Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Nov 5, 2015, 1:16 PM CST for 25 counties in Kansas; 65 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2015, 1:16 PM CST (19:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 5, 2015, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 90 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Platte County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Worth County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 1:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Vernon | 42 min |
| Nov 5, 1:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Anderson, Coffey, Franklin, Osage | 24 min |
| Nov 5, 1:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Osage | 35 min |
| Nov 5, 2:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 45 min |
| Nov 5, 3:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Cedar, Dade, Polk, St. Clair | 39 min |
| Nov 5, 3:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cedar | 32 min |
| Nov 5, 3:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair | 30 min |
| Nov 5, 4:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Gentry, Nodaway | 25 min |
| Nov 5, 5:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, McDonald | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -211 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 698 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 241 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 6:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford and 28 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 5, 12:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 21 more | 95 min |
| Nov 5, 3:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chautauqua and 23 more | 118 min |
| Nov 5, 3:32 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Ozark, Stone, Taney | 88 min |
| Nov 5, 5:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole, Dallas and 17 more | 59 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.