Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 647

May 15, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2015, 2:13 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2015, 2:13 PM CDT (19:13 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2015, 4:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 74 counties

Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 171 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 270 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1804 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1804 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
771 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 6:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Caldwell, Callaway, Camden and 44 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.