Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 286

April 12, 201526 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 12, 2015, 5:39 PM CDT for 26 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2015, 5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
Expired
Apr 12, 2015, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 26 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Frio County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Starr County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Zapata County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1227 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1227 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 8:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Crosby and 13 more56 min
Apr 12, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Hardeman, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Wheeler57 min
Apr 12, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 15 more115 min
Apr 12, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBriscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens and 16 more7 hr
Apr 12, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Brooks, Cameron, Crockett, Dimmit and 28 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.