Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 449

July 24, 201516 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 24, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT for 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 24, 2015, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 24, 2015, 5:29 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 182 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 24, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan24 min
Jul 24, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Macon36 min
Jul 24, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Linn, Macon, Randolph37 min
Jul 24, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Saline29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 270 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-07-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1385 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 24, 2:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Chariton, Cole and 20 more67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.