Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 262

June 6, 2015Lincoln County, Pipestone County, Rock County, Minnesota; 46 counties in Nebraska; 24 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 6, 2015, 3:40 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Pipestone County, Rock County, Minnesota; 46 counties in Nebraska; 24 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2015, 3:40 PM CDT (20:40 UTC)
Expired
Jun 6, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 73 counties

Lincoln County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Rock County, MN, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brule County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Davison County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Kearney, Phelps42 min
Jun 6, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps26 min
Jun 6, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt34 min
Jun 6, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt23 min
Jun 6, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Knox37 min
Jun 6, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope32 min
Jun 6, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXKnox30 min
Jun 6, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDClay, Union28 min
Jun 6, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt41 min
Jun 6, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBon Homme, Charles Mix33 min
Jun 6, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXKnox36 min
Jun 6, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCharles Mix24 min
Jun 6, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPierce, Wayne27 min
Jun 6, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDClay, Union44 min
Jun 6, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDClay31 min
Jun 6, 8:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLBFHolt6 hr
Jun 6, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Holt39 min
Jun 6, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, Moody38 min
Jun 6, 8:30 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDClay, Turner, Yankton13 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1210 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

624 
WWUS20 KWNS 062038
SEL2  
SPC WW 062038
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHWESTERN IOWA
  SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
  SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER
NORTH CENTRAL NEB THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.  STRONG WIND FIELDS AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST THE RISK OF
TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE
EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
HASTINGS NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF BROOKINGS SOUTH
DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRock88 min
Jun 6, 3:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Clay, Grant, Norman, Traverse, Wilkin85 min
Jun 6, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay, Douglas, Grant and 14 more6 hr
Jun 6, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Pipestone, Rock116 min
Jun 5, 10:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux58 min
Jun 6, 3:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Deuel, Dundy, Perkins91 min
Jun 6, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Lincoln and 2 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.