Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...CONVECTION ON-GOING...ISOLATED
OVER THE AREA NOW...AND MUCH MORE COVERAGE TO THE WEST THAT WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.  CHANCES
OF SEVERE STORMS STILL EXPECTED...BETTER SEVERE PARAMETERS STILL
WEST OF OUR AREA NOW...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AS UPPER
DYNAMICS INCREASE AND AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER WEST TO EAST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  LOOKS LIKE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT.  BY MIDNIGHT MUCH OF THE LINE OF STORMS WILL BE RACING
EAST OF THE AREA...LEAVING THE AREA WITH SHOWERS DIMINISHING.  FOR
TUESDAY...MINIMAL CHANCES OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION...KEEPING SOME
LIGHT POPS IN AND JUST MENTIONING SHOWERS FOR NOW.  GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES LOOK GOOD OVERALL FOR THIS PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...UPPER TROUGH AXIS EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE FOLLOWED BY RELATIVELY DRIER AIR. THE
WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL BE DRAPED OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA. THE FRONT
WILL WAVER BACK NORTH LATER IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. FOR MOST
AREAS...IT WILL BE DRY. HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL
HAVE A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THAT
BOUNDARY MOVES NORTHWARD.

BY THURSDAY...DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES MOVE NORTHWARD AS MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW RETURNS. THIS PATTERN PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NO MAJOR
FOCUS. MOST PLACES COULD USE THE RAINFALL. THE FORECAST AREA IS ALSO
LOCATED ON THE FRINGE OF THE UPPER HIGH...WHICH IS USUALLY A
FAVORABLE AREA FOR THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS.

LOOK FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS REACHING THE 90S ON THURSDAY...SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S. THESE NUMBERS FALL WITHIN
THE SEASONAL NORMS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             68  88  67  89 /  60  20  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  65  85  65  88 /  80  20  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  87  65  88 /  80  20  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              63  84  60  86 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

GM/AC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
358 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-092000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
358 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS WILL MAINLY BE ISOLATED
THIS AFTERNOON...BUT BETTER CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS EXIST THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT
APPROACH THE REGION. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS. ISOLATED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS...BUT STORMS
WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY...THEREBY REDUCING THE CHANCES OF FLOODING.
ALTHOUGH THE CHANCES OF TORNADOES IS VERY LOW FOR THIS
EVENT...LOCALIZED CONDITIONS COULD PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO.

IN GENERAL...CONDITIONS FOR STRONGER STORMS ARE MORE FAVORABLE IN
THE WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN AREAS...ON THE PLATEAU...WITH AREAS IN
THE EASTERN COUNTIES...ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE...NOT
QUITE AS FAVORABLE...BUT THESE AREAS COULD STILL GET SEVERE STORMS.

MOST OF THE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY ABOUT 2AM TUESDAY
MORNING...WITH ONLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THEREAFTER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
511 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

VAZ002-005-006-082200-
RUSSELL VA-SCOTT VA-WISE VA-
511 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RUSSELL...SCOTT...AND WISE COUNTIES
UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 510 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WISE TO 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PENNINGTON GAP...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTON...WISE...GATE CITY...WEBER CITY...CLEVELAND VA...COEBURN...ST.
PAUL...NICKELSVILLE...DUNGANNON...DUFFIELD...CLINCHPORT...FORT
BLACKMORE...HILTONS...CASTLEWOOD...COLLINGWOOD AND BLOOMINGDALE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3675 8226 3671 8233 3667 8232 3659 8239
      3660 8297 3672 8286 3673 8283 3675 8283
      3708 8254 3708 8251 3703 8248 3696 8236
      3700 8229 3699 8225 3704 8217 3705 8204
      3712 8201 3713 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 268DEG 29KT 3702 8254 3665 8287

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
515 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

TNZ015>017-042-044-VAZ001-005-082200-
WASHINGTON TN-HAWKINS TN-SULLIVAN TN-NORTHWEST GREENE TN-HANCOCK TN-
SCOTT VA-LEE VA-
515 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WASHINGTON...HAWKINS...SULLIVAN...
NORTHWEST GREENE...HANCOCK...SCOTT...AND LEE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM
EDT...

AT 514 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SNEEDVILLE TO NEAR
GREENEVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JOHNSON CITY...KINGSPORT...GREENEVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...GATE CITY...
SNEEDVILLE...TUSCULUM...SURGOINSVILLE...WEBER CITY...COLONIAL
HEIGHTS...OAK GROVE...SPURGEON...GRAY...CHURCH HILL...MOUNT CARMEL...
BLUFF CITY...BAILEYTON...DUFFIELD...CLINCHPORT AND KEPLER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3643 8228 3614 8283 3655 8322 3679 8275
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 231DEG 30KT 3653 8313 3623 8284

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
518 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE CHATTANOOGA        35.01N 85.19W
06/08/2015                   HAMILTON           TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE TREE AND SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN THE
            BRAINERD AREA.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
529 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N ATHENS              35.49N 84.60W
06/08/2015                   MCMINN             TN   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
544 PM EDT MON JUN 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     W MAYNARDVILLE          36.25N 83.81W
06/08/2015                   UNION              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE TREES DOWN.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
544 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

TNZ068-069-071-086-082230-
KNOX TN-NW BLOUNT TN-LOUDON TN-NORTHWEST MONROE TN-
544 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KNOX...NW BLOUNT...LOUDON...AND
NORTHWEST MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 544 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LOUDON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KNOXVILLE...MARYVILLE...LENOIR CITY...ALCOA...LOUDON...
MADISONVILLE...LOUISVILLE...ROCKFORD...EAGLETON VILLAGE...VONORE...
GREENBACK...FRIENDSVILLE...PHILADELPHIA...TOWNSEND...WALLAND...HAPPY
VALLEY...FORT LOUDON S.P....TELLICO VILLAGE...MCGEE CARSON PENINSULA
AND WILDWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR
EAST TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3574 8447 3595 8381 3590 8379 3589 8379
      3588 8378 3586 8378 3585 8377 3584 8377
      3582 8375 3569 8370 3566 8379 3565 8387
      3562 8392 3548 8432
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 249DEG 31KT 3566 8432

DH