Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Blacksburg, VA

June 30, 2015Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2015, 6:26 PM EDT for Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina. It was in force for 45 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2015, 6:26 PM EDT (22:26 UTC)
Expired: Jun 30, 2015, 7:11 PM EDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 30, 6:43 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 Se Jericho, NC	ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 62 SOUTH.
Jun 30, 6:58 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 Ene Hightowers, NC	ONE TREE DOWN ON A POWER LINE AT THE HYCO CREEK BRIDGE ON GRIERS CHURCH ROAD

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 17 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 30, 2:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 45 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1604 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

217 
WUUS51 KRNK 302226
SVRRNK
NCC033-157-302330-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0081.150630T2226Z-150630T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
626 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 625 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAMP SPRINGS TO GRAHAM...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  YANCEYVILLE...
  CAMP SPRINGS...
  PROSPECT HILL...
  JERICHO...
  AND SEMORA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
WIND DAMAGE ACROSS GUILFORD COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 
WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 7965 3654 7914 3624 7916 3625 7953
      3624 7953 3624 7963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 232DEG 33KT 3625 7961 3607 7942 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DS

4 follow-up statements

752 
WWUS51 KRNK 302242
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
642 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCC157-302251-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-150630T2330Z/
ROCKINGHAM NC-
642 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM 
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3654 7914 3624 7916 3625 7947 3633 7952
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 232DEG 33KT 3634 7947 3616 7928 

$$

NCC033-302330-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-150630T2330Z/
CASWELL NC-
642 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 641 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CAMP SPRINGS TO NEAR MEBANE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YANCEYVILLE...
CAMP SPRINGS...
PROSPECT HILL...
JERICHO...
AND SEMORA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS. FOR YOUR SAFETY...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7914 3624 7916 3625 7947 3633 7952
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 232DEG 33KT 3634 7947 3616 7928 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DS

935 
WWUS51 KRNK 302252
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCC033-302330-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-150630T2330Z/
CASWELL NC-
652 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 652 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR YANCEYVILLE TO NEAR PROSPECT HILL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YANCEYVILLE...
PROSPECT HILL...
JERICHO...
SEMORA...
AND HAMER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS. FOR YOUR SAFETY...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7914 3624 7916 3625 7935 3638 7942
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 232DEG 33KT 3639 7939 3621 7920 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

DS

994 
WWUS51 KRNK 302304
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
704 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCC033-302330-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-150630T2330Z/
CASWELL NC-
704 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR
EASTERN CASWELL COUNTY...

AT 703 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR HAMER TO PROSPECT HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PROSPECT HILL...
SEMORA...
HAMER...
TOPNOT...
AND LEASBURG. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS. FOR YOUR SAFETY...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7914 3624 7916 3624 7924 3646 7929
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 229DEG 34KT 3647 7925 3625 7917 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DS

827 
WWUS51 KRNK 302311
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
711 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCC033-302320-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-150630T2330Z/
CASWELL NC-
711 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CASWELL COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. 
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS 
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL OF ANY
SIZE...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING DOWNED TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE
AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE
SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND
ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3654 7914 3624 7916 3624 7924 3646 7929
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 232DEG 33KT 3651 7919 3629 7911 

$$

DS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 3:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 3:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
325 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL
STALL ACROSS THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SERIES OF LOWS WILL
TRACK ALONG THE FRONT THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 240 PM EDT TUESDAY...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 377 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM. MAIN FOCUS WILL
BE FOR DEVELOPING CONVECTION IN WV/FAR SW VA MOVING EWD INTO THE
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN OUR FORECAST. THERE IS A
INSTABILITY MINIMUM AT 18Z FROM THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS TO THE NEW
RIVER VALLEY AS THE DEWPOINTS ARE LOWER HERE. ANOTHER AREA TO WATCH
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE IN THE PIEDMONT EARLY ON. THE
LATEST HIGH-RES SEEMS OVERDONE ATTM...BUT EMPHASIZE CONVECTION IN
SOUTHSIDE VA BY 19-20Z...MOVING OUT OF THIS AREA AFTER 21Z. WILL
HAVE TO SEE HOW WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES OVER THE MTNS AND CENTRAL KY
MOVE INTO THIS EVENING. NOT EVERYONE WILL SEE STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS THIS EVENING AND HALF OF YOU WILL PROBABLY NOT SEE ANY RAIN.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATE EVENING THE STORMS WILL WEAKEN AND FADE.
AIRMASS WILL STAY MOIST AND WITH BASE OF TROUGH/VORT SWINGING ACROSS
CANNOT RULE OUT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT...WITH AT LEAST SLIGHT TO LOW
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN CWA THROUGH MORNING. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 60S.

