Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 512
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 7, 2015, 1:41 PM MDT for 4 counties in New Mexico; 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 7, 2015, 1:41 PM MDT (19:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 7, 2015, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Doña Ana County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Otero County, NM, Sierra County, NM, Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, El Paso County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Loving County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Ward County, TX
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 10%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 1:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 48 min |
| Oct 7, 1:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 50 min |
| Oct 7, 2:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 44 min |
| Oct 7, 2:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 46 min |
| Oct 7, 2:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 44 min |
| Oct 7, 3:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 39 min |
| Oct 7, 3:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis, Reeves | 49 min |
| Oct 7, 3:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | El Paso, Hudspeth | 41 min |
| Oct 7, 3:39 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | El Paso | 3 hr |
| Oct 7, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 48 min |
| Oct 7, 3:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | El Paso, Hudspeth | 51 min |
| Oct 7, 4:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 39 min |
| Oct 7, 4:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 51 min |
| Oct 7, 4:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 36 min |
| Oct 7, 4:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 49 min |
| Oct 7, 4:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 47 min |
| Oct 7, 4:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 38 min |
| Oct 7, 5:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 41 min |
| Oct 7, 5:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 40 min |
| Oct 7, 5:27 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 3 hr |
| Oct 7, 5:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward | 61 min |
| Oct 7, 6:22 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Eddy | 6 hr |
| Oct 7, 7:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis, Reeves | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 11:59 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Doña Ana, Eddy, Lea, Lincoln, Otero | 3 hr |
| Oct 7, 4:40 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Doña Ana, Eddy, Lea, Otero, Roosevelt | 95 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.