Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 84
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 19, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 19, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT (01:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 20, 2015, 1:01 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 90 counties
Avoyelles Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pike County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 8:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Rapides | 34 min |
| Apr 19, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 19 min |
| Apr 19, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 43 min |
| Apr 19, 8:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Avoyelles, Rapides | 19 min |
| Apr 19, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lauderdale, Tipton | 52 min |
| Apr 19, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Avoyelles | 30 min |
| Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington | 58 min |
| Apr 19, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Quitman, Tunica | 42 min |
| Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma | 51 min |
| Apr 19, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lake, Obion | 50 min |
| Apr 19, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Rapides | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington | 62 min |
| Apr 19, 9:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Rapides | 24 min |
| Apr 19, 9:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Panola, Quitman | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams | 61 min |
| Apr 19, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington | 55 min |
| Apr 19, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Wilkinson | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leflore, Sunflower | 62 min |
| Apr 19, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Panola | 52 min |
| Apr 19, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Panola | 50 min |
| Apr 19, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena | 47 min |
| Apr 19, 10:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Grenada, Montgomery | 67 min |
| Apr 19, 10:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Leflore | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Amite, Wilkinson | 23 min |
| Apr 19, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall, Tippah, Union | 32 min |
| Apr 19, 11:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Tippah, Union | 41 min |
| Apr 19, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Webster | 47 min |
| Apr 19, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette and 4 more | 83 min |
| Apr 20, 12:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes | 27 min |
| Apr 20, 12:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Monroe | 24 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 593 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -26 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1739 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 293 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 5.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
115
WWUS20 KWNS 200100
SEL4
SPC WW 200100
LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-200800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 84
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL LOUISIANA
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
WESTERN...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELL STORMS AND OTHER SUSTAINED STORMS NOW IN AR
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GROWING INTO LARGER CLUSTERS AND BANDS...WITH
THE STORMS MOVING/DEVELOPING GENERALLY EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF
TN...MS...AND LA WITH A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...HIGH WIND...AND A
COUPLE TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...WW
83...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 32 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 9:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 32 more | 64 min |
| Apr 19, 10:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 6 more | 59 min |
| Apr 20, 12:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kemper, Lowndes, Monroe, Newton, Noxubee | 90 min |
| Apr 19, 8:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mississippi, New Madrid | 54 min |
| Apr 20, 1:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 35 more | 4 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon, Clay and 26 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.