Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1589

August 2, 201521 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 2, 2015, 6:08 PM EDT for 21 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2015, 6:08 PM EDT (22:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2015, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 21 counties

Bay County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2015-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 12 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2015-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
12 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1599 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 5:21 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic, Iron, Ontonagon2 hr
Aug 2, 8:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Crawford, Delta, Dickinson and 13 more2 hr
Aug 2, 9:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 19 more7 hr
Aug 2, 12:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Iosco, Missaukee, Montmorency, Ogemaw, Oscoda and 2 more56 min
Aug 2, 1:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Dickinson, Iron, Menominee2 hr
Aug 2, 2:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Genesee, Ingham, Lapeer, Livingston, Macomb and 6 more64 min
Aug 2, 3:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot and 13 more2 hr
Aug 2, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Allegan, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Barry and 35 more7 hr
Aug 2, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Bay, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton and 34 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.