Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Tallahassee, FL

083 
WGUS62 KTAE 081713
FFATAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1213 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS ACROSS THE TRI STATE
REGION WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA...

ALZ065>069-FLZ018-019-118-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-090415-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FA.A.0001.151108T1713Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-
LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...
MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...
SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...
BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
1213 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 /1113 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2015/

...A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTH GEORGIA...AND PORTIONS
  OF THE EASTERN BIG BEND OF FLORIDA

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
  TOTALS BETWEEN 3 TO 5 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
  FLOODING RESULTING IN ROAD CLOSURES AND DIRT ROAD WASHOUTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-090415-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-
CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...SWEETWATER...
SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS
1213 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 /1113 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE WESTERN BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
  THIS AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE
  ENTIRE EVENT IN THE WATCH AREA ARE FORECAST TO BE 3 TO 5
  INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAIN COULD
  LEAD TO FLOODING AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF HIGHER RAIN RATES MAY
  CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP IN SOME LOCATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HARRIGAN/LAMERS

227 
WGUS62 KTAE 090233
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
933 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS ACROSS THE TRI
STATE REGION WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA...

FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-091200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-
CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...SWEETWATER...
SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS
933 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 /833 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF FL AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN FL...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL 
  GULF...COASTAL WAKULLA AND SOUTH WALTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...CALHOUN...CENTRAL WALTON...GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND 
  BAY...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND GULF...INLAND WAKULLA... 
  JACKSON...LEON...LIBERTY...NORTH WALTON AND WASHINGTON. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
  THIS AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE
  ENTIRE EVENT IN THE WATCH AREA ARE FORECAST TO BE 3 TO 5
  INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAIN COULD
  LEAD TO FLOODING AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF HIGHER RAIN RATES MAY
  CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP IN SOME LOCATIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ018-019-118-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-091200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-
LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...
MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...
SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...
BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
933 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 /833 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2015/

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...FL...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  ALABAMA...COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY AND HOUSTON. IN FL... 
  COASTAL JEFFERSON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INLAND JEFFERSON AND 
  MADISON. IN GEORGIA...BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS... 
  CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY... 
  EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER... 
  MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS... 
  TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH. 

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* STEADY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 
  WIDESPREAD TOTALS BETWEEN 3 TO 5 INCHES. THESE AMOUNTS MAY 
  CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING RESULTING IN ROAD CLOSURES AND DIRT 
  ROAD WASHOUTS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

855 
WGUS62 KTAE 090857
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
357 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE TRI STATE REGION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING...

FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-091500-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-
CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...SWEETWATER...
SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS
357 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 /257 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF FL AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN FL...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL 
  GULF...COASTAL WAKULLA AND SOUTH WALTON. IN NORTHWEST 
  FLORIDA...CALHOUN...CENTRAL WALTON...GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND 
  BAY...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND GULF...INLAND WAKULLA... 
  JACKSON...LEON...LIBERTY...NORTH WALTON AND WASHINGTON. 

* UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
  FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND THROUGH MID MORNING.
  RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT IN THE WATCH AREA ARE
  FORECAST TO BE 4 TO 6 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. THIS RAIN COULD LEAD TO FLOODING AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF
  HIGHER RAIN RATES MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP IN SOME
  LOCATIONS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ018-019-118-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-091500-
/O.CON.KTAE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-
LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...
MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...
SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...
BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
357 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 /257 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015/

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...FL...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND 
  GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST 
  ALABAMA...COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY AND HOUSTON. IN FL... 
  COASTAL JEFFERSON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INLAND JEFFERSON AND 
  MADISON. IN GEORGIA...BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS... 
  CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY... 
  EARLY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER... 
  MITCHELL...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS... 
  TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH. 

* UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING

* STEADY MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
  BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDDAY. THE ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL...ALONG WITH THE 2 TO 4 INCHES WHICH HAS ALREADY
  FALLEND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING RESULTING IN ROAD CLOSURES
  AND DIRT ROAD WASHOUTS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAMP

769 
WGUS62 KTAE 091501
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1001 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015


FLZ007>017-026-027-108-112-114-115-127-091615-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-
CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-
COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL WAKULLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...SWEETWATER...
SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS
1001 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 /901 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA WILL
EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING. 

ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY, RAINFALL AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE WITH AROUND AN INCH OR LESS AND THUS
NOT LEAD TO ANY WIDESPREAD FLOODING. IN ADDITION, ANY ISOLATED
HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO AREAS THAT
HAVE NOT RECEIVED THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS.

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ018-019-118-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-091615-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-151109T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-
LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-
COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...
MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...
SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...
DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...
MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...
BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
1001 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 /901 AM CST MON NOV 9 2015/

...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST
FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
THIS MORNING. 

ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TODAY, RAINFALL AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE WITH AROUND AN INCH OR LESS AND THUS
NOT LEAD TO ANY WIDESPREAD FLOODING. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
303 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

.Near Term [Through Today]...
Wet, breezy, and much cooler day is on tap for the region as a
complex weather pattern evolves. Aloft, the flow across the CONUS
has split with a southern stream speed max pushing across the deep
south today. At the surface, a cold front has pushed south
through most of the forecast area (as of 07Z) with northeasterly
flow on the increase. A wave of low pressure has developed along
the front south of Louisiana which is enhancing low-level
convergence over the coastal waters.

Guidance has continued to trend stronger with the frontal wave over
the Gulf today, with a resulting increase in isentropic lift across
the frontal boundary. Expected layer of mid-level southerly flow has
deepened quite a bit from 24 hours ago. With the stronger forcing,
expect widespread rain across the area today as the low tracks east-
northeast along the stalling front. Rainfall amounts through this
afternoon will range from around 1 inch across the north to 2-2.5
inches south of I-10. Isolated spots could see heavier amounts.
Fortunately, with the northerly surface flow, instability is not
expected to be sufficient to support any severe storms over land
areas.

Temperatures will generally remain steady or slowly fall through the
day today, with high temperatures occurring early this morning.
By afternoon, temperatures will range from the upper 50s in the
north to the lower 70s in the far southeastern Big Bend.

.Short Term [Tonight Through Tuesday]...
Much of the forcing for heavy rain will remain in place through
tonight. The low will be weakening as we move into Monday with the
heavy rain threat ending during the day. For a discussion on storm-
total rainfall and any flooding concerns, please see the hydrology
discussion below. Drier air will return for Tuesday.

Temperatures will be pretty steady tonight and be a few degrees
milder than today on Monday. By Tuesday, we will return to
seasonal readings with highs ranging from the lower 70s north to
around 80 near Cross City.

.Long Term [Tuesday Night Through Sunday]...
Zonal flow aloft will be in place over the Southeast at the start of
the period with warm and dry conditions expected for Wednesday. An
upper trough over the western U.S. will sweep quickly eastward and
help drive a cold front across the forecast area Thursday or
Thursday night. PoPs associated with this frontal passage will be
kept in the slight to low-end chance range. It will remain warm
ahead of the front, but not at the record-breaking levels that
we've seen recently. After frontal passage, we will begin to see
cooler nighttime lows which will finally dip close to seasonal
levels (upper 40s north to lower 50s south) by Friday night.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 06Z Monday] IFR cigs will develop this morning and remain
in place through tonight. Widespread rain will occasionally be
heavy, keeping visibility limited as well. In addition, gusty
northeast winds will impact all terminals.

&&

.Marine...
Small craft advisory conditions are expected to develop today across
the waters west of Apalachicola today as low pressure continues to
develop over the north central Gulf of Mexico. The eastern waters
should hold in the exercise caution range today, but the advisory
may need to be briefly extended eastward tonight. It should also
be noted that a risk for severe storms and waterspouts will be in
place today. As the low weakens and is absorbed by a front, winds
will quickly decrease on Monday. Light to moderate offshore winds
will then prevail through Tuesday night. Onshore winds will
increase ahead of the next front from Wednesday night into
Thursday with a frontal shift to northwest winds that afternoon.

&&

.Fire Weather...
No concerns.

&&

.Hydrology...
The Choctawhatchee River near Bruce has essentially crested right at
moderate flood and is forecast to remain there for a few days. There
is no other riverine flooding remaining across the HSA and only a
few sites are at action/bankfull stage. Periods of heavy rainfall
are becoming increasingly likely today and tonight and may not taper
off until Monday. Widespread totals of 2-3 inches are expected
across the forecast area, with 3-5" centered over the Florida Big
Bend and adjacent counties in South Georgia. With these totals
accumulating over roughly a 30-hour period, widespread areal
flooding is not expected at this time. Ensemble guidance indicates
that the upcoming rainfall could cause the Choctawhatchee River
at Caryville to return to flood stage next week and the crest at
Bruce to take even longer to fall below flood stage than currently
indicated. Fortunately, streamflows are very low in the Big Bend
and South Georgia rivers and streams, so while rises are expected,
riverine flooding may be avoided.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   70  64  72  63  77 / 100  90  60  30  10
Panama City   70  64  72  61  75 / 100  90  60  20  10
Dothan        63  54  63  54  73 / 100  90  60  20  10
Albany        64  55  63  56  73 / 100  90  70  40  10
Valdosta      70  60  69  62  75 / 100  90  70  30  10
Cross City    75  69  78  67  80 /  80  90  70  30  20
Apalachicola  72  67  74  63  76 / 100  90  70  30  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday FOR Coastal waters
     from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...CAMP
SHORT TERM...WOOL
LONG TERM...WOOL
AVIATION...CAMP
MARINE...WOOL
FIRE WEATHER...CAMP
HYDROLOGY...WOOL