Alert archive / New Hampshire / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232

May 27, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2015, 5:02 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2015, 5:02 PM EDT (21:02 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2015, 8:53 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Franklin County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH

The radar

The Portland,ME radar (KGYX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Merrimack, Sullivan43 min
May 27, 5:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGYXGrafton, Sullivan3 hr
May 27, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire61 min
May 27, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton44 min
May 27, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Somerset37 min
May 27, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford40 min
May 27, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampshire, Worcester50 min
May 27, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region37 min
May 27, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCheshire, Hillsborough43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2015-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 171 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2015-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
171 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1251 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 12:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region6 hr
May 27, 2:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 27, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
May 27, 7:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC54 min
May 27, 6:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis58 min
May 27, 11:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.