River Flood Advisory 18, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
511 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND
IN COVERAGE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING
THE DAY TODAY IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE BOUNDARY LIFTING NORTH AND
A MID LEVEL IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND GREATER THROUGH TONIGHT.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH
GUSTY TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BUT NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND
			 POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LATEST FORECASTS CONTINUE TO BRING THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM
BILL THROUGH TEXAS AND INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS DURING THE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY TIME PERIOD. HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 7 INCH RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES AND GREATER. AT THIS TIME
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND ALSO
MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONALLY...GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST
UPDATES AND FORECASTS AS TIMING AND LOCATION DETAILS CONTINUE TO
BE REFINED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE TROPICAL SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO
MISSOURI AND NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW PUSHES A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THROUGH THE PLAINS.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT GROUPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST
FORECASTS AND PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL ONSET OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.