Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 225, NWS Topeka, KS

September 18, 2015Osage County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 18, 2015, 5:47 AM CDT for Osage County, Kansas. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2015, 5:47 AM CDT (10:47 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2015, 6:15 AM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Osage County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2776 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2776 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
12.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 18, 4:24 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 4:24 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 4:41 AM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
441 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-190945-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
441 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND ALONG THE KANSAS NEBRASKA STATE
BORDER. WHILE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS IS LOW...CANNOT
RULE OUT SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS FROM ANY STRONGER STORMS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WITH
STORMS LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. WHILE THE
SEVERITY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CONDITIONAL AND AFFECTED BY THE
COVERAGE OF MORNING PRECIPITATION...THERE CERTAINLY IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
HOWEVER...THERE IS ALSO AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT ACROSS
NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 17, 11:54 PM CDT, 5 hours 53 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 18, 5:41 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
541 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015

KSZ055-181115-
OSAGE-
541 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL 615 AM
CDT...

AT 541 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
OSAGE CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSAGE CITY...CARBONDALE...OVERBROOK...LYNDON...SCRANTON AND POMONA
LAKE.

LAT...LON 3866 9551 3849 9590 3858 9594 3886 9565
      3873 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 1041Z 231DEG 31KT 3862 9583

BB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha41 min
Sep 17, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Nemaha48 min
Sep 17, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Nemaha48 min
Sep 17, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson22 min
Sep 17, 9:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPJackson24 min
Sep 17, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown, Jackson23 min
Sep 17, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown32 min
Sep 17, 9:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPJefferson24 min
Sep 18, 5:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPOsage34 min
Sep 18, 6:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPCoffey25 min
Sep 18, 6:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey20 min
Sep 18, 6:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPShawnee31 min
Sep 18, 6:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Franklin34 min
Sep 18, 7:19 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPShawnee26 min
Sep 18, 9:13 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPCoffey32 min
Sep 18, 9:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchTOPAnderson, Brown, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jackson and 7 more9 hr
Sep 18, 1:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPAnderson18 min
Sep 18, 2:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPFranklin22 min
Sep 18, 5:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPDouglas21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.