Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 649

May 15, 20154 counties in New Mexico; 30 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2015, 2:36 PM MDT for 4 counties in New Mexico; 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2015, 2:36 PM MDT (20:36 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2015, 4:00 PM MDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 34 counties

Curry County, NM, Lea County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Ector County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 201 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
201 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1524 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 9:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Crockett and 31 more57 min
May 15, 5:51 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBee, Brooks, Duval, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells, Kleberg and 7 more54 min
May 15, 1:41 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Cameron, Fort Bend, Jackson, Matagorda and 2 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.