Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Tulsa, OK

460 
WGUS74 KTSA 242131
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
431 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-041-079-135-250200-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150525T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-DELAWARE OK-LE FLORE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-ADAIR OK-
431 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WASHINGTON...MADISON...
CRAWFORD...CARROLL AND BENTON COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
SEBASTIAN AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...AND
EASTERN SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND EASTERN ADAIR
AND SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA UNTIL 900 PM
CDT...

AT 427 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. RADAR 
ESTIMATES THAT BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER 
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND MORE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS 
ONGOING. REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE RECENTLY BEEN RECEIVED FROM 
GREENWOOD. WATER RESCUES HAVE ALSO OCCURRED EARLIER IN WASHINGTON 
COUNTY. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...EUREKA
SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUNTSVILLE...MOUNTAINBURG...
NATURAL DAM...OZARK...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...VAN
BUREN...ALMA...ALTUS...ARKOMA...AURORA...BARLING...BEAVER...BELLA
VISTA...BLACKBURN...BLOOMER...BONANZA...BOSTON...BRANCH...
BRENTWOOD...BURNVILLE AND CARROLLTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9347 3597 9345 3587 9352 3577 9351
      3576 9369 3538 9370 3540 9380 3532 9381
      3532 9390 3523 9393 3522 9402 3513 9404
      3514 9413 3507 9423 3496 9424 3493 9444
      3654 9464 3651 9461 3650 9330 3612 9329

$$

LACY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
433 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
DIFFICULT TO OVERSTATE ADDITIONAL FLOOD POTENTIAL.

FLOOD OF THE DECADE...AT LEAST FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA CONTINUES TODAY. 2-4 INCH AMOUNTS ALREADY
COMMON...WITH SOME LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF FIVE
INCHES TULSA OKMULGEE CREEK COUNTIES.

ANOTHER..1.5 TO 2 INCHES COMMON TODAY INTO TONIGHT
EASTERN OK AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  SOME LOCATIONS
COULD REACH  FIVE INCHES  ONCE AGAIN  GIVEN REPEAT
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

REGIONAL COMPOSITE RADAR SHOWS TWIN MCVS IN TEXAS
AT THIS TIME.  STRONGER..MORE NORTHWEST MCV SOUTH
OF BRYAN COUNTY OK SPINNING NORTH-NORTHEAST. THIS
MOVEMENT COUPLED WITH 1.7-1.9 PWA ENSURES ANOTHER
ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIP  AND  WILL PUSH PRECIP BACK
TO THE NORTHWEST FOR A TIME TODAY.

DIFFICULT TO OVERSTATE ADDITIONAL FLOOD POTENTIAL.

RAIN WILL WIND DOWN TONIGHT..WHILE MANY MAIN STEM
RIVERS OVERFLOW.

UNFORTUNATELY. NEXT WAVE  ARRIVES LATE MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.  BULK OF PRECIPITATION SOUTHEAST OK
AND WEST CENTRAL / NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. MORE FLOOD
POTENTIAL THERE.

WET PATTERN PREVAILS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
GWILEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  63  81  61 / 100  30  40  60
FSM   75  66  81  65 / 100  70  40 100
MLC   72  67  78  62 / 100  30  60  80
BVO   70  59  81  60 / 100  40  30  40
FYV   71  63  78  61 / 100  70  30 100
BYV   72  63  78  62 / 100  80  30  80
MKO   72  64  78  62 / 100  50  40  90
MIO   72  62  79  62 / 100  60  20  50
F10   70  63  78  61 / 100  30  30  70
HHW   73  67  78  66 / 100  40  80  80

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
350 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
350 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING TO CONTINUE TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAINFALL.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING...WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL
OVERNIGHT.  DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
SPREAD INTO THE AREA. CONDITIONS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR RAPID ONSET
OF FLASH FLOODING AND QUICK ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN WHEN FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...INCLUDING A LIMITED
TORNADO THREAT.  THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH TONIGHT...HOWEVER EXTENSIVE AREAL AND MAIN STEM
RIVER FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF EARLY MONDAY...HOWEVER A
LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS
AND TRACK INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS MONDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL QUICKLY
WORSEN ANY ONGOING FLOOD PROBLEMS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK...HOWEVER THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF EXPECTED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE FURTHER REFINED IN LATER FORECASTS. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL THIS UPCOMING WEEK WILL AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING LARGE STEM
RIVER FLOODING.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
RESPONSE TO FLOODING...SOME SIGNIFICANT...SHOULD BE EXPECTED TODAY
AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NEAR LARGER RIVER BASINS. LIFE
THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL AXIS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.