Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 84

April 19, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 19, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 19, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT (01:02 UTC)
Expired
Apr 20, 2015, 1:01 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 90 counties

Avoyelles Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pike County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 8:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHRapides34 min
Apr 19, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDunklin19 min
Apr 19, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDunklin, Pemiscot43 min
Apr 19, 8:43 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles, Rapides19 min
Apr 19, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLauderdale, Tipton52 min
Apr 19, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles30 min
Apr 19, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington58 min
Apr 19, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma, Quitman, Tunica42 min
Apr 19, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma51 min
Apr 19, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lake, Obion50 min
Apr 19, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides39 min
Apr 19, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington62 min
Apr 19, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHRapides24 min
Apr 19, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPanola, Quitman39 min
Apr 19, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams61 min
Apr 19, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington55 min
Apr 19, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWilkinson39 min
Apr 19, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower62 min
Apr 19, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPanola52 min
Apr 19, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLafayette, Panola50 min
Apr 19, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena47 min
Apr 19, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery67 min
Apr 19, 10:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore2 hr
Apr 19, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAmite, Wilkinson23 min
Apr 19, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall, Tippah, Union32 min
Apr 19, 11:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Lafayette, Marshall, Tippah, Union41 min
Apr 19, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWebster47 min
Apr 19, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette and 4 more83 min
Apr 20, 12:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes27 min
Apr 20, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMonroe24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2015-04-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 593 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2015-04-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

115 
WWUS20 KWNS 200100
SEL4  
SPC WW 200100
LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-200800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 84
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL LOUISIANA
  THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
  WESTERN...CENTRAL  AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
  WESTERN TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
  UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
    MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELL STORMS AND OTHER SUSTAINED STORMS NOW IN AR
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GROWING INTO LARGER CLUSTERS AND BANDS...WITH
THE STORMS MOVING/DEVELOPING GENERALLY EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF
TN...MS...AND LA WITH A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL...HIGH WIND...AND A
COUPLE TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...WW
83...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 7:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 32 more2 hr
Apr 19, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 32 more64 min
Apr 19, 10:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 6 more59 min
Apr 20, 12:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKemper, Lowndes, Monroe, Newton, Noxubee90 min
Apr 19, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, New Madrid54 min
Apr 20, 1:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 35 more4 hr
Apr 20, 2:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon, Clay and 26 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.