Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 27

April 7, 201513 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 7, 2015, 8:34 AM CDT for 13 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2015, 8:34 AM CDT (13:34 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2015, 3:29 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Clinton County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Cape Girardeau County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Perry County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 8:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis48 min
Apr 7, 9:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson42 min
Apr 7, 9:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis49 min
Apr 7, 9:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren8 hr
Apr 7, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson47 min
Apr 7, 10:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair42 min
Apr 7, 10:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMonroe4 hr
Apr 7, 12:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXRandolph6 hr
Apr 7, 1:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Perry51 min
Apr 7, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson39 min
Apr 7, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Williamson45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 134 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
134 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-199 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
443 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 8:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clinton, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson and 11 more88 min
Apr 7, 10:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson and 11 more54 min
Apr 7, 1:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 7 more61 min
Apr 7, 1:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 10 more5 hr
Apr 7, 2:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 14 more97 min
Apr 7, 3:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess and 9 more54 min
Apr 7, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Cass, Cedar, Dade, Greene and 9 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.