Severe Thunderstorm Warning 264, NWS Springfield, MO

263 
WWUS53 KSGF 190356
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1056 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

MOC043-209-190445-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0264.000000T0000Z-150819T0445Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-
1056 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR CHRISTIAN AND NORTHERN STONE COUNTIES...

AT 1055 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR OZARK TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF HIGHLANDVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NIXA...                           OZARK...
SPARTA...                         HIGHLANDVILLE...
FREMONT HILLS...                  HURLEY...
SPOKANE...                        PONCE DE LEON...
ELKHEAD...                        CHADWICK...
LINDEN...                         SELMORE...
CHESTNUTRIDGE...                  GARRISON...
KELTNER...                        BRUNER...
OLDFIELD...                       CHRISTIAN CENTER...
ELSEY...                          

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3683 9361 3694 9348 3699 9340 3708 9334
      3709 9299 3708 9299 3709 9296 3708 9290
      3681 9291 3682 9324 3681 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 269DEG 50KT 3706 9316 3684 9325 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CRAMER

714 
WWUS53 KSGF 190423
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1123 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

MOC209-190432-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0264.000000T0000Z-150819T0445Z/
STONE MO-
1123 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN STONE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3691 9321 3697 9316 3708 9315 3709 9299
      3708 9299 3709 9296 3708 9290 3681 9291
      3682 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 280DEG 21KT 3706 9302 3684 9311 

$$

MOC043-190445-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0264.000000T0000Z-150819T0445Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-
1123 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY...

AT 1122 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROGERSVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF TANEYVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARTA...                         GARRISON...
ELKHEAD...                        CHADWICK...
KELTNER...                        BRUNER...
LINDEN...                         OLDFIELD...
CHRISTIAN CENTER...               

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3691 9321 3697 9316 3708 9315 3709 9299
      3708 9299 3709 9296 3708 9290 3681 9291
      3682 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 280DEG 21KT 3706 9302 3684 9311 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CRAMER

729 
WWUS53 KSGF 190443
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1143 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

MOC043-190452-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0264.000000T0000Z-150819T0445Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-
1143 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1145 PM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3691 9321 3697 9316 3708 9315 3709 9299
      3708 9299 3709 9296 3708 9290 3681 9291
      3682 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 277DEG 23KT 3706 9302 3684 9311 

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
537 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Through Tonight)
Issued at 0159 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

Rather complex mesoscale set up over the region at this time.
Outflow boundary has become a focus for scattered showers and
storms that extend from Rolla southwestward to near Branson. While
the airmass in this area is unstable (MLCAPE nearing 2000 J/kg),
shear is lacking. As a result, storms have fired, but organization
is struggling. Multicells are expected for the next few hours
before this activity exits to the east. There is a risk for a few
severe storms with this activity, with hail to the size of
quarters and wind gusts to 60mph the main risks.

In the meantime, an elongated area of rain and embedded storms
continues to move east out of western Missouri. This activity has
exhibited a slow weakening trend, but should stay together as it
encounters increasing instability. At this point, not expecting
severe weather with this activity, but it will continued to be
monitored for trends.

Heading into this evening and tonight, eyes will then focus on a
cold front approaching from the northwest. Should see enough
recovery across eastern Kansas to increase instability. Convection
that fires along the front will move southeast with time and into
western portions of the area this evening. There are questions as
to how unstable our atmosphere will become. This area has been
worked over so far today, and the window of opportunity for
heating and recovery is small, and getting smaller by the hour.
Trends will need to be monitored carefully. If enough instability
develops, there will be a risk of marginally severe hail/wind with
storms that enter from the west.

Overnight, the cold front will move through the region and a much
cooler airmass will enter from the northwest. The main shortwave
over the upper Midwest will be slow to eject northeast, and a few
additional lobes of vorticity will move through the area beginning
late tonight through Wednesday. As a result, additional showers
are expected across the region.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Tuesday)
Issued at 0159 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

Cold front will continue to plow through the area Wednesday. A
strong mid level shortwave moving out of Kansas combined with a
moist mid/upper level parallel flow will promote a slug of post
frontal showers across most of the area through a majority of the
day into the evening. NW surface flow, clouds and precip will make
for a well below average August day with highs likely in the
middle 60s. Once precip and clouds clear out Wednesday night,
lows will tank into the lower 50s.

 Quiet weather is expected under zonal flow Thursday and Friday
with the highs in the upper 70s and lows in the upper 50s/lower
60s. Medium range models continue to show a disturbance in the
flow approaching the area early Saturday. Showers and
thunderstorms look possible during this timeframe.

 A strong shortwave will traverse the northern plains on Sunday
pushing another cold front into the area. Showers and
thunderstorms also look possible during the day and evening
Sunday. Beyond Sunday, northwest flow returns and dry conditions
are expected through early next week. Temperatures look to remain
near or slightly below average with highs near 80 and lows near
60.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 0533 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

Convection over the eastern CWA should exit just as convection
ahead of the cold front in eastern Kansas begins to push into our
western CWA. Should start to see that occur near the onset of the
00z TAFS and for the JLN area into SGF an hour or two later. BBG
will be later in the evening. This system seems to have quite a
bit of post-frontal precipitation, so will be going with
showers/thunder through much of the TAF period. Much of the pre-
frontal conditions will be in VFR/MVFR unless you can get directly
under a stronger storm which could send it into IFR. However,
post-frontal conditions will deteriorate into IFR for much of the
day Wednesday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gagan
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
816 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
816 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING.
  SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE
  OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 70 MPH. THE
  BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE LATE
  EVENING.

  IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS...THESE STORMS
  WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
  AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TO
  EAST WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
  WEDNESDAY. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE
  POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

  THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN LATE FRIDAY INTO THE
  WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
813 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 PM     TSTM WND GST     WEIR                    37.31N 94.77W
08/18/2015  E65 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIND SPEED ESTIMATED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER

&&

RABERDING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
843 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     TSTM WND GST     CRESTLINE               37.17N 94.70W
08/18/2015  E60 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ESTIMATED WIND GUST AT KOAM-TV STUDIOS

&&

RABERDING