UPPER FLOW WILL TURN MORE WESTERLY WEDNESDAY WITH FOCUS FOR STORMS
SWINGING FURTHER SOUTHWEST...AND WEST FROM WESTERN KY INTO THE
SMOKYS. HIGHEST POPS WILL BE IN THE SW VA/NW NC MTNS GIVEN THIS.
MARGINAL RISK OF SVR REMAINS AROUND AND SOUTHWEST OF THIS AREA
TOMORROW. WE SHOULD SEE MORE SUNSHINE AND RISING TEMPS ESPECIALLY IN
THE PIEDMONT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 90S. THE MOUNTAINS
WILL BE WARM WITH INCREASING CLOUDS THEN SCATTERED STORMS...WITH
LOWER 80S EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EDT TUESDAY

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
U.S. THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD KEEPING AN UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN IN PLACE. MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE UPPER TROF...BUT THERE IS CONSENSUS THAT ONE OF THE
STRONGER WAVES MOVES OVER OUR AREA ON THURSDAY PROVIDING THE BEST
CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD AND ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION. OUR AREA ALSO
FALLS UNDER THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL JET IN
NEW ENGLAND.

WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS ON THURSDAY MAY KEEP INSTABILITY DOWN...WITH
MODELS SHOWING HIGHEST CAPES IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA
WHERE MORE SUN IS EXPECTED. MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH
THIS SYSTEM...AND AS A RESULT...LOWERED POPS IN THE EAST.
HOWEVER...THIS MAY ALLOW FOR MORE HEATING IN THE SOUTH AND EAST
RESULTING IN A BETTER CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.  HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO
POSSIBLE...AS PWATS SOAR TO 1.5 TO 2.0" BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE HWO.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...THE SFC BOUNDARY IS PUSHED SOUTH INTO
NC ON FRIDAY LEAVING US WITH A EAST/SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW. AS A
RESULT...DROPPED HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND KEPT HIGHEST POPS IN THE FAR
WEST AND FAR SOUTH CLOSEST TO THE PROJECTED LOCATION OF THE LOW
LEVEL BOUNDARY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EDT TUESDAY

THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD...THE GFS AND ECMWF KEEP THE EASTERN
U.S. UNDER AN UPPER TROF THAT FLATTENS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS TROF THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...KEEPING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH THE HIGHEST POPS IN THE WEST CLOSEST TO THE BEST UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT.

THE GFS AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE CANADIAN MODELS ARE STRONGER AND
DEEPER WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHILE THE ECMWF
IS MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE. WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENS WILL LIKELY BE
SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THESE SOLUTIONS....BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT OUR
REGION WILL REMAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF AXIS...KEEPING
UNSETTLED WEATHER IN PLACE THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 120 PM EDT TUESDAY...

UNDER INCREASING INSTABILITY AND SOME WEAK UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT...LOOK FOR CU THIS AFTERNOON TO TOWER INTO CBS AS WE HEAD
THROUGH 21Z. HIGH-RES MODELS SHOWING ENOUGH CONSENSUS ON WHERE
CONVECTION WILL FIRE AND MOVE IN. SO...WILL KEEP VCTS IN OVER MOST
TAF SITES IN THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH THAT
SHOULD SEE STORMS IN THE BLF AREA BETWEEN 20-23Z...SO ADDED A
TEMPO GROUP HERE. CONFIDENCE NOT AS HIGH NORTHEAST. MODELS SEEM TO
PINPOINT SOUTHSIDE VA NEAR DAN EARLY...THEN MOVE THE EMPHASIS WEST
OF THE BLUE RIDGE AFTER 20Z.

