Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 28

April 7, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 7, 2015, 1:37 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2015, 1:37 PM CDT (18:37 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 78 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Union County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Perry County, MO

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Williamson45 min
Apr 7, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHVanderburgh, Warrick25 min
Apr 7, 2:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Orange3 hr
Apr 7, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer, Warrick31 min
Apr 7, 2:50 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHSpencer, Warrick25 min
Apr 7, 2:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois32 min
Apr 7, 3:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry21 min
Apr 7, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Perry30 min
Apr 7, 3:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Washington3 hr
Apr 7, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Perry24 min
Apr 7, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison31 min
Apr 7, 3:34 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry21 min
Apr 7, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKHarrison18 min
Apr 7, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMcLean, Webster17 min
Apr 7, 3:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKClark3 hr
Apr 7, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Floyd, Harrison29 min
Apr 7, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham, Trimble32 min
Apr 7, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison31 min
Apr 7, 4:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBreckinridge, Grayson, Hancock, Ohio3 hr
Apr 7, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark28 min
Apr 7, 4:17 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKHenry18 min
Apr 7, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHardin, Larue, Nelson30 min
Apr 7, 4:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKJefferson, Oldham3 hr
Apr 7, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison32 min
Apr 7, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin, Scott29 min
Apr 7, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Nelson, Spencer30 min
Apr 7, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLarue, Marion, Nelson, Washington29 min
Apr 7, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGarrard, Jessamine, Mercer31 min
Apr 7, 5:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKGarrard, Jessamine, Madison, Mercer29 min
Apr 7, 5:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBourbon, Fayette, Franklin, Oldham, Scott, Shelby and 2 more6 hr
Apr 7, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGreen, Hart, Larue, Taylor32 min
Apr 7, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion, Mercer, Washington29 min
Apr 7, 5:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKGarrard, Madison29 min
Apr 7, 5:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKButler, Edmonson, Grayson, Green, Hart, Warren3 hr
Apr 7, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion26 min
Apr 7, 5:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKMadison24 min
Apr 7, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Lincoln28 min
Apr 7, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKMadison18 min
Apr 7, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Madison30 min
Apr 7, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCasey, Lincoln31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 593 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 179 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
594 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 8:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clinton, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson and 11 more88 min
Apr 7, 8:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClinton, Franklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Madison and 7 more7 hr
Apr 7, 10:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson and 11 more54 min
Apr 7, 1:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 7 more61 min
Apr 7, 2:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 14 more97 min
Apr 7, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Boyle, Bullitt, Edmonson, Franklin, Grayson and 13 more86 min
Apr 7, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Boyle, Breathitt, Carter, Casey and 35 more56 min
Apr 7, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBath, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill, Floyd and 17 more2 hr
Apr 7, 3:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess and 9 more54 min
Apr 7, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Cass, Cedar, Dade, Greene and 9 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.