Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Springfield, MO

841 
WWUS53 KSGF 070946
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
446 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

KSC021-037-070956-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150407T1030Z/
CHEROKEE KS-CRAWFORD KS-
446 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3758 9462 3765 9456 3764 9408 3740 9409
      3730 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0946Z 252DEG 29KT 3751 9449 3736 9450

$$

MOC011-097-071030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150407T1030Z/
BARTON MO-JASPER MO-
446 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
JASPER AND BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 444 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LIBERAL TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MINDENMINES...AND
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOSTON...BURGESS...HANNON...IANTHA...IRWIN...KENOMA...LAMAR
HEIGHTS...LAMAR...LIBERAL...MILFORD...MINDENMINES...NASHVILLE...
OAKTON AND VERDELLA.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES PRAIRIE STATE PARK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 9462 3765 9456 3764 9408 3740 9409
      3730 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0946Z 252DEG 29KT 3751 9449 3736 9450

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

CRAMER

021 
WWUS53 KSGF 070956
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
456 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

MOC097-071006-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150407T1030Z/
JASPER MO-
456 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3748 9447 3753 9448 3757 9444 3760 9438
      3764 9408 3740 9409 3735 9434 3736 9452
      3739 9452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0956Z 252DEG 29KT 3754 9438 3738 9443

$$

MOC011-071030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150407T1030Z/
BARTON MO-
456 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARTON COUNTY
UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 454 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAMAR TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LAMAR...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOSTON...IANTHA...IRWIN...KENOMA...LAMAR HEIGHTS...LAMAR...MILFORD...
NASHVILLE AND OAKTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 9447 3753 9448 3757 9444 3760 9438
      3764 9408 3740 9409 3735 9434 3736 9452
      3739 9452
TIME...MOT...LOC 0956Z 252DEG 29KT 3754 9438 3738 9443

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

CRAMER

374 
WWUS53 KSGF 071016
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
516 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

MOC011-071030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150407T1030Z/
BARTON MO-
516 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARTON COUNTY 
UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 513 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
LAMAR...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOSTON...KENOMA...LAMAR HEIGHTS...LAMAR...MILFORD AND OAKTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 9424 3737 9431 3738 9436 3740 9439
      3745 9438 3749 9438 3754 9437 3755 9435
      3764 9408 3740 9409
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 252DEG 29KT 3747 9428

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
302 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 301 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

Low level jet of 35-45 kts at 850 mb was occurring across the area
with a warm front set up across central MO. A few storms have
developed as a result in central MO north of the area and in south
central MO into Arkansas. Convection was mainly developing on
eastern and northern edge of an elevated mixed layer which was
present over much of the CWA.

Temperatures remain very mild overnight with readings still in the
60s and dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Forecast will be focusing in on thunderstorm chances/severity
through the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 301 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

For today, will continue the risk of thunderstorms mainly over the
eastern Ozarks and in our central MO counties through the rest of
the overnight and early Tuesday morning, but should see low level
jet weaken and the elevated mixed layer strengthen by mid morning
and not expecting much convection the rest of the day. Will need
to watch just to our northwest by later this afternoon near the
triple point across eastern KS for thunderstorm development should
the cap break. If this occurs, there would be a risk of large hail
and damaging winds with storms that could develop. This would
mainly be a risk over our southeast Kansas into west central MO
counties from late afternoon into the evening hours.

Highs today should reach the mid 70s to low 80s which is quite a
bit above normal for this time of year. This combined with surface
dew points in the upper 50s to mid 60s should yield CAPES in the
2000-3000 j/kg range. The question will be if the CAP can break.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 301 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

Another warm day is in store for the area on Wednesday with the
warm front shifting northward. Main severe weather risk will be
later in the day as upper level energy will help to erode a CAP
with storms developing to our west and pushing into our CWA by
late afternoon into the evening. The main cold front will
eventually shift east into the area during the day Thursday as a
negatively tilted upper level wave shifts east northeast from the
Plains into the upper and mid Mississippi valley regions. Severe
storms will be possible as this front moves through with the best
chance of severe weather expected across our eastern CWA due to
the timinig of the surface front. Supercells may be possible as
storms initiate which would bring about the risk of all modes of
severe weather. Convection should pass through the area by 06z Fri
with high pressure building in for the day Friday.

The high should quickly push to the east of the area and we will
move back into a good Gulf moisture feed on Saturday with
thunderstorm chances returning by late Saturday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT MON APR 6 2015

Ceilings vary greatly this evening though anticipate MVFR
conditions to soon prevail giving way to IFR as low levels cool
and southerly winds advect moisture into the region. Ceilings will
show little improvement through midday Tuesday...with mixing
leading to VFR conditions in the afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Runnels

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
422 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-080930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
422 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
  MORNING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI.
  LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE
  WEATHER RISK.

  ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
  AND OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND THUNDERSTORM WIND
  GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS
  THAT DEVELOP.

  SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR EACH DAY THROUGH
  THURSDAY AND COULD GUST TO NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES.

  THE SETUP WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS A
  LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES FROM WEDNESDAY INTO
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
  EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL STORM
  CHANCES AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG