Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Jackson, MS

738 
WWUS54 KJAN 200335
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1035 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC015-043-097-200445-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-GRENADA MS-
1035 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR CARROLL...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND GRENADA COUNTIES...

AT 1035 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TEOC...OR 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRENADA...WINONA...LEFLORE...JEFFERSON...DUCK HILL...NORTH
CARROLLTON...SWEATMAN...HOLCOMB...COILA...TEOC...LODI...MISTERTON...
MALMAISON...BEW SPRINGS...AVALON...SEVEN PINES...GORE SPRINGS...
ELLIOTT AND CARROLLTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3387 8977 3387 8951 3349 8951 3333 9017
      3345 9010 3381 9012 3381 8998 3382 8998
      3382 8993 3390 8993 3390 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 0335Z 255DEG 44KT 3357 9005 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

159 
WWUS54 KJAN 200347
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1047 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC015-043-097-200445-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-GRENADA MS-
1047 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CARROLL...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND GRENADA
COUNTIES...

AT 1047 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER JEFFERSON...
OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF WINONA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRENADA...WINONA...JEFFERSON...DUCK HILL...NORTH CARROLLTON...
SWEATMAN...LODI...TEOC...MISTERTON...MALMAISON...GORE SPRINGS...
ELLIOTT AND CARROLLTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3387 8977 3387 8951 3349 8951 3345 9010
      3364 9011 3369 8997 3381 8987 3390 8986
      3390 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 0347Z 254DEG 37KT 3360 8991 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

866 
WWUS54 KJAN 200359
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1059 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC015-043-097-200445-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-GRENADA MS-
1059 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL...NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND EASTERN
GRENADA COUNTIES...

AT 1059 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DUCK HILL...
OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MISTERTON...SWEATMAN AND GORE SPRINGS AROUND 1110 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3387 8951 3349 8951 3347 8986 3366 8987
      3387 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 0359Z 254DEG 47KT 3364 8972 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

269 
WWUS54 KJAN 200412
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC015-200422-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
CARROLL MS-
1112 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3387 8951 3349 8951 3347 8978 3367 8978
      3383 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 0412Z 254DEG 37KT 3368 8953 

$$

MSC043-097-200445-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
MONTGOMERY MS-GRENADA MS-
1112 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN GRENADA COUNTIES...

AT 1112 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MISTERTON...
OR 17 MILES EAST OF GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN GRENADA COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3387 8951 3349 8951 3347 8978 3367 8978
      3383 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 0412Z 254DEG 37KT 3368 8953 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JC

494 
WWUS54 KJAN 200426
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC043-200436-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
GRENADA MS-
1126 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRENADA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS. MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3367 8951 3349 8951 3348 8965 3360 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0426Z 241DEG 42KT 3355 8952 

$$

MSC097-200445-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
MONTGOMERY MS-
1126 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY...

AT 1126 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LODI...OR 12
MILES EAST OF WINONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LODI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3367 8951 3349 8951 3348 8965 3360 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0426Z 241DEG 42KT 3355 8952 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

935 
WWUS54 KJAN 200432
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1132 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

MSC097-200442-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150420T0445Z/
MONTGOMERY MS-
1132 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3367 8951 3349 8951 3348 8965 3360 8959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 254DEG 37KT 3357 8944 

$$

CME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
856 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

.UPDATE...

