Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 530
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 2, 2015, 1:15 PM EST for 46 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 2, 2015, 1:15 PM EST (18:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 2, 2015, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 46 counties
Atkinson County, GA, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Grady County, GA, Houston County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Macon County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA
The radar
The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:32 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Lee, Terrell | 28 min |
| Nov 2, 4:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Telfair | 30 min |
| Nov 2, 4:00 PM EST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Ben Hill | 15 min |
| Nov 2, 4:27 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Telfair, Wheeler | 33 min |
| Nov 2, 4:59 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Montgomery, Toombs, Wheeler | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 230 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 641 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 184 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 6:46 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Early, Quitman | 2 hr |
| Nov 2, 11:21 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baker, Dougherty, Miller, Mitchell, Seminole | 54 min |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bibb, Bleckley, Coffee and 33 more | 84 min |
| Nov 2, 4:37 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 2 more | 53 min |
| Nov 2, 6:05 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Berrien, Bryan, Bulloch and 12 more | 115 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.