Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS Pueblo, CO

234 
WWUS55 KPUB 242126
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
326 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

COC011-099-242145-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-150524T2145Z/
PROWERS CO-BENT CO-
326 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PROWERS AND NORTHEASTERN BENT COUNTIES...

AT 326 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF
MCCLAVE...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAMAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAMAR...WILEY...HASTY...MCCLAVE...JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR AND CADDOA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 10284 3791 10311 3825 10297 3823 10246
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 213DEG 24KT 3792 10281 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

HODANISH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
247 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

SATELLITE IMAGES THIS AFTERNOON SHOW AN UPR LOW CENTER OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL WY WITH THE UPR TROF OVR CO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A COUPLE
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. SPC MESO ANALYSIS SHOWING 1000 J/KG OF
CAPE ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR WITH 2000-2500 J/KG NEAR THE EASTERN
CO BORDER. SHEAR IS MARGINAL TODAY WITH VALUES BEING ABOUT 35-45
KTS. STILL COULD SEE A COUPLE MORE OR A FEW SEVERE STORMS OVR THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL BEING
THE MAIN THREAT...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT SOME WEAK FUNNELS. THE UPR
LOW WL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THRU THE NIGHT AND BY LATE
NIGHT...MOST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD SEE LITTLE IF
ANY PCPN. HOWEVER MSTR WRAPPING AROUND THE UPR LOW INTO THE
CENTRAL MTNS WL LIKELY KEEP SOME SHOWERS GOING IN THAT AREA...AND
THE FAR SERN PLAINS COULD SEE PCPN LINGER UNTIL TOWARD MORNING.

ON MON THAT UPR TROF WL BE SLOW TO EXIT THE AREA...AND BEHIND THE
TROF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WL AGAIN SPREAD ACRS THE AREA FROM WEST TO
EAST. IT LOOKS LIKE THUNDERSTORMS WL FIRE OVER THE MTNS AGAIN IN THE
LATE MORNING HOURS AND THEN SPREAD OVR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.  MON
AFTERNOON CAPE VALUES ACRS THE SERN PLAINS ARE FORECAST TO ONLY BE
UP AROUND 600 J/KG AND SHEAR VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAK...ONLY
AROUND 20 KTS. THUS CHANCES FOR SEVERE WX LOOK LOW.  HOWEVER...HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WL STILL BE A CONCERN.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...A WET END OF MAY IS LIKELY...

WITH MOISTURE LOCKED IN OVER SE CO...EXPECT THE WETTER-THAN-PROGGED
PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.

MON NIGHT...UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
TO THE WE...AS A SHORT WAVE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE C ROCKIES.
SHOULD SEE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN PRECIP THROUGH TUE MORNING...BUT
PROBABLY STILL SOME LINGERING LOW CLOUDS FROM THE PREVIOUS
CONVECTION.

TUE-WED...ALLOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL CROSS THROUGH OUR AREA.
THIS SHOULD BOOST TEMPS SOMEWHAT...INTO THE MID-UPPER 70S AND
POSSIBLY A FEW 80S ACROSS THE PLAINS. BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT HEATING...AND IF TEMPS DO NOT GET MUCH ABOVE 80 AT KPUB
IT WILL PROBABLY SEAL OUR FATE FOR HAVING ONE OF THE COOLER AND
WETTER MAYS IN RECENT YEARS. EXPECT DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER THE MTS EACH DAY...THEN MOVING OUT ON TO THE PLAINS BY EVE.
STORMS WILL PROBABLY NOT BE AS NUMEROUS OR STRONG AS THEY HAVE BEEN
THIS WEEKEND.

THURSDAY-NEXT WEEKEND...ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
DESERT SW AND ON THROUGH THE SRN ROCKIES. THE SUBTROPICAL TAP AHEAD
OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT LOOK AS STRONG AS IT HAD LOOKED A COUPLE
DAYS AGO...HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR PLENTY OF SHOWERS
ACROSS SE CO...ESPECIALLY LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS THE H5
CIRCULATION CUTS OFF OVER W KS...AND MID-LEVEL FLOW TURNS ERLY
ACROSS THE PLAINS. WE COULD SEE ANOTHER WEEKEND OF DRIZZLE...LIGHT
RAIN AND FG. LOOKS LIKE A REASONABLE SHOT OF BREAKING THE RAINFALL
RECORDS FOR MAY AT BOTH KCOS AND KPUB. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

SHOWERS AND TSTMS WL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VCNTY OF THE TAF
SITES INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME IFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS AT KALS IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ON MON. SHOWERS AND TSTMS WL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AT THE TAF
SITES MONDAY...MAINLY AFTER 18Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM...ROSE
AVIATION...28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1103 AM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-251715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1103 AM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BEING LIGHTNING...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLY SOME FUNNELS AND HAIL.
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT IN AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN FALLS.

WIND SHEAR...WHICH IS NECESSARY TO GET STORMS ROTATING...WILL BE
GREATEST OVER THE PLAINS EAST OF I-25 TODAY.  A FEW STORMS OVER
KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES COULD
ROTATE ENOUGH TO SPIN UP A TORNADO DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.

IN THE MOUNTAINS...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AS SNOW OR
GRAUPEL. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 9000 FEET COULD SEE LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO A FEW INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW ABOVE 10000
FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY IN AND NEAR THE
MOUNTAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. PRIMARY STORM
THREATS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND SMALL HAIL. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND STRONG WINDS.

AT THIS TIME...THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST PERIOD WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY TODAY OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN COLORADO.

28/28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1255 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 SW SECURITY           38.71N 104.80W
05/24/2015                   EL PASO            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
131 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

COZ094-242015-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-
131 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 131 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16
MILES EAST OF MODEL...OR 32 MILES EAST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 10394 3733 10403 3756 10376 3735 10355
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 231DEG 15KT 3729 10394

28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
211 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

COZ097-098-242100-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY CO-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY CO-
211 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PROWERS AND SOUTHEASTERN
BENT COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM MDT...

AT 211 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17
MILES SOUTH OF JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR...OR 26 MILES EAST OF NORTH LA
JUNTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR.

LAT...LON 3772 10304 3782 10322 3811 10300 3789 10266
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 215DEG 19KT 3783 10308

HODANISH