HAVE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO HAZARD PRODUCTS/FORECAST BASED ON
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION THUS FAR...MAINLY TO RAISE SEVERE THREAT/POPS
OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NE LA INTO SW MS GIVEN CURRENT CLUSTER OF
SUPERCELLS CROSSING CENTRAL LA. THE ENVIRONMENT IS STILL FAVORABLE
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL WITH RECENT SPC SARS OUTPUT FAVORING ~ 4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL OVER NE LA. AS EXPECTED...SHV/LCH/JAN 00Z SOUNDINGS
REVEAL RELATIVELY DRY DEEP LAYER COLUMNS AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR SPLITTING SUPERCELLS. A TORNADO
THREAT EXISTS IN PARTICULAR WITH THE RIGHT-MOVING CELLS AS SEEN THUS
FAR...AND THIS THREAT COULD INCREASE SOME AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE INCREASES IN THE VICINITY OF THE MOST CONCENTRATED
SUPERCELL CLUSTER OVER CENTRL LA APPROACHING EXTREME SW PORTIONS OF
THE ARKLAMISS. CONFIDENCE IS LOWER ON COVERAGE FARTHER NORTH WITH
HRRR GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO INSIST ON MORE FOCUSED DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS EVENING AS LARGE SCALE FORCING INCREASES...BUT IT ISN'T HANDLING
THE CURRENT SCENARIO VERY WELL. HAVE DECREASED POPS JUST A LITTLE
ALONG/S OF THE HWY 82 CORRIDOR FOR NOW WITH EXPECTATION THAT
INCREASED COVERAGE WILL PAN OUT BUT PERHAPS NOT TO EXTENT THAT HRRR
IS SHOWING. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED SVR TSRA COULD IMPACT GLH/GWO/JAN/HKS AND
PERHAPS OVER TO GTR/MEI/HBG SITES NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...THEN POTENTIAL
FOR SOME MVFR CATEGORY STRATUS DURING THE EARLY/MID MORNING BEFORE
MUCH DRIER AIR ENVELOPS THE ARKLAMISS WITH VFR CATEGORIES PREVAILING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. /EC/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 430 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015/

..LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS A MAJOR CONCERN NORTHWEST OF THE
NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR THIS EVENING...

DISCUSSION...THE FORECAST IS REMAINS ON TRACK FOR THIS EVENING. DRY
WEATHER CURRENTLY PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION AS A DISTURBANCE
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH AL PULLS AWAY AND A LARGER
SYNOPTIC UPPER LEVEL TROUGH (AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH) APPROACHES THE ARKLATEX AND SABINE RIVER. 18Z SOUNDINGS AT
LZK/SHV/JAN INDICATE THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER (EML) IS ADVECTING
EAST IN ADVANCE OF SAID TROUGH IN THE PLAINS...LENDING A HIGH AMOUNT
OF POTENTIAL INSTABILITY TO THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS AN INCREASING
AMOUNT OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY. SHALLOW MOISTURE DEPTH AND THERMAL
MID LAYER CAPPING UNDERNEATH THESE HIGH LAPSE RATES ALOFT (IE...A
LOADED GUN TYPE ENVIRONMENT) WILL REQUIRE NON-NEGLIGIBLE FORCING TO
TRIGGER THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH IS WHY IT IS TOTALLY DRY ACROSS OUR
REGION AT 4 PM. HOWEVER...A GLANCE BACK TO THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH (A
SOURCE OF CONSOLIDATED LIFT) REVEALS VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
IN THE PAST HOUR OR TWO. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TO OUR WEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE SLIDING
EAST INTO AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR BEFORE 10 PM
(POSSIBLY ENTERING ASHLEY CO AR AND MOREHOUSE PARISH BY 7 PM). ML
CAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 1500-2500 J/KG...0-3 KM SRH VALUES RANGING
FROM 200-300 M2/S2...AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES OF AROUND 40 KTS
SUGGEST A MIXED MODE OF GUSTY LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS IN
WESTERN ZONES. PARTICULARLY WITH SUPERCELLS COMING IN FROM THE WEST
THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LARGE HAIL OVER GOLF BALL SIZE WHILE
ANY BOWING LINE SEGMENTS COULD BE CAPABLE OF WINDS TO 70 MPH OR MORE
(AND WE CANNOT RULE OUT A TORNADO SPINNING UP IN ASSOCIATION WITH
QLCS ACTIVITY).

AS CONVECTION PUSHES TOWARD THE NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR IN THE LATE
EVENING TO NEAR MIDNIGHT INSTABILITY WILL BE GRADUALLY WANING AND
MOST HIRES MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST STORMS MAY HAVE A HARD TIME
HOLDING TOGETHER WITH ANY VIGOR SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE. THUS
THE ADVERTISED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL DECREASING
SUBSTANTIALLY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA LATER IN THE
EVENING LOOKS VERY ACCURATE.

