Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Nashville, TN

April 3, 2015Cumberland County, White County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 3, 2015, 6:51 PM CDT for Cumberland County, White County, Tennessee. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 3, 2015, 6:51 PM CDT (23:51 UTC)
Expired: Apr 3, 2015, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Cumberland County, TN, White County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 3, 3:10 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 990 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 274 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 325 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

635 
WUUS54 KOHX 032351
SVROHX
TNC035-185-040030-
/O.NEW.KOHX.SV.W.0024.150403T2351Z-150404T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
651 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN WHITE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 648 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF CROSSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  SOUTHEASTERN WHITE AND SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...LAKE TANSI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3590 8468 3583 8477 3576 8491 3574 8502
      3576 8504 3575 8508 3576 8510 3576 8525
      3578 8527 3582 8527 3580 8535 3597 8528
      3598 8525 3595 8472 3593 8469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 285DEG 48KT 3585 8519

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BARNWELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 3, 5:56 PM CDT, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 5:56 PM CDT, 55 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
556 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

.UPDATE...ADDED AVIATION SECTION FOR 00Z TAF'S.

&&

.AVIATION...BNA/CKV/CSV...SURFACE FRONT HAS JUST PASSED NASHVILLE,
WITH A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OCCURRING ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. LOOK FOR CIGS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE IN AREAS BEHIND
THE BOUNDARY EVEN AS WINDS REMAIN STRONG DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND IFR CIGS WILL AFFECT THE
PLATEAU DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, WITH THE FRONT MOVING PAST
CSV NO LATER THAN 04Z. SKIES WILL BEGIN CLEARING FROM NW TO SE
LATER IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT IS NOW JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CWA. DEVELOPING LINE OF
CONVECTION RESIDES JUST OUT AHEAD OF IT. HELICITY VALUES REMAIN
ELEVATED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. LATEST SPC INPUT WILL
PLACE ANOTHER TOR WATCH SO AS TO EXTEND THE CURRENT ONE EASTWARD.
FOR THE MOST PART...STORMS TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST HAVE BEHAVED
AND HAVE REMAINED SUB SEVERE. BUT...WITH HEATING AND INSTABILITY
POSSIBLE...THE APPROACHING FRONT MAY BE GREETED WITH HIGHER SFC
CAPES. LCL'S ARE PLENTY LOW ENOUGH FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...BEST HELICITY VALUES APPEAR TO BE NORTH OF NASHVILLE.
THE CONVECTION WILL END ACROSS THE PLATEAU AREA BY 11 PM TONIGHT.

ANOTHER POTENTIAL IMPACT FOR THIS EVENING WILL BE THE ELEVATED WIND
SPEEDS. 925 MB WINDS STILL LOOK SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY THE
CONTINUATION OF ADVISORY LEVEL WIND SPEEDS. THOUGH THE PERIOD OF
ADVISORY REACHED CRITERIA MAY BE RATHER BRIEF THIS EVENING...WILL GO
AHEAD AND CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT ADVISORY.

MOVING ON...THE DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN. HIGHS...UNDER
PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE TOMORROW...WILL ONLY REACH THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S.

TOMORROW NIGHT/EASTER SUNRISE...SFC HIGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE 30S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. SCATTERED FROST
AND NEAR FREEZING TEMPS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE PLATEAU
AND LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF THE PLATEAU. FOR THAT REASON...WILL
REISSUE THE SPS. WARMER AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPS TO RETURN FOR
SUNDAY.

IN THE EXTENDED FCST...THE SUBTROPICAL JET BECOMES MORE ACTIVE AND
THE PATTERN SETS UP WITH MIDDLE TN RESIDING IN THE WARM AND HUMID
SECTOR. THE FORCING DYNAMICS WILL BE WELL NORTH BUT WE WILL SEE A
SERIES OF IMPULSES WITHIN THE UPPER JET AND THAT WILL LEAD TO
UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EXTENDED. TOWARD THE END OF THE
EXTENDED...WE WILL SEE A LARGE UPPER TROUGH DIG ACROSS THE WEST. AS
SOME DEGREE OF COOLING ALOFT TAKES PLACE...OUR SFC CAPES WILL BE ON
THE RISE. SO...STRONGER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARD THE END OF
THE EXTENDED. HOWEVER...FROPA ACTIVITY...WHICH IS THE USUAL CATALYST
FOR ORGANIZED SPRING SEVERE ACTIVITY...IS NOT INDICATED...AFTER
TONIGHT...FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THOSE CAPES HOWEVER...BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...DO GET STRONGER AS HIGH TEMPS APPROACH 80 DEGREES.

