Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 52

April 10, 201525 counties in Indiana; 64 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 10, 2015, 1:37 AM EDT for 25 counties in Indiana; 64 counties in Kentucky; 26 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2015, 1:37 AM EDT (05:37 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2015, 6:36 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 115 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 1:37 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKCrawford, Orange, Washington3 hr
Apr 10, 1:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Scott, Washington38 min
Apr 10, 1:52 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKCrawford, Perry3 hr
Apr 10, 1:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Orange, Washington22 min
Apr 10, 1:55 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDJackson, Jennings50 min
Apr 10, 2:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley28 min
Apr 10, 2:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan, Warren31 min
Apr 10, 2:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDarke, Miami, Montgomery, Preble36 min
Apr 10, 2:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison27 min
Apr 10, 2:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Kenton34 min
Apr 10, 3:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren36 min
Apr 10, 3:11 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Greene, Logan, Miami, Montgomery and 1 more31 min
Apr 10, 3:19 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Simpson, Warren31 min
Apr 10, 3:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCampbell29 min
Apr 10, 3:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren31 min
Apr 10, 3:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Larue, Nelson34 min
Apr 10, 3:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Green, Hart, Metcalfe, Monroe39 min
Apr 10, 3:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin, Henry, Shelby23 min
Apr 10, 3:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCasey, Marion, Taylor29 min
Apr 10, 4:05 AM EDTTornado WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion, Taylor20 min
Apr 10, 4:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Cumberland, Green, Metcalfe, Monroe and 1 more46 min
Apr 10, 4:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Lincoln, Monroe and 1 more58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2015-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 849 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2015-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
849 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1308 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
283 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
11.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

534 
WWUS20 KWNS 100538
SEL2  
SPC WW 100538
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-101200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 52
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 AM EDT FRI APR 10 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST INDIANA
  CENTRAL AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHWEST OHIO

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 140 AM UNTIL 800 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 55 MILES NORTH OF CINCINNATI OHIO.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...WW 51...

DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD EAST
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A RISK FOR PRIMARILY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 9:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Gibson, Knox, Montgomery, Parke, Pike and 5 more89 min
Apr 9, 9:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Marshall, Noble and 5 more93 min
Apr 9, 9:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Benton, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 20 more5 hr
Apr 9, 11:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 45 more94 min
Apr 10, 3:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Bourbon, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter and 44 more58 min
Apr 10, 4:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more5 hr
Apr 10, 6:16 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 17 more59 min
Apr 9, 8:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Fairfield, Fayette, Gallia, Hocking, Jackson and 8 more118 min
Apr 10, 2:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2015Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2015Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.