EXPECT ALL STORMS TO BE WEAK AT BEST (OR HAVE EXITED TO THE EAST) BY
AROUND 3 AM. SOME SHOWERS COULD CONTINUE IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MS UNTIL DAYBREAK...OR MAYBE EVEN A BIT BEYOND THAT NEAR THE
GOLDEN TRIANGLE. BUT...ALAS...BY MIDDAY IN ALL AREAS IT IS A GOOD
BET RAIN AND STORMS WILL BE OUT OF THE FORECAST PICTURE UNTIL AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. THE AIRMASS COMING IN THE WAKE OF TONIGHTS STORMS
WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID...BUT FORTUNATELY THERE IS
NO RISK FOR ANY FROST TO HAMPER GROWING TENDER VEGETATION.

BUT GOOD THINGS MUST COME TO AN END BY WEDNESDAY (BUT MAYBE WAITING
UNTIL THURSDAY IF WE ARE LUCKY) AS A RATHER ACTIVE NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN WILL DEVELOP AND THE BAROCLINIC ZONE PREVIOUSLY TO OUR SOUTH
WILL DRAPE ACROSS THE REGION FOR SEVERAL DAYS. IN THE SPRING TIME
AROUND HERE THIS IS A RECIPE FOR REPEATED OPPORTUNITIES FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS. THERE IS DEFINITELY SOME RISK OF POTENT STORMS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THIS SORT OF PATTERN AND WE WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FOR THIS POTENTIAL CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT HANDFUL OF DAYS.
FORTUNATELY...CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS THE CRUX OF THE
STORMY PATTERN WILL BE FOCUSED FURTHER BACK WEST TOWARD THE ARKLATEX
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ALTHOUGH THERE WILL DEFINITELY BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME HAZARDOUS IMPACT IN OUR REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR
NOW (AND GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES) THERE IS STILL TIME TO REFINE THINKING
BEFORE OFFICIALLY ADVERTISING ANYTHING IN THE HWO AND CREATING
DEDICATED GRAPHICS. /BB/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
707 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-035-
040-041-210015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
GRENADA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
707 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THIS EVENING

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLF BALL TO BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH. A
TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ026-MSZ027>033-036>039-042>045-047>049-053-054-059>061-210015-
CONCORDIA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON-LEAKE-
NESHOBA-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN-
707 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60
MPH OR GREATER. THIS COMES AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ046-050>052-055>058-062>066-072>074-210015-
KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
707 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

THERE IS A LIMITED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

28

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
857 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARZ075-MSZ034-200215-
CHICOT AR-WASHINGTON MS-
857 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CHICOT AND NORTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 857 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER MCMILLAN CORNER...OR NEAR LAKE VILLAGE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GREENVILLE AROUND 915 PM CDT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3329 9130 3342 9138 3353 9117 3348 9105
      3335 9099
TIME...MOT...LOC 0157Z 248DEG 35KT 3337 9126

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
906 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             1 W ALTO                32.36N 91.88W
04/19/2015  M1.25 INCH       RICHLAND           LA   STORM CHASER

            ON SR-15. HAIL LASTED ABOUT 7 MIN.

&&

GERARD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
911 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

LAZ007-200245-
MOREHOUSE LA-
911 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH
UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 911 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR STERLINGTON...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BASTROP...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BASTROP AROUND 920 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE MER ROUGE AND
COLLINSTON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3274 9205 3276 9206 3279 9205 3289 9177
      3264 9176 3262 9192 3265 9192 3266 9191
      3267 9193 3268 9196 3271 9197 3270 9202
      3271 9204 3270 9204 3269 9205 3273 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 0211Z 247DEG 28KT 3271 9201

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
957 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     HAIL             PIONEER                 32.74N 91.44W
04/19/2015  E1.75 INCH       WEST CARROLL       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BOTH PIONEER AND DARNELL.

&&

AW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1010 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

ARZ075-MSZ018-034-200345-
CHICOT AR-WASHINGTON MS-BOLIVAR MS-
1010 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CHICOT...SOUTH
CENTRAL BOLIVAR AND NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM
CDT...

AT 1010 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF MCMILLAN CORNER...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
GREENVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WINTERVILLE AND LAMONT AROUND 1020 PM CDT.
  GREENVILLE AND METCALFE AROUND 1025 PM CDT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3339 9126 3349 9127 3361 9091 3342 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 256DEG 36KT 3344 9118

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1023 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             RAYVILLE                32.47N 91.76W
04/19/2015  E1.00 INCH       RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

AW