Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 185

May 16, 2015Linn County, Miami County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 16, 2015, 10:27 PM CDT for Linn County, Miami County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2015, 10:27 PM CDT (03:27 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2015, 2:49 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Adair County, MO, Bates County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson, Platte, Ray39 min
May 16, 11:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCass, Jackson6 hr
May 16, 11:24 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXClay, Jackson, Ray36 min
May 17, 12:01 AM CDTTornado WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess29 min
May 17, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry, Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette42 min
May 17, 12:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Daviess, Grundy, Lafayette, Livingston and 1 more51 min
May 17, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline47 min
May 17, 1:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer27 min
May 17, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Saline and 1 more48 min
May 17, 1:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 8:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson, Linn, Miami, Wyandotte89 min
May 16, 9:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Butler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 5 more96 min
May 16, 10:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford5 hr
May 17, 1:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Benton, Camden, Christian, Cole, Dallas and 20 more92 min
May 17, 2:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCamden, Dallas, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede and 10 more5 hr
May 17, 4:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Crawford, Dent, Howell, Iron, Oregon and 6 more93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.