Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
553 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 255 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

Very slow moving storms over eastern Kansas into west central MO
during the late evening were in the final stages of dissipating
as of 2 am. Additional showery activity was occuring over the
eastern Ozarks this morning and will probably continue to see
these scattered showers and thunderstorms there through the
morning with a weak low level jet in place over the area and
elevated instability.

Broad southwesterly flow aloft continues across the region with
closed low in the southwest U.S. and upper level jet streak
pushing northeast ahead of the low into the Baja region and desert
southwest. Surface front was located from northeast MO into west
central MO and southeast Kansas early this morning and was the
focusing mechanism for the earlier convection. Very mild
conditions for this time of year during the overnight hours with
readings still in the mid 60s to low 70s and dew points in the low
to mid 60s southeast of that front.

Main forecast focus will be with thunderstorm chances, timing and
severity for today through Thursday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 255 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

Jet streak near the Baja region will begin to lift northeast into
the southern Plains today with best convective chances occurring
across the north and western sections of the CWA. Believe most of
the convection we have initially will be elevated in nature and
consist of mainly a hail risk. More significant severe chances
for late afternoon into tonight will hinge on how much convection
we receive today and how that affects the atmosphere. Without a
lot of convection today there would be sufficient instability and
shear for all modes of severe weather with surface based storms
initially firing along the dry line/cold front to our west and
then progressing east into the area during the evening.
Temperatures will be similar to what we had yesterday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

The cold front and upper level wave will still be to our west as
we head into Thursday. Upper wave and front will kick eastward
through the day with best chance of severe storms occurring across
the eastern half of the forecast area with the better instability
during the afternoon/evening occurring there out ahead of the
front. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with these
storms, however overall severity will be dependent on how much
instability can develop in the wake of morning convection ongoing
from tonights storms.

Should clear out from west to east Thursday night behind the cold
front with high pressure moving into the region. The high will
shift over the area Saturday and bring some slightly cooler and
drier air to the area, but will shift eastward by Saturday night
with a return to the Gulf moisture feed thereafter.

The overall unsettled weather pattern will return quickly by
Saturday night and Sunday and will continue into the middle part
of next week as upper level energy moves in from the southwest
bringing showers and thunderstorms to the area on a daily basis.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 549 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

Newly developing convection is expected to remain north of the
terminals this morning. Expecting to remain in VFR conditions
through the morning. Upper level energy with a jet streak will
lift northeast into the Plains today and interact with a surface
front which remains stationary over eastern Kansas into central
MO. This will help thunderstorms to redevelop by midday into the
afternoon and may affect the terminal locations during the
afternoon and evening. Strong to severe storms are expected to
develop along a dry line further to the west by late afternoon and
push into the area this evening from the west. VFR conditions
expected outside of the convection with MVFR to IFR conditions within
the convection.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
633 AM CDT WED APR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 AM     HAIL             1 N PAWNEE STATION      37.71N 94.79W
04/08/2015  E1.00 INCH       BOURBON            KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
656 AM CDT WED APR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 AM     HAIL             HIATTVILLE              37.72N 94.87W
04/08/2015  E1.75 INCH       BOURBON            KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 AM CDT WED APR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 AM     HAIL             MOUNDVILLE              37.77N 94.45W
04/08/2015  E0.88 INCH       VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

&&

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
841 AM CDT WED APR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     HAIL             6 S EL DORADO SPRINGS   37.79N 94.02W
04/08/2015  E1.75 INCH       CEDAR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RABERDING

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
941 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

MOZ055-056-068-069-081530-
BENTON MO-CAMDEN MO-HICKORY MO-MORGAN MO-
941 AM CDT WED APR 8 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HICKORY...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN...SOUTHEASTERN BENTON AND SOUTHWESTERN MORGAN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

AT 939 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FRISTOE TO 6 MILES WEST OF PRESTON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. PENNY
SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
BENTON...NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN...NORTHEASTERN HICKORY AND SOUTHWESTERN
MORGAN COUNTIES.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE LAKE OF
THE OZARKS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3840 9296 3801 9287 3792 9326 3827 9332
TIME...MOT...LOC 1441Z 248DEG 28KT 3818 9335 3795 9330

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
956 AM CDT WED APR 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 AM     HAIL             6 SSE NEVADA            37.76N 94.31W
04/08/2015  M1.75 INCH       VERNON             MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL IN MILO VIA
            FACEBOOK

&&

RABERDING