Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 472

August 5, 201530 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri; 6 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 5, 2015, 4:21 AM CDT for 30 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri; 6 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2015, 4:21 AM CDT (09:21 UTC)
Expired
Aug 5, 2015, 10:26 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 41 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Barton County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Labette County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Jasper County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Kay County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 4:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Marion, Reno28 min
Aug 5, 4:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Harvey, Marion, Sedgwick39 min
Aug 5, 8:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford60 min
Aug 5, 8:14 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
Aug 5, 8:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBarton6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-08-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 201 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-08-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -98 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
201 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
915 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 8:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 15 more90 min
Aug 5, 3:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Dickinson and 22 more3 hr
Aug 5, 6:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Barton, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 24 more95 min
Aug 5, 8:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Crawford and 9 more97 min
Aug 5, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin114 min
Aug 5, 1:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot4 hr
Aug 5, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.