100 60 20
F10 65 73 65 79 / 100 100 40 40
HHW 68 75 67 79 / 90 100 60 60
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-
ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.
&&
AVIATION...30Hazardous weather outlook, May 23, 7:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 712 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241030- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 712 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015 ...DANGEROUS FLOODING TO DEVELOP TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA UNTIL 4 AM... THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT. TORNADO. RISK...ELEVATED. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 69 ONSET...ONGOING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...ELEVATED. AREA...PRIMARILY EASTERN OKLAHOMA. ONSET...ONGOING. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...SIGNIFICANT. AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONSET...THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND PERSIST OVERNIGHT. AN AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RESULT...AND DANGEROUS FLOODING IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SOILS REMAIN SATURATED AND MANY RIVERS ARE AT CAPACITY. THIS WILL LEAD TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLOODING FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES PLANNED...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVERS AND LAKES...SHOULD BE FAMILIAR WITH THE SURROUNDINGS SO ANY EVACUATIONS CAN TAKE PLACE AS QUICK AS POSSIBLE SHOULD ANY WARNINGS BE ISSUED. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR HAS SUFFICIENTLY INCREASED AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW CLOUD BASES TO SUPPORT A AN ELEVATED RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. DESPITE THE INCREASED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...THE MORE WIDESPREAD IMPACTS WILL BE FROM THE FLOODING RAINFALL THAT WILL OCCUR. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... DANGEROUS FLOODING WILL BE ONGOING SUNDAY AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST IN MONDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH THE HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS. CONDITIONS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF RAPID ONSET FLASH FLOODING AND QUICK ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. THE RAINFALL WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...HOWEVER A LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS AND TRACK INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL QUICKLY WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOOD PROBLEMS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...HOWEVER THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FURTHER REFINED IN LATER FORECASTS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL NEXT WEEK WILL AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING LARGE STEM RIVER FLOODING. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT... RESPONSE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NEAR LARGER RIVER BASINS. LIFE THREATENING FLOODING IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL AXIS. WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 23, 9:34 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
934 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0932 PM FLASH FLOOD TULSA 36.13N 95.92W
05/23/2015 TULSA OK AMATEUR RADIO
MAJOR FLOODING IN EAST TULSA TO 3FT AT 90TH E AVE AND S
33RD ST.
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 23, 9:37 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
937 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0935 PM FLASH FLOOD TULSA 36.13N 95.92W
05/23/2015 TULSA OK AMATEUR RADIO
FLOODING IN FRONT OF SAMS ON SHERIDAN BETWEEN 41ST AND
51ST, DEPTH OF 12 TO 18 INCHES WITH 4 AUTOS STALLED IN
HIGH WATER.
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 23, 9:39 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0938 PM FLASH FLOOD SKIATOOK 36.37N 96.00W
05/23/2015 OSAGE OK PUBLIC
OSAGE STREET IN SKIATOOK CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. SOCIAL
MEDIA REPORT.
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 23, 9:40 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
940 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0937 PM FLASH FLOOD TULSA 36.13N 95.92W
05/23/2015 TULSA OK AMATEUR RADIO
STREET FLOODING AT 61ST AND UTICA.
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 23, 9:41 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
941 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0938 PM FLASH FLOOD CATOOSA 36.19N 95.75W
05/23/2015 ROGERS OK AMATEUR RADIO
WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING.
&&
JDSLocal storm report, May 23, 9:43 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
943 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0940 PM FLASH FLOOD TULSA 36.13N 95.92W
05/23/2015 TULSA OK AMATEUR RADIO
STREET AND YARD FLOODING AT 26TH ST AND 139TH E AVE.
&&
JDSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 60 min |
| May 23, 7:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Latimer | 51 min |
| May 23, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee | 43 min |
| May 23, 7:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Okfuskee | 49 min |
| May 23, 7:30 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Washington | 90 min |
| May 23, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Washington | 50 min |
| May 23, 7:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Okfuskee | 34 min |
| May 23, 7:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Creek, Tulsa | 48 min |
| May 23, 8:00 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Tulsa | 90 min |
| May 23, 8:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Latimer | 29 min |
| May 23, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa | 35 min |
| May 23, 8:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee | 6 hr |
| May 23, 8:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha | 42 min |
| May 23, 8:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee | 37 min |
| May 23, 8:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Okfuskee | 29 min |
| May 23, 8:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 88 min |
| May 23, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Rogers, Washington | 23 min |
| May 23, 8:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Okmulgee, Tulsa | 6 hr |
| May 23, 8:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Tulsa | 32 min |
| May 23, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Rogers, Washington | 50 min |
| May 23, 8:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer | 35 min |
| May 23, 8:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Osage, Pawnee, Washington | 6 hr |
| May 23, 9:10 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Rogers, Tulsa | 50 min |
| May 23, 9:21 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Nowata, Rogers | 6 hr |
| May 23, 9:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 46 min |
| May 23, 9:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Wagoner | 6 hr |
| May 23, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 43 min |
| May 23, 9:48 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Washington | 60 hr |
| May 23, 10:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Mayes | 53 min |
| May 23, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata, Rogers | 41 min |
| May 23, 10:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes | 6 hr |
| May 23, 10:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner | 50 min |
| May 23, 10:32 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Cherokee | 28 min |
| May 23, 10:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Mayes | 14 min |
| May 23, 10:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa | 6 hr |
| May 23, 10:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee | 27 min |
| May 23, 11:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Sequoyah | 29 min |
| May 23, 11:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Craig, Mayes | 29 min |
| May 23, 11:19 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 7 more | 116 min |
| May 23, 11:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | Okmulgee, Wagoner | 36 min |
| May 24, 12:10 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | TSA | Creek, Nowata, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pawnee and 4 more | 24 hr |
| May 24, 12:18 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Nowata and 4 more | 6 hr |
| May 24, 12:24 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 24, 1:43 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 24, 5:46 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Nowata and 4 more | 6 hr |
| May 24, 5:48 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 24, 7:14 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 2 more | 3 hr |
| May 24, 8:53 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Delaware, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 12 hr |
| May 24, 9:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Adair | 47 hr |
| May 24, 9:07 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee | 3 days |
| May 24, 9:42 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 3 days |
| May 24, 9:49 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 3 more | 12 hr |
| May 24, 10:16 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 9 days |
| May 24, 10:19 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 10 days |
| May 24, 11:26 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh and 5 more | 11 hr |
| May 24, 1:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Ottawa and 2 more | 10 hr |
| May 24, 3:09 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TSA | Muskogee | 24 hr |
| May 24, 3:27 PM CDT | River Flood Advisory | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware | 36 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.