Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Tallahassee, FL

217 
WWUS52 KTAE 260619
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
119 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

FLC067-260629-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T0630Z/
LAFAYETTE FL-
119 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3... OR YOU MAY CONTACT LAW
ENFORCEMENT.

LAT...LON 2946 8298 2935 8306 2929 8316 2943 8324
      2942 8329 2983 8299 2983 8290 2982 8293
      2972 8295 2962 8297 2958 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 0619Z 258DEG 35KT 2982 8291 2933 8317

$$

FLC029-260630-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T0630Z/
DIXIE FL-
119 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EST
FOR EASTERN DIXIE COUNTY...

AT 116 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FLETCHER TO SUWANNEE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BELL TO 22 MILES SOUTH OF CROSS 
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SEVERAL TREES HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN 
ACROSS DIXIE COUNTY.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO OLD
TOWN AND YELLOW JACKET

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3... OR YOU MAY CONTACT LAW
ENFORCEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 2946 8298 2935 8306 2929 8316 2943 8324
      2942 8329 2983 8299 2983 8290 2982 8293
      2972 8295 2962 8297 2958 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 0619Z 258DEG 35KT 2982 8291 2933 8317

$$

42-DVD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1148 PM EST Wed Feb 25 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

After an extremely convective active evening with several pockets
of strong to severe thunderstorms over virtually the entire CWA,
one final band of strong storms with torrential rainfall is
gradually working its way to the northeast across the SE FL Big
Bend. The brunt of this activity is affecting Taylor county at the
moment, while also clipping a portion of Madison and Lafayette
counties. Since this line extends well to the S and W in the Gulf
of Mexico, all of Dixie and Lafayette counties will be impacted by
this convection as well with possible severe wind gusts and
localized flooding before the night is over.

&&

.Aviation...

[Through 00Z Friday] It was a wild and crazy night for Tafs across
the CWA with just about every weather element experienced except
frozen precipitation. The good news is that the rainfall (much of
it heavy at times which kept Cigs and Vis quite low) has tapered
off and moved to the east of all sites but VLD. The main concern
for Thursday at all of the terminals is if/when will the mainly
MVFR level Cigs break, and as of the 00 UTC package I composed,
some improvement appeared likely at all sites, but actual breaking
out into VFR conditions was only expected at ECP. Hopefully, this
will change on either the upcoming 06 or 12 UTC packages so more
sunshine can be experienced.

&&

.Prev Discussion [325 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Thursday Through Friday Night]...
Low pressure will be off the Carolinas by early Thursday morning,
with high pressure building into the local forecast area.
Temperatures will continue to be below normal on Thursday, with
highs mostly in the lower to mid 50s. After a cool start to
Friday, with lows in the mid 30s northwest to lower 40s southeast,
only a modest warmup is expected by afternoon. Sprawling 1040mb
high pressure center over the midwest will limit the warming as
northerly winds help to reinforce the cool airmass.

.Long Term [Saturday Through Wednesday]...
Sprawling surface high over the midwest will continue to limit the
warmup through Saturday, with temperatures remaining several
degrees below normal. There may also be a few showers along the
old frontal boundary in the southeastern Big Bend. A more
substantial warmup will begin on Sunday as an upper ridge begins
to build over the Gulf and the low level flow begins to veer to
the east. May also see a chance of rain return to the forecast as
the stalled front to the south moves back to the north as a warm
front. By Monday, temperatures will be back to near normal levels,
with highs pushing into the 70s.

.Marine...
Strong southerly winds will shift to the northwest from west to
east overnight as low pressure moves across the coastal waters.
May see a few gusts to gale force this evening, especially as a
line of strong thunderstorms moves across the waters, but expect
duration to be short so will maintain Small Craft Advisory. Winds
and seas will diminish below headline criteria on Thursday as high
pressure builds in behind the low. However, conditions will return
to exercise caution levels by Saturday.

.Fire Weather...
Widespread rainfall of generally 1 to 2 inches will keep Wet Flag
conditions going throughout the CWA for the remainder of today and
tonight. Cooler and drier air will initially work into the region
behind this low pressure system, with a warming trend expected on
Sunday. However, dewpoints will also increase with the warmup,
keeping any potential for Red Flag conditions at bay for the
foreseeable future.

.Hydrology...
Widespread rainfall totals of 1-2 inches are expected through
tonight across the area with localized amounts in excess of 3
inches possible. These totals will cause rises along our area
rivers and bring several sites along the Kinchafoonee Creek and
the Choctawhatchee, Ochlockonee, Aucilla, and Upper Withlacoochee
Rivers into action stage. The Withlacoochee River at Valdosta and
Kinchafoonee Creek at Dawson are both likely to crest just below
minor flood stage by the end of the week, but could crest higher
and earlier if rainfall totals end up being higher than currently
forecast.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   43  55  38  60  40 /  90  10  10   0  10
Panama City   44  55  40  57  42 /  80   0   0   0  10
Dothan        37  51  35  53  35 /  90   0  10   0  10
Albany        39  53  36  56  37 /  90  10  10   0  10
Valdosta      44  55  41  60  41 / 100  10  10   0  10
Cross City    53  63  42  63  44 /  90  20  10   0  20
Apalachicola  47  56  43  59  46 /  90  10   0   0  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Thursday for Apalachee Bay-
     Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL
     out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton
     Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Apalachicola to
     Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to
     Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola
     to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...GOULD
SHORT TERM...CAMP
LONG TERM...CAMP
AVIATION...GOULD
MARINE...CAMP
FIRE WEATHER...GOULD
HYDROLOGY...MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1024 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 18 S ST GEORGE ISLAND   29.41N 84.86W
02/25/2015  M53 MPH          GMZ755             FL   C-MAN STATION

            46 KNOT PEAK GUST IN A THUNDERSTORM AT THE C-TOWER.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1052 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRY-FOLEY AIRPORT     30.07N 83.58W
02/25/2015                   TAYLOR             FL   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN TAYLOR COUNTY.

&&

WESTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1114 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 18 S ST GEORGE ISLAND   29.41N 84.86W
02/25/2015  M56.00 MPH       GMZ755             FL   C-MAN STATION

            49 KNOT PEAK GUST IN A THUNDERSTORM AT THE C-TOWER.
            EARLIER 46 KNOT GUST WAS AT 940 PM.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1141 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOYD                    30.19N 83.61W
02/25/2015                   TAYLOR             FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 221 NORTH.

&&

WESTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1142 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAMPTON SPRINGS         30.08N 83.65W
02/25/2015                   TAYLOR             FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON POWERLINES ON HIGHWAY 98 WEST

&&

WESTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1226 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SE MEXICO BEACH       29.92N 85.38W
02/25/2015  E50 MPH          GULF               FL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH WITH BRANCHES 2-3
            INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN AND LARGE TRASH CANS AND LAWN
            FURNITURE BLOWN AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO A PATIO DOOR AS
            WELL.

&&

DVD