Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2015

Areal Flood Advisory 64, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

June 15, 2015Morris County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Jun 15, 2015, 3:43 PM EDT for Morris County, New Jersey. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2015, 3:43 PM EDT (19:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2015, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Morris County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 397 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
456 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
397 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
607 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jun 15, 11:09 AM EDT, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 11:09 AM EDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 3:41 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-020-026-PAZ054-055-062-161945-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RENEWED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND AREAS
OF POOR DRAINAGE. TODAYS THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN DECREASES AFTER
THIS MONDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND LATER THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY OVER THE COMING WEEKEND. BOTH
THESE EPISODES COULD ALSO RESULT IN POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING
AND/OR DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-021>023-027-PAZ060-061-070-071-101>106-161945-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND LATER THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY OVER THE COMING WEEKEND. BOTH
THESE EPISODES COULD ALSO RESULT IN POCKETS OF FLASH FLOODING
AND/OR DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-161945-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CAUSING POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
SOUTHERN DELMARVA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND LATER THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY OVER THE COMING WEEKEND. BOTH
THESE EPISODES COULD ALSO RESULT IN POCKETS OF FLOODING AND/OR
DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024-025-161945-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLY CAUSING POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HEAVY SHOWERS AND LATER THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY OVER THE COMING WEEKEND. BOTH
THESE EPISODES COULD ALSO RESULT IN POCKETS OF FLOODING AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-161945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN THURSDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 9:58 AM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 15, 1:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISalem30 min
Jun 14, 8:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon, Warren27 min
Jun 14, 8:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICumberland, Salem36 min
Jun 14, 8:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren50 min
Jun 14, 9:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICumberland38 min
Jun 14, 10:23 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris and 3 more4 hr
Jun 15, 4:02 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHISussex4 hr
Jun 15, 5:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex4 hr
Jun 15, 6:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Warren4 hr
Jun 14, 8:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBucks30 min
Jun 14, 8:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIChester36 min
Jun 14, 8:42 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIChester, Delaware2 hr
Jun 14, 9:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchPHICarbon, Monroe6 hr
Jun 15, 7:26 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINorthampton4 hr
Jun 14, 8:10 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's3 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2015Every areal flood advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.