Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 487

August 13, 201515 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2015, 5:42 PM CDT for 15 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2015, 5:42 PM CDT (22:42 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Blaine County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Rock County, NE, Thomas County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFThomas50 min
Aug 13, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln, Logan43 min
Aug 13, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Logan51 min
Aug 13, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan, McPherson49 min
Aug 13, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln63 min
Aug 13, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Lincoln55 min
Aug 13, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 522 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
522 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-228 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
966 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Chase, Dundy, Hayes, Hitchcock and 7 more2 hr
Aug 13, 6:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Brown, Cherry, Custer, Dawson, Hooker and 6 more29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.