Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 409

July 13, 201522 counties in Illinois; 39 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 13, 2015, 9:17 AM CDT for 22 counties in Illinois; 39 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2015, 9:17 AM CDT (14:17 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2015, 1:15 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Champaign County, IL, Clark County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McLean County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Richland County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 9:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBoone, Carroll, Clinton, Fountain, Howard, Montgomery and 3 more49 min
Jul 13, 9:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXVermilion31 min
Jul 13, 10:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBoone, Clinton, Hamilton, Hendricks, Marion, Montgomery and 2 more49 min
Jul 13, 10:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDFountain, Montgomery, Parke, Putnam43 min
Jul 13, 10:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDHancock, Hendricks, Johnson, Marion, Morgan, Shelby40 min
Jul 13, 10:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Parke, Putnam48 min
Jul 13, 11:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Brown, Decatur, Jackson, Jennings, Johnson and 2 more54 min
Jul 13, 11:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Owen, Putnam48 min
Jul 13, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Brown, Decatur, Jackson, Jennings54 min
Jul 13, 12:12 PM CDTTornado WarningINDJennings33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2535 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2535 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1016 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
10.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 3:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Iroquois and 7 more116 min
Jul 13, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 18 more6 hr
Jul 13, 7:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFord, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, Kendall, LaSalle and 2 more86 min
Jul 13, 11:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Wabash, White89 min
Jul 13, 3:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Champaign, DeKalb, DeWitt and 29 more84 min
Jul 13, 4:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 52 more7 hr
Jul 13, 4:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Christian, Clinton and 14 more57 min
Jul 13, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette and 11 more4 hr
Jul 13, 6:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, Champaign and 65 more91 min
Jul 13, 11:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison and 8 more7 hr
Jul 13, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Orange and 1 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.