Alert archive / Tennessee / Wind Chill Advisories in 2015

Wind Chill Advisory 7, NWS Morristown, TN

February 18, 201531 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Scott County, Virginia

NWS Morristown, TN issued this wind chill advisory at Feb 18, 2015, 4:02 PM EST for 31 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Scott County, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 18, 2015, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2015, 4:02 PM EST (21:02 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 18, 2015, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 19, 2015, 3:55 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Morristown, TN
All 33 counties

Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Lee County, VA, Scott County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 55 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Feb 18, 2:58 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 2:58 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 5:35 AM EST, 10 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
535 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-191045-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
535 AM EST WED FEB 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURES WILL STAY BELOW FREEZING TODAY...MAINTAINING SNOW AND
ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND TREES. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS WHERE SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS REMAIN ON ROADS. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO DROP BELOW
ZERO TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ALSO TREES THAT HAVE ICE
ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE WEAKENED AND FALL CAUSING MORE POWER OUTAGES.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE AND IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
AROUND 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. UP TO
ABOUT AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PLATEAU AND VALLEY
FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

DANGEROUSLY  COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS VALUES CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS THURSDAY
AND LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO BELOW ZERO IN SOME SPOTS. LOW WIND
CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 25 BELOW ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO.

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM DEVELOPS TO THE WEST FRIDAY...SPREADING
CLOUDS AND SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND EASTERN
TENNESSEE VALLEY FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. AMOUNTS MAY BECOME
HIGHER PRIOR TO PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN...BEFORE WIDESPREAD RAIN WORKS NORTHWARD THROUGH EAST
TENNESSEE ON SATURDAY. SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST TENNESSEE
AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA VALLEYS...MAY EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS OF
FREEZING RAIN PRIOR TO THE CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN. ABUNDANT
RAINFALL AND WARM TEMPERATURES SHOULD RELIEVE ANY ICING PROBLEMS.
LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME A PROBLEM DUE TO RAPIDLY MELTING SNOW
PACK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT ANY SNOWFALL AND OTHER REPORTS
WILL BE APPRECIATED.

TD/SON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:07 PM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:20 PM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:22 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 18, 2:53 PM EST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 18, 3:23 PM EST, 39 minutes before
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Local storm report, Feb 18, 3:24 PM EST, 38 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 6:19 AM ESTWind Chill WarningMRXBlount, Carter, Cocke, Greene, Johnson, Monroe and 3 more49 hr
Feb 18, 4:02 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchMRXAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Carter and 27 more37 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in Tennessee, 2015Wind Chill Advisories in Virginia, 2015Every wind chill advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.