NOTE...I AM GOING TO GO AHEAD AND ISSUE THE ZONES RIGHT NOW AS THE
NEW WATCH HAS JUST BEEN UPDATED IN OUR GRAPHICS. THE NPW FOR THE
WIND ADVISORY IS GOING TO BE REISSUED AS WELL.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR TNZ005>011-023>034-
056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

ROSE

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 5:07 AM CDT, 13 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
507 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-041015-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
507 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THIS
EVENING OVER ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TO BE FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
UNTIL 10 PM CDT TONIGHT. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS BRIEF FLOODING DUE TO TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OVER
30 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS OF THIS INTENSITY COULD BREAK TREE
LIMBS EVEN BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PATCHY FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU AND IN LOW LYING AREAS WEST OF THE PLATEAU. THOSE WITH
TENDER VEGETATION MAY WANT TO CONSIDER EITHER COVERING VULNERABLE
PLANTS OR BRINGING THEM INDOORS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

19

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:27 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
627 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BELLE MEADE             36.10N  86.86W
04/03/2015                   DAVIDSON           TN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF HICKORY VALLEY
            ROAD AT SUMMERLY DRIVE

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500439

SHAMBURGER

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:33 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
633 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW OAK HILL           36.10N  86.81W
04/03/2015                   DAVIDSON           TN   TWITTER

            TREE FELL ONTO AND CRUSHED PART OF HOUSE IN GREEN HILLS

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500440

SHAMBURGER

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:38 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
638 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             CROSSVILLE              35.95N  85.04W
04/03/2015  M1.00 INCH       CUMBERLAND         TN   FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500441

SHAMBURGER

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:41 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
641 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

TNZ032>034-065-066-080-040030-
CUMBERLAND-FENTRESS-OVERTON-PUTNAM-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
641 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CUMBERLAND...FENTRESS...
OVERTON...PUTNAM...VAN BUREN AND WHITE COUNTIES...

AT 638 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JAMESTOWN TO
SPENCER...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE CLARKRANGE...GRIMSLEY...ALLARDT...
DOYLE...PLEASANT HILL...VIRGIN FALLS STATE NATURAL AREA...SLATE
SPRINGS...CROSSVILLE...INDIAN ROCK LAKE...LAKE TANSI...FAIRFIELD
GLADE AND CUMBERLAND MOUNTAIN STATE PARK.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3583 8477 3576 8491 3574 8502 3576 8504
      3576 8525 3569 8528 3579 8560 3580 8561
      3642 8490 3637 8473 3634 8473 3629 8480
      3628 8487 3621 8491 3616 8490 3608 8480
      3599 8471 3592 8468

ROSE

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:47 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
647 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

TNZ061-062-075-077>079-094-095-040030-
BEDFORD-COFFEE-GILES-GRUNDY-LAWRENCE-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-WARREN-
647 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BEDFORD...COFFEE...GILES...
GRUNDY...LAWRENCE...MARSHALL...RUTHERFORD AND WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 645 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SHELBYVILLE TO
LORETTO...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE DEASON...FOSTERVILLE...LEOMA...
FARMINGTON...LYNNVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...LORETTO...IRON CITY...
LEWISBURG...CORNERSVILLE...BELL BUCKLE AND BELFAST.

HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3501 8761 3572 8643 3555 8585 3538 8549
      3531 8556 3530 8566 3522 8580 3522 8588
      3528 8592 3534 8604 3533 8626 3540 8628
      3532 8642 3536 8659 3525 8674 3526 8682
      3499 8684

ROSE

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:48 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
648 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E SMITHVILLE          35.96N  85.77W
04/03/2015  M73 MPH          DE KALB            TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500442

SHAMBURGER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 3, 3:47 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	OHX	Bedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 32 more	18 hr
Apr 3, 1:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Robertson, Sumner	34 min
Apr 3, 3:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Stewart	38 min
Apr 3, 4:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Robertson	33 min
Apr 3, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner, Wilson	27 min
Apr 3, 4:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Davidson	23 min
Apr 3, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Hickman, Lewis, Perry	50 min
Apr 3, 4:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	34 min
Apr 3, 5:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson	30 min
Apr 3, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Wilson	43 min
Apr 3, 5:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Rutherford, Williamson	51 min
Apr 3, 5:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Rutherford, Williamson	47 min
Apr 3, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	DeKalb, Smith, Wilson	31 min
Apr 3, 5:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Maury	41 min
Apr 3, 5:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Jackson, Overton, Smith	38 min
Apr 3, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson	35 min
Apr 3, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Jackson, Putnam, Smith, White	47 min
Apr 3, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, DeKalb, Van Buren, Warren, White	43 min
Apr 3, 6:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cumberland	26 min
Apr 3, 6:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Cannon, Coffee, Rutherford, Warren	46 min
Apr 3, 6:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Cumberland, Fentress, White	49 min
Apr 3, 6:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Coffee, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren	49 min
Apr 3, 6:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Bedford, Coffee, Giles, Grundy, Marshall	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.