Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 645

May 15, 201513 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2015, 6:51 AM CDT for 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 15, 2015, 6:51 AM CDT (11:51 UTC)
Expired: May 15, 2015, 7:45 AM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch: 40%

Counties Bee County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Duval County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Nueces County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Webb County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 433 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -119 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 14, 10:18 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Andrews, Borden, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Crockett and 31 more	57 min
May 15, 2:41 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Brazoria, Calhoun, Cameron, Fort Bend, Jackson, Matagorda and 2 more	2 hr
May 15, 3:36 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Andrews, Armstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro and 24 more	84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015 Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.