ANY SHOWERS OR TSRA WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME
SVR GUSTS PER LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER OUTLOOK. AVIATION
INTERESTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR RADAR AND SIGMETS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT THE ACTIVITY WINDS DOWN. WE WILL SEE
SOME FOG AND LOWER CIGS WORK INTO THE MTNS AFTER 06Z...SO KEPT THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST AND TRIED TO TOUCH ON MORE FOG AT LWB/DAN/BCB.

AS WE HEAD THROUGH WED MORNING WE SCATTER OUT WITH VFR EXPECTED.
TSRA WILL BE MORE WIDELY SCATTERED WEDNESDAY WITH FOCUS SHIFTING
SOUTHWEST. BEST THREAT FOR STORMS WILL LIE FROM BLF-BCB AND
SOUTHWEST INTO TN.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

THE REGION WILL BE IN A GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN THROUGH
SATURDAY. WHILE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CANNOT BE
RULE OUT ANY OF THESE DAYS...THE BEST POTENTIAL WILL BE ON
THURSDAY...THEN AGAIN LATER FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A THIRD
POTENTIAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ON SATURDAY AS SEPARATE SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS PROGRESS TROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA MUCH OF THE
TIME. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL COME AS TEMPORARY DECREASES WITHIN ANY
HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...AND THEN LATE AT NIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING DUE TO RIVER OR MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG...ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVED PRECIPITATION THE DAY BEFORE.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WP
NEAR TERM...WP
SHORT TERM...PH
LONG TERM...PH
AVIATION...AMS/JH/WP

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 3:47 PM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
347 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-WVZ042>044-507-508-012000-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-
BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
347 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 377 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WHICH MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-012000-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
347 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 377 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
500 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             3 ENE GALAX CITY        36.68N 80.87W
06/30/2015  E0.50 INCH       CARROLL            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL.

&&

WHP

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:11 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
511 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

VAZ017-022-033-302200-
FLOYD-ROANOKE-FRANKLIN-
511 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEASTERN ROANOKE...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...NORTHEASTERN FLOYD AND
SOUTH CENTRAL CITY OF ROANOKE COUNTIES...

AT 511 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER COPPER HILL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROANOKE...
BOONES MILL...
BENT MOUNTAIN...
COPPER HILL...
AND CALLAWAY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3698 8009 3709 8020 3725 7999 3714 7983
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 226DEG 25KT 3707 8012

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:28 PM EDT, 58 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
528 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCZ004-302200-
STOKES-
528 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWESTERN STOKES COUNTY...

AT 528 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER KING...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KING...
PINNACLE...
HANGING ROCK STATE PARK...
CAPELLA...
AND MEADOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3629 8045 3632 8045 3646 8033 3634 8016
      3626 8036 3626 8041
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 232DEG 17KT 3630 8038

DS

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:37 PM EDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
537 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCZ020-302200-
YADKIN-
537 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWESTERN YADKIN COUNTY...

AT 537 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BUCK SHOALS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YADKINVILLE...
BROOKS CROSSROADS...
AND BUCK SHOALS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3606 8088 3610 8088 3622 8077 3616 8057
      3605 8078
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 229DEG 24KT 3607 8086

DS

Local storm report, Jun 30, 5:49 PM EDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
549 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             3 NNE REDOAK            36.83N 78.59W
06/30/2015  E0.50 INCH       CHARLOTTE          VA   PUBLIC

            UP TO DIME SIZED HAIL FELL AT THE WYLLIESBURG DINER ALONG
            ROUTE 15 THREE MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF RED OAK

&&

PW

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 6:11 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
611 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NCZ020-302245-
YADKIN-
611 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT YADKIN COUNTY...

AT 610 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BROOKS CROSSROADS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YADKINVILLE...
SHACKTOWN...
BROOKS CROSSROADS...
LONE HICKORY...
AND BUCK SHOALS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3605 8074 3606 8084 3610 8088 3624 8067
      3615 8049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 233DEG 24KT 3608 8078

DS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 30, 2:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Alleghany	31 min
Jun 30, 3:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Alleghany	30 min
Jun 30, 4:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Person	29 min
Jun 30, 4:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Caswell	12 min
Jun 30, 5:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Stokes	32 min
Jun 30, 5:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Yadkin	23 min
Jun 30, 6:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Yadkin	34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.